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Demon Brownlow Betting

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Posted

OK, so i want to bet on monday nights brownlow medal. I thought i would have a crack at the most votes for Melbourne category.

Its out of:

James Frawley - $2.75

Brad Green - $3.00

Colin Sylvia - $4.00

Any other player - $8.50

Brent Moloney - $9.00

Tom Scully - $34.00

Who would you bet on and why?

 

Green $3. Match winning performances.

Expect Cam Bruce to poll well for us. $8.50 is great value.

I did my own Brownlow count and (being a little biased) had Sylvia in the mid-teens, one vote ahead of Green.

Take both of them, it's too hard to split.

 

Jamar?


I did my own Brownlow count and (being a little biased) had Sylvia in the mid-teens, one vote ahead of Green.

Take both of them, it's too hard to split.

This is where my money will be lost.

This is where my money will be lost.

Well, I don't see anybody else possibly leading the votes for Melbourne, so if you bet evenly on both of them you should make a profit.

Then again, I'm 15...

backmen dont poll well

Edited by olgreydingo

 

Green should do ok with a few bags of goals. Looking at players who have polled votes over the years, Bruce has received most so I would imagine he will be thereabouts after an ok season. Sylvia from memory polled 5 last season, with a few more wins this season and closer contests with some good games - I expect he may go close. Unsure on Frawley despite recognition in house and among the Dees faithful.

I would be inclined to go Sylvia at $4.00 ahead of Frawley & Green. Green will give you good sight I would imagine. The B&F supports this. However, the umpires are a different breed.

If I was after value though (which I have been known to chase at times), at $8.50 you could support either Bruce and Jamar to do well and wish for a surprise. :)

Good luck.

Here's my guess for top 5 in Brownlow at Dees (in order):

Sylvia $4.00

Frawley $2.75

Green $3.00

Jamar $8.50

Bruce $8.50

Save your money?

Save your money-- but if it is a must--an other player @$8.50 is the way I'd go. Wouldn't be surprised if Tom Scully polls well.However, I feel the votes will be very mixed.


Sylvia for top votes by a Melbourne player. When he's on, he is eye catching.

I picked Green. But it's not an easy one, like Richmond.

Sylvia for top votes by a Melbourne player. When he's on, he is eye catching.

Inside the mind of an umpire...

Here is my attempt at guessing the umpires votes having gone through the games best - of course taking into consideration the opposition: -

Sylvia - 13

Frawley - 11

Jamar - 8

Moloney - 6

Green - 5

Davey - 3

Miller - 3

Junior - 2

Scully - 2

Bruce - 1

Trengove - 1

Petterd - 1

Total = 56 votes

slow saturday I know..

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