Everything posted by La Dee-vina Comedia
-
VOTES: Rd 17 vs Port Adelaide
6. Petracca 5. Salem 4. Oliver 3. McDonald 2. May 1. Petty A toss up between Petty and Gawn for the final vote. Still not sure I've chosen the more deserving.
-
Team Pressure
I can see a new useless stat being produced by Champion Data: Goals per km. Back of envelope calculation would suggest that a 60 goal season at 15.5 km per game would equal about 5km per goal. Now, all we need to work out is whether a high or low number is better! Then David King can go beserk with his analysis.
-
It’s coming home ...
I saw the picture before I read the post. I thought it was fluoro green zinc cream on his face and wondered what sort of weather conditions the game was being played in. (Good practice for the World Cup in Qatar, I suppose.)
-
Team Pressure
Makes me wonder whether the forwards with all that running actually end up doing more kms than the onballers? Do I recall reading somewhere that in his North days, Ben Brown ran more kms than anyone else?
-
It’s coming home ...
My favourite story about Wales and the UK. Made me laugh when I first read it. Now I'm not sure whether to laugh at the ignorance or cry at the implied racism.
-
COVID & AFL 2021
I appreciate your comments and on reflection I was probably mistaken in suggesting the people of Sydney were more anti-authoritarian than elsewhere in the country. And you are quite right that Melblurnians have themselves not all covered themselves in glory. Nevertheless, I still think the Sydney-based media is a huge problem for not just Sydney, but the whole country.
-
Team Pressure
I suspect TOG is, in itself, not significant. More important measures are likely to be heart rate (compared with the player's baseline), kms travelled and speed, which are all measurable in real time. In addition, TOG does not tell us how much is onball and how much might be "resting" in the forward line, although I accept that "resting" is probably not the right word to use.
-
Umpire Margetts is a bit of a bad-luck charm for Dees
I know we now live in the world of Big Lies and allegedly fake news, but unless people here have facts at their disposal, I suggest they be very careful about claiming specific individuals are biased.
-
Umpire Margetts is a bit of a bad-luck charm for Dees
I think "an element of manipulation" equals "rigged". And I don't think it happens in AFL or NRL. (However, I note that Peter V'Landy's idea for NRL splitting into two conferences, one with all Sydney teams and one without, would ensure a Sydney team plays in the Grand Final every year. That's structural manipulation.)
-
COVID & AFL 2021
I think it's too late. The people of Sydney (and NSW) have been fed a consistent diet of anti-authoritarianism for so long via 2GB and the Murdoch press that I don't trust the Sydney population to stick to the lockdown and mask rules the way people in other Australian States and territories have done. That may mean AFL games won't be held in Sydney for quite some time yet as the other State and Territories may not allow teams that play there to return home without quarantine.
-
FIXTURE: Rd 18 vs Hawthorn
I find it amusing that every time there is a discussion about days and timeslots, there seems to be equal numbers of people for and against any timeslot proposed. The possible exception is the 4.40 pm Sunday slot when played in Melbourne which I think nobody likes.
-
Local media pundits not taking MFC as a serious threat.
What was this thread about? Seems to have been somewhat derailed. Perhaps time to close it.
-
Umpire Margetts is a bit of a bad-luck charm for Dees
Where's a maths teacher when you need one? I can't explain it in simple terms, but while 5 heads in a row doesn't impact the next coin toss, over time, the number of heads and tails (assuming an unbiased coin) will eventually revert to the mean, which in this case is 50% heads and 50% tails. If Margetts is impartial, then his performance in the next game he umpires is independent of the previous games he umpired. As such, games in which he is involved, if he's impartial, should over time have a win rate consistent with our long term win rate. If, however, he is not impartial, forget the law of large numbers. It doesn't apply.
-
Team Pressure
I often wonder what the 'S' in GWS stands for. Thanks for clearing that up.
-
Team Pressure
Quote: "James Jordon’s pressure point are down from 63 to 29 per game" This might be because his role has changed rather than fatigue. Earlier in the season he was an on-baller; in the last week or two he has spent more time on the wing.
-
Team Pressure
Thanks RedFox. To clarify are you saying that 1 point is given for no pressure but in open play; 2 points is given for each incident of corralling pressure, closing pressure and chasing pressure and 3 points is given for providing physical pressure?
-
Mark Williams to the Pies?
I think Brad Scott is already at the AFL as Head of Victorian Football (or perhaps something else). His name has been floated as a potential replacement for Steve Hocking but whether there's any substance to the idea or whether some working in the media were just spitballing I have no idea. (Imgaine that. The footy media making things up!)
-
Team Pressure
Sorry Binman. I had to preserve this for posterity before you edit it. I, too, am troubled by being gatgued. And if we're doing training loafs, I hope they're wholemeal.
-
Mark Williams to the Pies?
Plus Brad Scott, Michael Voss, Justin Leppitsch, Matthew Knights and others. Not sure if any of them are interested, but each should be better second time around.
-
Mark Williams to the Pies?
Nicely ambiguous. I assume you mean he's been successful as an asisstant rather than the alternative interpretation that players and clubs liked him better after he left.
-
Team Pressure
Pressure has been given a numeric rating for both the team and individual players. It therefore follows that something quantitative is being measured which translates either directly or indirectly into "pressure". What exactly is used to measure pressure?
-
Mark Williams to the Pies?
I think the "agreement" is that assistant coaches are not approached during the season except for senior coaching roles. I don't think there's anything that says an assistant coach can't move between seasons. After all, how did Yze get to us?
-
Gary Moorcroft
Isn't that a frame taken from the TV recording? I seem to recall that there was no professional photo taken at the time and that the person with the camera that flashed was sought out for her (his?) photo. If that amateur, well-timed photo was ever published, I've never seen it.
-
Gary Moorcroft
Whether it is the best mark ever taken is arguable. What is not in question is how incredible the photo is. Perhaps only the photo of Shai Bolton's mark earlier this year is better.
-
Umpire Margetts is a bit of a bad-luck charm for Dees
There are three ways to interpret this data when predicting for future games: When Margetts umpires the data suggests we're more likely to lose because our win rate with him umpiring is 33% worse than when he's not the umpire When Margetts umpires the data suggests we're more likely to win because the law of large numbers (otherwise known as "the law of averages") would indicate that the win rate with games he umpires should move toward the mean (ie, to get from 24% to 36% would require us to win more than we lose). The data is meaningless