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The Stats of the Top 15 Picks

Demonland
in Melbourne Demons

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Interesting retrospective, thanks DL, but also meaningless stats to the job at hand.  The data is skewed by a few superb players, and has nothing to help predict how any individual from this year will go.

what would be interesting is understanding the selection algorithms of different teams, and see if there are factors for repeated success/failure.

some in other threads have also made the point that it is less about draft, more about development and culture.  Fair discussion points, I reckon.

...but #3 looks a winner!

 

 

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    Of course, there's another way to look at this. I believe you could argue (because of other factors, such as player development, etc) that there's sufficient randomness in the process for such a small selection (ie, picks 1 to 15) that over time, these figures should "even out". To make that happen the picks with lowest results will inevitably have to succeed more than those that already have. So, clubs might be wise to select players with picks which have been least successful.

    Maybe that's why we've got a new data analyst. 

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