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A Day at the Races

Toorak

By Toorak
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JV7
JV7

Hope you all forgive me for the Gunnamatta tip with the Ghodeleine place 

Gorgoroth
Gorgoroth

As a cigar smoker I usually put a small amount on humidor, didnt. And he cost me a multi and The quaddie

Wadda We Sing
Wadda We Sing

Hope everyone had an enjoyable carnival, i thought it was great. Pity about the weather for the crowds. Well down i believe. Thanks for all the support on the thread.

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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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I see Patrick Rubisaki Payne has a runner in the Adelaide Cup today Race 7 No 1 Home By Midnight 9.00 & 2.90. Its come in from 14.00 & 3.50. Might be worth a little flutter, esp on the plc. Billy Egan to ride.

 

@Macca

@Dee Zephyr

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Macca   16,648

Posted
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50 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

I see Patrick Rubisaki Payne has a runner in the Adelaide Cup today Race 7 No 1 Home By Midnight 9.00 & 2.90. Its come in from 14.00 & 3.50. Might be worth a little flutter, esp on the plc. Billy Egan to ride.

@Macca

@Dee Zephyr

The Adelaide Cup is a wide open affair but 'Home by Midnight' is racing really well ... apart from its latest win it has recently run a couple of eye-catching 2nd's at Caulfield this prep.

Sure to be running on as it has run a couple of 2nd's at the 2 miles.  It's in my exacta combo along with a few others.

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Dee Zephyr   19,178

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7 minutes ago, Macca said:

@Dee Zephyr  @Wadda We Sing 

JJ with his Adelaide Cup day tips on the racing channel right now ... reckons it's a favourites day so multi up?

I missed them Macca, just walked in from work. That’s ok, racing.com to the rescue. Cheers mate. Yeah, I’ll pick something out.

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Macca   16,648

Posted
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15 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

I missed them Macca, just walked in from work. That’s ok, racing.com to the rescue. Cheers mate. Yeah, I’ll pick something out.

I watched the racing from Dubai late Saturday DZ as there were 7 Group races as well as a 2 Group 1's but ... no crowd (Coronavirus)

The races went ahead without any patrons and that trend is going to spread elsewhere. 

The Indian Wells tennis tournament has just been called off and all it will take is 1 player to contract the virus (in the AFL) for the competition to be compromised.  Empty stadiums or no play at all.  Ditto for any other sport.

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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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52 minutes ago, Macca said:

I watched the racing from Dubai late Saturday DZ as there were 7 Group races as well as a 2 Group 1's but ... no crowd (Coronavirus)

The races went ahead without any patrons and that trend is going to spread elsewhere. 

The Indian Wells tennis tournament has just been called off and all it will take is 1 player to contract the virus (in the AFL) for the competition to be compromised.  Empty stadiums or no play at all.  Ditto for any other sport.

Yeah watching the soccer highlights from Italy is very strange......no home ground advantage anymore. Friends in Italy talk about nothing else.

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Dee Zephyr   19,178

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5 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Ouchhh !!............that hurts...multi meltdown !

 

That’s the game Wadda, thought I had it. Not to worry, we’ll go again on Saturday. Great win by the King in the cup.

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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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9 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

That’s the game Wadda, thought I had it. Not to worry, we’ll go again on Saturday. Great win by the King in the cup.

Yep long live the King! Into 8 for the Sydney Cup and 26 for the Melbourne Cup.

Danny OBrien also trainer of Vow & Declare has a Law degree, smart cookie.

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Macca   16,648

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44 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

That’s the game Wadda, thought I had it. Not to worry, we’ll go again on Saturday. Great win by the King in the cup.

Really unlucky DZ ... been that sort of day.  Lots of the favoured horses winning but with multi's,  there's nearly always one that puts you out.  Yours was the right strategy though.

My exactas the same ... either 1st & 3rd or a low dividend because of the 2 fancied runners finishing 1 & 2. 

Still,  that's racing but you always need a bit of luck.  I have lost count of the amount of times when I have won with sheer luck at play!  Often the margin of a nose is the difference.

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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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4 hours ago, Macca said:

Really unlucky DZ ... been that sort of day.  Lots of the favoured horses winning but with multi's,  there's nearly always one that puts you out.  Yours was the right strategy though.

My exactas the same ... either 1st & 3rd or a low dividend because of the 2 fancied runners finishing 1 & 2. 

Still,  that's racing but you always need a bit of luck.  I have lost count of the amount of times when I have won with sheer luck at play!  Often the margin of a nose is the difference.

I think the weight really came into play with Home by Midnight. It got to about 2800 then just went backwards. 60 kg or whatever it was over 3200 is always a big ask.

Had a similar day to DZ with a multi of Samson, One More Jack and King of Leogrance all saluting....the last leg was the fav Free of Debt just to run a plc..... it came last. Shock, horror and dismay. But the punt giveth and the punt taketh away. We live to fight another day. Back to the 3 race strategy. Worked last Sat. Thats my go from now on.

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Macca   16,648

Posted
Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

I think the weight really came into play with Home by Midnight. It got to about 2800 then just went backwards. 60 kg or whatever it was over 3200 is always a big ask.

Had a similar day to DZ with a multi of Samson, One More Jack and King of Leogrance all saluting....the last leg was the fav Free of Debt just to run a plc..... it came last. Shock, horror and dismay. But the punt giveth and the punt taketh away. We live to fight another day. Back to the 3 race strategy. Worked last Sat. Thats my go from now on.

Yes the 3 x 2pic combined with the 3pic can work well Wadda.  Might try it next weekend but that could involve having an exacta in each of the individual races instead of the 3 extra doubles that could be part of the 3pic strategy. 

That 2pic/3pic also happens to be the favoured strategy of Gator when it involves the short-priced favourites.  Makes sense but you've got to get 2 of the 3 home to make a profit.

My strategy always involves getting back some collects Wadda (however small if it works out that way) So individual exactas is my preference.

For instance,  I also collected 3 exactas from our 3 race strategy ... but I didn't put on the 3 doubles (should have?)  One also doesn't want to invest too heavily in just a few races so either/or is probably best.  But if they're group races where the best are running around then it can be worth the risk.

By the way,  all our picks tightened in the market so the good odds (as a combo) didn't last much past 12noon on Friday.  Still, it's always nice to land a 30-1 shot!

Edited by Macca
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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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12 hours ago, Macca said:

Yes the 3 x 2pic combined with the 3pic can work well Wadda.  Might try it next weekend but that could involve having an exacta in each of the individual races instead of the 3 extra doubles that could be part of the 3pic strategy. 

That 2pic/3pic also happens to be the favoured strategy of Gator when it involves the short-priced favourites.  Makes sense but you've got to get 2 of the 3 home to make a profit.

My strategy always involves getting back some collects Wadda (however small if it works out that way) So individual exactas is my preference.

For instance,  I also collected 3 exactas from our 3 race strategy ... but I didn't put on the 3 doubles (should have?)  One also doesn't want to invest too heavily in just a few races so either/or is probably best.  But if they're group races where the best are running around then it can be worth the risk.

By the way,  all our picks tightened in the market so the good odds (as a combo) didn't last much past 12noon on Friday.  Still, it's always nice to land a 30-1 shot!

Yeah they sure did come in. I waited to long and got on about midday Saturday. I developed a habit of waiting in case 1 was scratched which has happened before. I still got 16/1 and adjusted my outlay accordingly. (2 cups of coffee) So i was happy with the return and practice make perfect. I think we are getting better at it.

Lets hope the coronavirus doesnt impact the sport so hard we dont get a Spring carnival.... Who knows.

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Macca   16,648

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So have we got a contingency plan if the races are cancelled in Oz?

Honkers?  Europe?  Chile?  Bitcoin?  Online Poker?

We can't hit the casino and pile it all on the red as the crowd there might exceed 500.

We have to find a way!

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Dee Zephyr   19,178

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2 hours ago, Macca said:

So have we got a contingency plan if the races are cancelled in Oz?

Honkers?  Europe?  Chile?  Bitcoin?  Online Poker?

We can't hit the casino and pile it all on the red as the crowd there might exceed 500.

We have to find a way!

I enjoy a good card game Macca, poker for me. Was going ok too, until they banned online poker here.

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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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5 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

I enjoy a good card game Macca, poker for me. Was going ok too, until they banned online poker here.

Cant you use an IP disrupter?

You can use my Rabobank Euro bank account........need to use it for something!

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Dee Zephyr   19,178

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14 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Cant you use an IP disrupter?

You can use my Rabobank Euro bank account........need to use it for something!

Haha, haven’t bothered with it since the ban Wadda all those years ago. I was only a low limit player, working at the casino where you weren’t allowed to punt whilst employed a few of us looked elsewhere for a bit of fun. A few fellas organised regular card games at home for us to socialise away from work also. Was good fun.

Might take you up on the Euro account offer,  simply for nappies mate. Shelves are dry.

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Macca   16,648

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Got 22-1 for our multi fellas which is more than decent odds for 3 very good chances. 

I've gone down the exacta path with legs 1 & 3 whilst taking out a trifecta in the Probabeel race. 

Hoping for 4 collects!

 

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Wadda We Sing   10,685

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14 hours ago, Macca said:

Got 22-1 for our multi fellas which is more than decent odds for 3 very good chances. 

I've gone down the exacta path with legs 1 & 3 whilst taking out a trifecta in the Probabeel race. 

Hoping for 4 collects!

 

So weird with no crowd. Only media and a few trainers.

Few chances around today and The All Star Mile will be a classic. Can Alligator Blood do it again!? I will certainly be on board.

Good luck with the day everyone.

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