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A Day at the Races

Toorak
in Other Sports

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39 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

I’m usually big on Behemoth, but laststart it didn’t look great.

I'm Thunderstruck even at 3-1 looks like good odds ... but it's Caulfield and he'll need to get past a lot of very good horses

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    19 hours ago, Macca said:

    I'm Thunderstruck even at 3-1 looks like good odds ... but it's Caulfield and he'll need to get past a lot of very good horses

    Outside the top couple I reckon Lighthouse and Sierra Sue are in the mix, Lightsaber is a horse I’ve followed for ages and could be in the mix but I’ll want to see how the track is going.

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    4 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

    Outside the top couple I reckon Lighthouse and Sierra Sue are in the mix, Lightsaber is a horse I’ve followed for ages and could be in the mix but I’ll want to see how the track is going.

    I've been trying my hand at the same-race multi's in the off-season with mixed results ... needing better class of horses me thinks!

    Usually just pick 2 horses ... One horse to win/2nd and one other 'value' runner 1st to 4th ... aiming to get about 6-1 up to 15-1 all up

    So 'Sierra Sue @ 14-1,  Lighthouse @ 10-1 and Lightsaber @ 14-1 all appeal as value runners 

     

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    I'm Thunderstruck has drifted out to $7.50 (with a boost)  in the Orr Stakes

    That's decent odds for a class galloper!

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    Lightsaber has 4kg on the rest, 55kg is a very good weight for it. Mind you Behemoth prob wouldn’t feel 69kg let alone the 59

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    Best Bet Saturday

    Caulfield R8 No.1 I'm Thunderstruck $7.50 (W)

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    15 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

    Bets bet

    Caulfield, R6 no6 Open minded $3.10 W

     

    On 2/10/2022 at 8:15 PM, Macca said:

    Best Bet Saturday

    Caulfield R8 No.1 I'm Thunderstruck $7.50 (W)

    Managed to get 25-1 for this double ... that would kick things off nicely for the new season!

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    On a side note, I really like promise of success today, even stepping up and as a roughie I think Zouzarella is a decent use of a bonus bet.

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    Sorry fellas missed this week, I’ll contribute a best next week. Very interested in a couple of Sydney races today, really keen to see how good Espiona is and one of my favs in It’s Me resuming after a serious leg injury. 
    Good luck today.

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    Tofane way too good ... streeted them!

    Has now won 4 x G1's (All Aged, Tatts Tiara, Stradbroke and the Orr Stakes)

    I'm Thunderstruck looked like it needed the run as it's custumary sprint finish was lacking

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    1 hour ago, Macca said:

    Tofane way too good ... streeted them!

    Has now won 4 x G1's (All Aged, Tatts Tiara, Stradbroke and the Orr Stakes)

    I'm Thunderstruck looked like it needed the run as it's custumary sprint finish was lacking

    Yeah looked way too good. Lightsaber is one I like to follow and it missed the start by a mile.

    Behemoth like last start seemed to lack the power it once had.

     

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    1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

    https://www.racenet.com.au/news/moody-caulfield-track-rooted-from-overwatering-20220212
     

     Big call

    Interesting that Mick Price has taken the opposite stance ... wants to start at Soft5 (Dead) to protect the horses from concussion type trauma

    I agree with Mick Price as a Slow5 is ideal conditions for the horses

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    28 minutes ago, Macca said:

    Interesting that Mick Price has taken the opposite stance ... wants to start at Soft5 (Dead) to protect the horses from concussion type trauma

    I agree with Mick Price as a Slow5 is ideal conditions for the horses

    Tbh, when it’s too hot, I usually don’t bet as I think the horses shouldn’t be running. 
     

    Soft 5 would be fine by me, but the track needs to be soft 5 across the whole track and not softer on the inside if they are manufacturing the track conditions. I know it can happen naturally and that’s fine, that’s nature.

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    1 minute ago, Gorgoroth said:

    Tbh, when it’s too hot, I usually don’t bet as I think the horses shouldn’t be running. 
     

    Soft 5 would be fine by me, but the track needs to be soft 5 across the whole track and not softer on the inside if they are manufacturing the track conditions. I know it can happen naturally and that’s fine, that’s nature.

    The tracks are often cambered so an even spread of watering is difficult ... same deal when it rains of course

    Just water the outside of the tracks more than the inside when gravity is going to play its part

    But hey, there is a lot of money and resources available in the industry so they should be able to find a way

    The debate has been going on for decades

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    Just now, Gorgoroth said:

    Would an under ground drip system work I wonder?

    Who knows? ... I'm no green thumb.  Sounds like a plan though, Gorg

    But you'd have reckoned RV would have figured it out by now instead of just the endless debate

    Up in Sydney they more often than not race on slow or heavy tracks during the Autumn & Spring ... and that hasn't harmed the industry up there at all

    And they still run slick times up there even up to a Soft7

    In fact, they are thriving up there with regards to punter confidence & prizemoney

     

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    54 minutes ago, Macca said:

    Who knows? ... I'm no green thumb.  Sounds like a plan though, Gorg

    But you'd have reckoned RV would have figured it out by now instead of just the endless debate

    Up in Sydney they more often than not race on slow or heavy tracks during the Autumn & Spring ... and that hasn't harmed the industry up there at all

    And they still run slick times up there even up to a Soft7

    In fact, they are thriving up there with regards to punter confidence & prizemoney

     

    I quite often like Sydney better than melb.

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    @Dee Zephyr @Gorgoroth

    Crack field in the Lightning!  Thoughts?

    Gator has tipped Masked Crusader (8-1) and the horse does look ideally suited to the Flemington straight ... all about the timing.  Reckon the other runner at very good odds is 'The Inferno' (25-1)

    Racenet form - Flemington Race 7 Lightning Stakes

    image.png.0e0e22241ab6eda08178ad9ad115fb99.png

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    4 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

    Interesting that McDonald is riding Home Affairs in this.

    More than interesting ... jumping off a gun horse like Nature Strip is a tad questionable (unless it isn't!) 

    Jamie Kah would have to be happy though! 

    Nature Strip has won 9 from 15 over the 1000 metres 

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    34 minutes ago, Macca said:

    More than interesting ... jumping off a gun horse like Nature Strip is a tad questionable (unless it isn't!) 

    Jamie Kah would have to be happy though! 

    Nature Strip has won 9 from 15 over the 1000 metres 

    Bloke at work said, they will want the stallion to win, cos they can then mak3 much more off studding.

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    6 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

    Bloke at work said, they will want the stallion to win, cos they can then mak3 much more off studding.

    That makes sense then ... a bigger sling for JMac (in advance haha)

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    Best Bet Saturday

    R5 No.4 Socialist (Win) 4.50

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