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Stats that Matter (or a truck load of bulldust?)

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  • Author

A few Team rankings at the bye for those interested (based on average per match)

Contested Possessions 10th

Uncontested 13th

Effective Disposals 14th

Effective Disposal % 12th

Tackles 10th

Clangers 10th (lower is better)

Contested Marks 10th

Inside 50s 17th

Marks i50 17th

Clearances 18th

Rebounds 50s 9th

1 Percenters 7th

Bounces 16th

Some mad Demon stat trivia. Did you know?

  • Bernie Vince has had the most kicks of any player in a match this year with 28 against the Swans
  • Melbourne has had the most contested marks in any match this year with 17 against the Tigers
  • T Mac has had the equal most 1 percenters in a match this year with 17 against Adelaide (along with Rowe of Carlton and May from GCS)
 

I get the general gist, but does anyone here know, and if so can they explain, just what is a 1%er, and how are they measured ??

 
  • 4 weeks later...
  • Author

Top 5 Rankings

Snapshot of Stat leaders to Round 12, 2014. Rankings based on all players who have played at least 2 or more games this season.

Contested (average per game)

1. The Jones Boy (11.5)

2. J Viney (9.6)

3. D Cross (9.5)

3. D Tyson (9.5)

5. B Vince (9.1)

Uncontested

1. The Jones Boy (16.7)

2. M Jones (15.1)

3. D Tyson (14.8)

4. B Vince (14.1)

5. J Grimes (13.6)

Effective Disposals

1. The Jones Boy (20.0)

2. D Tyson (17.1)

3. D Cross (17.0)

4. M Jones (16.3)

5. L Dunn (14.9)

Effective Disposal % (Best)

AFL Team Average 72.04% (Excluding MFC)

1. N Jetta (88.7%)

2. J McKenzie (81.5%)

3. J Spencer (81.3%)

4. D Kent (79.2%)

5. J Howe (78.9%)

Effective Disposal % (Worst)

1. M Evans (47.6%)

2. C Salem (56.3%)

3. J Kennedy-Harris (60.1%)

4. B Vince (61.2%)

5. J Fitzpatrick (64.2%)

Clangers

1. J McKenzie (4.0)

2. D Tyson (3.4)

3. J Viney (2.89)

4. C Dawes (2.86)

5. B Vince (2.8)

Clearances

1. The Jones Boy (6.20)

2. D Tyson (4.6)

3. B Vince (4.5)

4. J Viney (3.3)

5. D Cross (2.7)

Tackles

1. D Cross (5.7)

2. J Viney (5.0)

3. R Bail (5.0)

4. The Jones Boy (4.9)

5. J McKenzie (4.5)

1 Percenters

1. T McDonald (9.2)

2. L Dunn (4.27)

3. C Garland (4.25)

4. C Pedersen (4.2)

5. A Georgiou (3.9)

Contested Marks

1. M Gawn (2.0)

2. J Howe (1.5)

3. C Pedersen (1.3)

4. L Dunn (0.91)

5. C Dawes (0.86)


  • Author

Demons vs League, Average Differentials and Rank to Round 12, 2014

Contested

Rank / % Differential vs Average

16 / -6.3%

Uncontested

9 / -2.4%

Effective Disposals

10 / -3.4%

Effective Disposal %

6 / 72.8% vs League 72.04%

Tackles

17 / -5.1%

Clangers

6 / -1.0%

Contested Marks

11 / -0.3%

Inside 50s

18 / -8.3%

Marks Inside 50

16 / -2.1%

Clearances

18 / -5.0%

1 Percenters

10 / -0.7%

Bounces

16 / -4.6%

  • 2 weeks later...
  • Author

Very interesting argument from Cameron Rose off 'The Roar' on contested possession stats. Very hard to disagree with him here. Highly overrated stat and too much emphasis placed on stats in general within AFL circles at present. Enjoyed his take on David King as well!

http://www.theroar.com.au/2014/06/17/contested-possession-stats-bull/

Very interesting argument from Cameron Rose off 'The Roar' on contested possession stats. Very hard to disagree with him here. Highly overrated stat and too much emphasis placed on stats in general within AFL circles at present. Enjoyed his take on David King as well!

http://www.theroar.com.au/2014/06/17/contested-possession-stats-bull/

A very worthwhile and interesting read - when it comes to the crunch, THE only stat that matters is our total points vs opponents total points.

 

Stats can be used to explain a result or a trend (if the game is not over) but goals and wins relate more to particular quality 'strings' of posessions and acts.

These quality strings may or may not relate to the stats generally.

Shorter strings will result in stat increments but if there is no scoreboard effect they have no intrinsic meaning.

I can't stand watching The War Room, I have to hit the 'mute' button.

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