Jump to content

Featured Replies

Great you guys got the winners today, well done! See... my spell is doing you guys wonders!!

Happy New Year too all!!

Edited by Wadda We Sing

 
1 hour ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Great you guys got the winners today, well done! See... my spell is doing you guys wonders!!

Happy New Year too all!!

Happy New Year Wadda and the same to all the punters out there including the regulars here in DZ & BM. 

And we kick off the year with a decent card at Flemington today - no rest for the wicked!  Looking forward to seeing how the boom filly 'Enood' runs today - races in 5 minutes actually.  The Standish Hcp & Bagot Hcp are good races too. 

 

 

Best Bet

Randwick Race 8 Number 4

Heart Conquered $3.00

Best Bet

Caulfield Race 7 No.10 Creedence $5.00


Thoughts on the Perth Cup @Macca?

I see El’s stablemate ‘Khartoum’ is hunting Cup glory over in the West. Keeping it safe around $13, although it was tough win last week I just can’t see it winning today but I’m often wrong.

1 hour ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Thoughts on the Perth Cup @Macca?

I see El’s stablemate ‘Khartoum’ is hunting Cup glory over in the West. Keeping it safe around $13, although it was tough win last week I just can’t see it winning today but I’m often wrong.

I've had an exacta in the race DZ and have included the top 3 in the market as well as Cappo D'oro (overs at 25-1?) on top for a bit of value ... also included Khartoum,  Elegant Blast & Perfect Jewel in for 2nd to hopefully boost up the dividend. 

I'm quite confident of getting it but am obviously looking for the right combination.  'Gatting' (which has drawn wide) and 'Action' will probably both be coming from the back so they both might need luck in the running.  By contrast,  'Mississippi Delta' seems to have drawn well in 6.  Should be a good race.  Here's the field

Edited by Macca

13 minutes ago, Macca said:

I've had a exacta in the race DZ and have included the top 3 as well as Cappo D'oro (overs at 25-1?) on top for a bit of value ... also included Khartoum,  Elegant Blast & Perfect Jewel in for 2nd to hopefully boost up the dividend. 

I'm quite confident of getting it but am obviously looking for the right combination.  'Gatting' (which has drawn wide) and 'Action' will probably both be coming from the back so they both might need luck in the running.  By contrast,  'Mississippi Delta' seems to have drawn well in 6.  Should be a good race.  Here's the field

Good luck Macca. I’ll be trying my luck later with the exotics in the race. Will definitely have ‘Perfect Jewel’ in there, represents great value. 

Hopefully we will go back to back with our picks. Chose the multiplier with Tab last night and it boosted my odds by x1.05?, adding 63.5 cents to the odds. 

 
21 hours ago, Macca said:

Best Bet

Caulfield Race 7 No.10 Creedence $5.00

Unlucky there Macca, thought we had it. The Lambo started on the back of the grid and pipped us the last 10 meters. 

11 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Unlucky there Macca, thought we had it. The Lambo started on the back of the grid and pipped us the last 10 meters. 

I was concerned with Lamborghini DZ and the horse has now beaten Creedence at its last 2 starts. 

Anyway,  'Heart Conquered' salutes ... another winner for you DZ.  You're in good form!  With all the scratchings I'm surprised HC drifted in the market though.

2: 1 - 1 - 0 for the day so our strike rate is slowly but surely improving.

Best Bet Strike Rate

75: 27 - 11 - 10

Australian Group & Listed Races


7 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Good luck Macca. I’ll be trying my luck later with the exotics in the race. Will definitely have ‘Perfect Jewel’ in there, represents great value. 

Hopefully we will go back to back with our picks. Chose the multiplier with Tab last night and it boosted my odds by x1.05?, adding 63.5 cents to the odds. 

Note to self ... always include all Bob Peters runners in any exotic out of Perth!  Also,  'Star Exhibit' was the 2nd highest rated horse in the race but was only carrying 55kg. 

But fair play to the horse and jockey though (Peter Hall)  Ran down Action and on one of the camera angles there was a look of mild astonishment from Willie Pike as Star Exhibit loomed large!  Can't win 'em all hey DZ!

The Perth Cup kind of closes off the year for me although it starts all over again with the Magic Millions next week.  Always a tricky card but there are some class horses in a number of the fields.  Exacta's only at this time of the year is my preference.  Trying to find straight out winners is very difficult and trifectas are tough to get too ... although,  in terms of winners we've gone 3 from 4 and a 2nd in the last 2 weekends on the ADATR thread.

So on to the Magic Millions it is then ... the main interest is generally with the 2yo Classic although the Guineas,  Cup,  Trophy,  Sprint and the F & M race also has a number of quality horses running around.  Some horses like 'Tally' have qualified for the big day even though they don't fall under the banner of the MM.  A good move by the organisation.

But pertaining to the 2yo Classic,  here are a couple of stories emanating out of today's racing.

Blue Army filly (Exhilerates) shakes up Gold Coast Magic Millions

Snowden 2YO 'Hightailing' to the Gold Coast

 

image.thumb.png.dec632775d7ee4db903c933ca7c40b50.png

Edited by Macca

14 hours ago, Macca said:

So on to the Magic Millions it is then ... the main interest is generally with the 2yo Classic although the Guineas,  Cup,  Trophy,  Sprint and the F & M race also has a number of quality horses running around.  Some horses like 'Tally' have qualified for the big day even though they don't fall under the banner of the MM.  A good move by the organisation.

But pertaining to the 2yo Classic,  here are a couple of stories emanating out of today's racing.

Blue Army filly (Exhilerates) shakes up Gold Coast Magic Millions

Snowden 2YO 'Hightailing' to the Gold Coast

 

image.thumb.png.dec632775d7ee4db903c933ca7c40b50.png

Yes Yes Yes.....what a clever name for a horse  :)

Salute to Mark Webber winning his first F1 race of course..

39 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Yes Yes Yes.....what a clever name for a horse  :)

Salute to Mark Webber winning his first F1 race of course..

Looks a goodin' too does 'Yes Yes Yes' Wadda. 

'Exhilerates' has taken the same pathway as 'Sunlight' did last year.  In fact,  3 of the past 4 winners of the Magic Millions 2yo classic have won the same sprint race at the Gold Coast one week beforehand.  Godolphin & James Cummings in good form too.  Race Replay of Exhilerates winning yesterday

And I see Inglis have got in on the action with a big day of their own to be held annually on the 2nd Saturday in February at Warwick Farm.  Another $2Million race for the 2YO's.  As well as that,  the Inglis 3YO's race for $1Million in a sprint race on the same day - read more here

Edited by Macca

Thats interesting 3/4 huh? Ok noted

 

Perhaps Macca, someone will call a racehorse Kohli !    :)

 

 

 

 


10 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Thats interesting 3/4 huh? Ok noted

Perhaps Macca, someone will call a racehorse Kohli !    :)

I see that 'Exhilarates' has come into equal favouritism with 'Dubious' after the barrier draw Wadda ... all falling into place for Godolphin again.  My strategy will be to take a box trifecta or box F4 though rather than a straight out bet.

With the 2YO's a lot depends on the run of the race,  barrier draw and closing speed.  Good dividends can be had with the right combo.  The horses with good closing speed that have drawn well are Exhilarates (9) & Dubious (7)

'Yes Yes Yes' & 'Hightail' both finish well but they've both drawn the carpark (21 & 19) whilst noted front runner 'Unite & Conquer' has drawn barrier 18.  Tough to win from out there at the Gold Coast track.

For a bit of value the Hayes horse 'Champagne Boom' is good odds and has drawn barrier 3.  And if 1st emergency 'Rome' out of gate 8 gets a run it could give a good sight after nearly running down boom colt and late scratching for the MM Classic 'Sun City' at its last start.  'The Odyssey' (barrier 2) defeated Sun City two starts back so it has claims as well.

But the wide barriers can be a real issue at the Gold Coast track as illustrated below - especially for the 2YO's unless they possess real class.

image.png.ccd476f149403b14175219ce949be6bb.png

 

image.thumb.png.8f9ba3889901add6622dd354a628e2b2.png

Edited by Macca

15 hours ago, Macca said:

I see that 'Exhilarates' has come into equal favouritism with 'Dubious' after the barrier draw Wadda ... all falling into place for Godolphin again.  My strategy will be to take a box trifecta or box F4 though rather than a straight out bet.

With the 2YO's a lot depends on the run of the race,  barrier draw and closing speed.  Good dividends can be had with the right combo.  The horses with good closing speed that have drawn well are Exhilarates (9) & Dubious (7)

'Yes Yes Yes' & 'Hightail' both finish well but they've both drawn the carpark (21 & 19) whilst noted front runner 'Unite & Conquer' has drawn barrier 18.  Tough to win from out there at the Gold Coast track.

For a bit of value the Hayes horse 'Champagne Boom' is good odds and has drawn barrier 3.  And if 1st emergency 'Rome' out of gate 8 gets a run it could give a good sight after nearly running down boom colt and late scratching for the MM Classic 'Sun City' at its last start.  'The Odyssey' (barrier 2) defeated Sun City two starts back so it has claims as well.

But the wide barriers can be a real issue at the Gold Coast track as illustrated below - especially for the 2YO's unless they possess real class.

image.png.ccd476f149403b14175219ce949be6bb.png

 

image.thumb.png.8f9ba3889901add6622dd354a628e2b2.png

I dont mind Rome...keeping in contrast with the recent trip tactics. Resting in Rome! (which i did)  :)

 

Edited by Wadda We Sing

52 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

I dont mind Rome...keeping in contrast with the recent trip tactics. Resting in Rome! (which i did)  :)

 

Nice, I’m liking ‘Dubious’, ‘Rome’ is going in as well for the exotics if it gains a run.

We could get the weekend going on a good note, El is racing Friday night at Cranbourne, drawn out in Casey Fields (13), carrying 60.5kg and stepping up to 1300m, what could possibly go wrong? 

Edited by Dee Zephyr

Just a bit of further info on the barrier records for the MM 2YO Classic - the last 10 years

  • 2009:  9 - 6 - 3 - 7
  • 2010:  3 - 13 - 5 - 2
  • 2011:  7 - 14 - 9 - 3
  • 2012:  2 - 3 - 7 - 5
  • 2013:  2 - 10 - 3 - 11
  • 2014:  3 - 6 - 2 - 1
  • 2015:  3 - 12 - 6 - 11
  • 2016:  2 - 3 - 1 - 7
  • 2017:  16 - 9 - 1 - 11 (Houtzen was the winner)
  • 2018:  12 - 16 - 5 - 13 (Sunlight was the winner)

By the way,  gun sprinter 'Houtzen' is the $1.85 favourite for the MM Sprint ($1Million) on Saturday.  And the horse that ran 2nd last year from barrier 16 is called 'Hello Beauty' ... started at 100-1 and now races out of HK.  It has only had the 1 start up there and may have incurred an injury.

The 10 year sample size shows that it is tough to even get into the finish from a wide barrier but it's interesting that we have 2 classy gallopers that have drawn an outside gate this time ... after the final field is settled 'Yes Yes Yes' will run from gate 16 whilst 'Unite And Conquer will run from the 14 alley.  Another good performer in 'Hightail' will run from barrier 15. 

I can envisage an absolute mad scramble for that first 200m straightaway from the barriers until they start that long 600m bend to the 400m straight.  Those caught wide without cover will find it hard to sprint down that 400m straight.  Especially if it's a truly run affair. 


Best Bet

Randwick Race 8 Number 1

Turnberry $4.20

The money has come again for El Mag @Dee Zephyr

I've taken out a F4 in the race and just got the winner in the previous race with Pissaro thanks to a pre-race tip from Terry Bailey & Ben Asgari.  Won well too but the horse did have some decent group racing history (4th to Ace High in a Derby)

17 minutes ago, Macca said:

The money has come again for El Mag @Dee Zephyr

I've taken out a F4 in the race and just got the winner in the previous race with Pissaro thanks to a pre-race tip from Terry Bailey & Ben Asgari.  Won well too but the horse did have some decent group racing history (4th to Ace High in a Derby)

Hope you got a collect there Macca. I should know by now to back El early as he seems to be plunged late every start. The price in the end was a bit low for my liking and the query was the 1300. In saying that he did run a good race, just found one better.

Did I hear the caller say all winners tonight were Cranbourne trained horses?

 
8 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Hope you got a collect there Macca. I should know by now to back El early as he seems to be plunged late every start. The price in the end was a bit low for my liking and the query was the 1300. In saying that he did run a good race, just found one better.

Did I hear the caller say all winners tonight were Cranbourne trained horses?

They went quite quick up front and 'Spirit of Nia' was a bit of a nuisance for a time.  I thought El Mag ran very well and it boxed on to the line.  It looks like they ran under 01:18 for the 1300m so the horse could be looking for further than just the 1000m.  Still early doors but encouraging signs.

Missed the F4 but only had a small outlay for a small percentage so no great loss DZ.  Threw in a few roughies looking for the big dividend ... the theory only works if enough of the roughies get into the finish!  One of them was 'Spirit of Nia' and it was looking good for a while there.

And yeah,  all Cranbourne trained horses won tonight according to Terry Bailey.  Over to the soccer again now (leading 2 - 0) 

Chauffeur wins the 1100m sprint under a new trainer at good odds.  Form was way below average but DK Weir does it again.  He really is the master trainer.  Wasn't on it but I did look at it ?

My earlier tip at the Gold Coast 'Manicure' just got pipped but ran a good race for 2nd placing.

Edit:  Classic finish in the MM Guineas ... Boomsara holds out Bondi who were both running from wide barriers.  Outback Barbie 3rd although there's a protest 3rd against 2nd.  With $190k being the difference in prizemoney from 2nd & 3rd,  I'm not surprised.

Edited by Macca


Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

Featured Content

  • GAMEDAY: Brisbane

    It’s Game Day, and the Demons are back on the road with a massive challenge ahead — facing the reigning premiers, the Brisbane Lions, at their Gabba fortress. The Lions are licking their wounds after a shock draw in Tasmania last week, while Melbourne’s season hangs in the balance. Can the Dees defy the odds and pull off a miracle to keep their razor thin finals hopes alive?

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 56 replies
    Demonland
  • NON-MFC: Round 10

    The Sir Doug Nicholls Round kicks off in Darwin with a Top 4 clash between the Suns and the Hawks. On Friday night the Swans will be seeking to rebound from a challenging start to the season, while the Blues have the Top 8 in their sights after their sluggish start. Saturdays matches kick off with a blockbuster between the Collingwood and Kuwarna with the Magpies looking to maintain their strong form and the Crows aiming to make a statement on the road. The Power face a difficult task to revive their season against a resilient Cats side looking to make amends for their narrow loss last week. The Giants aim to reinforce their top-eight status, while the Dockers will be looking to break the travel hoodoo. The sole Saturday game is a critical matchup for both teams, as the Bulldogs strive to cemet their spot in the top six and the Bombers desperately want break into the 8. Sundays start with a bottom 3 clash between the Tigers and Kangaroos with both teams wanting to avoid the being in wooden spoon contention. The Round concludes with the Eagles still searching for their first win of the season, while the Saints look to keep their finals hopes alive with a crucial away victory. Who are you tipping and what are the best results for the Demons?

      • Thanks
    • 169 replies
    Demonland
  • PREVIEW: Brisbane

    And just like that, we’re Narrm again. Even though the annual AFL Sir Doug Nicholls Round which commemorates the contributions of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander culture to our game has been a welcome addition to our calendar for ten years, more lately it has been a portent of tough times ahead for we beleaguered Narrm supporters. Ever since the club broke through for its historic 2021 premiership, this has become a troubling time of the year for the club. For example, it all began when Melbourne rebranded itself as Narrm across the two rounds of the Sir Doug Nicholls Round to become the first club to adopt an Indigenous club name especially for the occasion. It won its first outing under the brand against lowly North Melbourne to go to 10 wins and no losses but not without a struggle or a major injury to  star winger Ed Langdon who broke his ribs and missed several weeks. In the following week, still as Narrm, the team’s 17 game winning streak came to an end at the hands of the Dockers. That came along with more injuries, a plague that remained with them for the remainder of the season until, beset by injuries, the Dees were eliminated from the finals in straight sets. It was even worse last year, when Narrm inexplicably lowered its colours in Perth to the Waalit Marawar Eagles. Oh, the shame of it all! At least this year, if there is a corner to turn around, it has to be in the direction of something better. To that end, I produced a special pre-game chant in the local Narrm language - “nam mi:wi winnamun katjil prolin ambi ngamar thamelin amb” which roughly translated is “every heart beats true for the red and the blue.” >y belief is that if all of the Narrm faithful recite it long enough, then it might prove to be the only way to beat the Brisbane Lions at the Gabba on Sunday. The Lions are coming off a disappointing draw at Marvel Stadium against a North Melbourne team that lacks the ability and know how to win games (except when playing Melbourne). Brisbane are, however, a different kettle of fish at home and have very few positional weaknesses. They are a midfield powerhouse, strong in defence and have plenty of forward options, particularly their small and medium sized players, to kick a winning score this week after the sting of last week’s below par performance.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 11 replies
    Demonland
  • REPORT: Hawthorn

    There was a time during the current Melbourne cycle that goes back to before the premiership when the club was the toughest to beat in the fourth quarter. The Demons were not only hard to beat at any time but it was virtually impossible to get the better them when scores were close at three quarter time. It was only three or four years ago but they were fit, strong and resilient in body and mind. Sadly, those days are over. This has been the case since the club fell off its pedestal about 12 months ago after it beat Geelong and then lost to Carlton. In both instances, Melbourne put together strong, stirring final quarters, one that resulted in victory, the other, in defeat. Since then, the drop off has been dramatic to the point where it can neither pull off victory in close matches, nor can it even go down in defeat  gallantly.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 1 reply
    Demonland
  • CASEY: Footscray

    At twenty-four minutes into the third term of the game between the Casey Demons and Footscray VFL at Whitten Oval, the visitors were coasting. They were winning all over the ground, had the ascendancy in the ruck battles and held a 26 point lead on a day perfect for football. What could go wrong? Everything. The Bulldogs moved into overdrive in the last five minutes of the term and booted three straight goals to reduce the margin to a highly retrievable eight points at the last break. Bouyed by that effort, their confidence was on a high level during the interval and they ran all over the despondent Demons and kicked another five goals to lead by a comfortable margin of four goals deep into the final term before Paddy Cross kicked a couple of too late goals for a despondent Casey. A testament to their lack of pressure in the latter stages of the game was the fact that Footscray’s last ten scoring shots were nine goals and one rushed behind. Things might have been different for the Demons who went into the game after last week’s bye with 12 AFL listed players. Blake Howes was held over for the AFL game but two others, Jack Billings and Taj Woewodin (not officially listed as injured) were also missing and they could have been handy at the end. Another mystery of the current VFL system.

      • Thanks
    • 0 replies
    Demonland
  • PREGAME: Brisbane

    The Demons head back out on the road in Round 10 when they travel to Queensland to take on the reigning Premiers and the top of the table Lions who look very formidable. Can the Dees cause a massive upset? Who comes in and who goes out?

      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 284 replies
    Demonland