A Day at the Races

[Macca 16,648]

39 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

I’m usually big on Behemoth, but laststart it didn’t look great.

I'm Thunderstruck even at 3-1 looks like good odds ... but it's Caulfield and he'll need to get past a lot of very good horses

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

19 hours ago, Macca said:

I'm Thunderstruck even at 3-1 looks like good odds ... but it's Caulfield and he'll need to get past a lot of very good horses

Outside the top couple I reckon Lighthouse and Sierra Sue are in the mix, Lightsaber is a horse I’ve followed for ages and could be in the mix but I’ll want to see how the track is going.

[Macca 16,648]

4 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

Outside the top couple I reckon Lighthouse and Sierra Sue are in the mix, Lightsaber is a horse I’ve followed for ages and could be in the mix but I’ll want to see how the track is going.

I've been trying my hand at the same-race multi's in the off-season with mixed results ... needing better class of horses me thinks!

Usually just pick 2 horses ... One horse to win/2nd and one other 'value' runner 1st to 4th ... aiming to get about 6-1 up to 15-1 all up

So 'Sierra Sue @ 14-1,  Lighthouse @ 10-1 and Lightsaber @ 14-1 all appeal as value runners 

 

[Macca 16,648]

I'm Thunderstruck has drifted out to $7.50 (with a boost)  in the Orr Stakes

That's decent odds for a class galloper!

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

Lightsaber has 4kg on the rest, 55kg is a very good weight for it. Mind you Behemoth prob wouldn’t feel 69kg let alone the 59

[Macca 16,648]

Best Bet Saturday

Caulfield R8 No.1 I'm Thunderstruck $7.50 (W)

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

Bets bet

Caulfield, R6 no6 Open minded $3.10 W

[Macca 16,648]

15 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

Bets bet

Caulfield, R6 no6 Open minded $3.10 W

 

On 2/10/2022 at 8:15 PM, Macca said:

Best Bet Saturday

Caulfield R8 No.1 I'm Thunderstruck $7.50 (W)

Managed to get 25-1 for this double ... that would kick things off nicely for the new season!

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

On a side note, I really like promise of success today, even stepping up and as a roughie I think Zouzarella is a decent use of a bonus bet.

[Dee Zephyr 19,174]

Sorry fellas missed this week, I’ll contribute a best next week. Very interested in a couple of Sydney races today, really keen to see how good Espiona is and one of my favs in It’s Me resuming after a serious leg injury. 
Good luck today.

[Macca 16,648]

Tofane way too good ... streeted them!

Has now won 4 x G1's (All Aged, Tatts Tiara, Stradbroke and the Orr Stakes)

I'm Thunderstruck looked like it needed the run as it's custumary sprint finish was lacking

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

1 hour ago, Macca said:

Tofane way too good ... streeted them!

Has now won 4 x G1's (All Aged, Tatts Tiara, Stradbroke and the Orr Stakes)

I'm Thunderstruck looked like it needed the run as it's custumary sprint finish was lacking

Yeah looked way too good. Lightsaber is one I like to follow and it missed the start by a mile.

Behemoth like last start seemed to lack the power it once had.

 

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

https://www.racenet.com.au/news/moody-caulfield-track-rooted-from-overwatering-20220212
 

 Big call

[Macca 16,648]

1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

https://www.racenet.com.au/news/moody-caulfield-track-rooted-from-overwatering-20220212
 

 Big call

Interesting that Mick Price has taken the opposite stance ... wants to start at Soft5 (Dead) to protect the horses from concussion type trauma

I agree with Mick Price as a Slow5 is ideal conditions for the horses

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

28 minutes ago, Macca said:

Interesting that Mick Price has taken the opposite stance ... wants to start at Soft5 (Dead) to protect the horses from concussion type trauma

I agree with Mick Price as a Slow5 is ideal conditions for the horses

Tbh, when it’s too hot, I usually don’t bet as I think the horses shouldn’t be running. 
 

Soft 5 would be fine by me, but the track needs to be soft 5 across the whole track and not softer on the inside if they are manufacturing the track conditions. I know it can happen naturally and that’s fine, that’s nature.

[Macca 16,648]

1 minute ago, Gorgoroth said:

Tbh, when it’s too hot, I usually don’t bet as I think the horses shouldn’t be running. 
 

Soft 5 would be fine by me, but the track needs to be soft 5 across the whole track and not softer on the inside if they are manufacturing the track conditions. I know it can happen naturally and that’s fine, that’s nature.

The tracks are often cambered so an even spread of watering is difficult ... same deal when it rains of course

Just water the outside of the tracks more than the inside when gravity is going to play its part

But hey, there is a lot of money and resources available in the industry so they should be able to find a way

The debate has been going on for decades

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

Would an under ground drip system work I wonder?

[Macca 16,648]

Just now, Gorgoroth said:

Would an under ground drip system work I wonder?

Who knows? ... I'm no green thumb.  Sounds like a plan though, Gorg

But you'd have reckoned RV would have figured it out by now instead of just the endless debate

Up in Sydney they more often than not race on slow or heavy tracks during the Autumn & Spring ... and that hasn't harmed the industry up there at all

And they still run slick times up there even up to a Soft7

In fact, they are thriving up there with regards to punter confidence & prizemoney

 

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

54 minutes ago, Macca said:

Who knows? ... I'm no green thumb.  Sounds like a plan though, Gorg

But you'd have reckoned RV would have figured it out by now instead of just the endless debate

Up in Sydney they more often than not race on slow or heavy tracks during the Autumn & Spring ... and that hasn't harmed the industry up there at all

And they still run slick times up there even up to a Soft7

In fact, they are thriving up there with regards to punter confidence & prizemoney

 

I quite often like Sydney better than melb.

[Macca 16,648]

@Dee Zephyr @Gorgoroth

Crack field in the Lightning!  Thoughts?

Gator has tipped Masked Crusader (8-1) and the horse does look ideally suited to the Flemington straight ... all about the timing.  Reckon the other runner at very good odds is 'The Inferno' (25-1)

Racenet form - Flemington Race 7 Lightning Stakes

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

Interesting that McDonald is riding Home Affairs in this.

[Macca 16,648]

4 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

Interesting that McDonald is riding Home Affairs in this.

More than interesting ... jumping off a gun horse like Nature Strip is a tad questionable (unless it isn't!) 

Jamie Kah would have to be happy though! 

Nature Strip has won 9 from 15 over the 1000 metres 

[Gorgoroth 12,714]

34 minutes ago, Macca said:

More than interesting ... jumping off a gun horse like Nature Strip is a tad questionable (unless it isn't!) 

Jamie Kah would have to be happy though! 

Nature Strip has won 9 from 15 over the 1000 metres 

Bloke at work said, they will want the stallion to win, cos they can then mak3 much more off studding.

[Macca 16,648]

6 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Bloke at work said, they will want the stallion to win, cos they can then mak3 much more off studding.

That makes sense then ... a bigger sling for JMac (in advance haha)

[Macca 16,648]

Best Bet Saturday

R5 No.4 Socialist (Win) 4.50