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Demon Brownlow Betting

scully31
in Melbourne Demons

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Posted

OK, so i want to bet on monday nights brownlow medal. I thought i would have a crack at the most votes for Melbourne category.

Its out of:

James Frawley - $2.75

Brad Green - $3.00

Colin Sylvia - $4.00

Any other player - $8.50

Brent Moloney - $9.00

Tom Scully - $34.00

Who would you bet on and why?

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    Green $3. Match winning performances.

    Expect Cam Bruce to poll well for us. $8.50 is great value.

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    I did my own Brownlow count and (being a little biased) had Sylvia in the mid-teens, one vote ahead of Green.

    Take both of them, it's too hard to split.

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    Jamar?

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    I did my own Brownlow count and (being a little biased) had Sylvia in the mid-teens, one vote ahead of Green.

    Take both of them, it's too hard to split.

    This is where my money will be lost.

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    This is where my money will be lost.

    Well, I don't see anybody else possibly leading the votes for Melbourne, so if you bet evenly on both of them you should make a profit.

    Then again, I'm 15...

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    backmen dont poll well

    Edited by olgreydingo

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    Green should do ok with a few bags of goals. Looking at players who have polled votes over the years, Bruce has received most so I would imagine he will be thereabouts after an ok season. Sylvia from memory polled 5 last season, with a few more wins this season and closer contests with some good games - I expect he may go close. Unsure on Frawley despite recognition in house and among the Dees faithful.

    I would be inclined to go Sylvia at $4.00 ahead of Frawley & Green. Green will give you good sight I would imagine. The B&F supports this. However, the umpires are a different breed.

    If I was after value though (which I have been known to chase at times), at $8.50 you could support either Bruce and Jamar to do well and wish for a surprise. :)

    Good luck.

    Here's my guess for top 5 in Brownlow at Dees (in order):

    Sylvia $4.00

    Frawley $2.75

    Green $3.00

    Jamar $8.50

    Bruce $8.50

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    Save your money?

    Save your money-- but if it is a must--an other player @$8.50 is the way I'd go. Wouldn't be surprised if Tom Scully polls well.However, I feel the votes will be very mixed.

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    Sylvia for top votes by a Melbourne player. When he's on, he is eye catching.

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    I picked Green. But it's not an easy one, like Richmond.

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    Sylvia for top votes by a Melbourne player. When he's on, he is eye catching.

    Inside the mind of an umpire...

    Here is my attempt at guessing the umpires votes having gone through the games best - of course taking into consideration the opposition: -

    Sylvia - 13

    Frawley - 11

    Jamar - 8

    Moloney - 6

    Green - 5

    Davey - 3

    Miller - 3

    Junior - 2

    Scully - 2

    Bruce - 1

    Trengove - 1

    Petterd - 1

    Total = 56 votes

    slow saturday I know..

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