Diamond_Jim

Was trying to do some research on the size of the betting pool to understand what it took to move odds but couldn't find anyhting on point. I did however come across some 2015 research by Roy Morgan that contained some fascinating info including the following: "Not surprisingly, people who support an AFL team are more than twice as likely as the average Australian to bet on the sport, with 5.0% having at least one flutter on a match in the 12 months to March 2015. But that’s nothing compared to paid-up members of AFL clubs, 13.4% of whom bet on AFL — suggesting that the stronger a supporter’s involvement, the higher the likelihood of betting on matches Of the League’s 18 teams, Melbourne Demons supporters are the most likely to take a punt on AFL (10.1% doing so in an average 12 months), ahead of North Melbourne Kangaroos (8.4%) and Fremantle Dockers supporters (7.9%)." http://www.roymorgan.com/findings/6348-betting-on-afl-supporters-game-201507212321

Have you thought of setting that to music. Something very Peter Allenesque about those words. I can just see the Qantas plane flying across the blue skies while the choir sings.

How do you let a 19 point lead with three minutes to go in a low scoring game disappear. It is almost Richmondesque

that is not a silly comment by any means If the GF were played today ... they would probably win Luckily the 0-6 start and probabilities suggest that they will fail along the way. Of course if you were ever going to start 0-6 this by some wild fluke is the season to do it.

But is he not trying to be smart but he will be at his lowest value after god forgive.... the next knock Personally... I'll take the punt but conjecture and what "ifs" is what footy is all about

unbelievable

As Beelzebub said //// that's the elephant in the corner and it is not getting any smaller

Amazing inaccuracy by both teams on what is a still night. The commentary is seriously annoying me. To state the obvious why do they have to tell me what I can see for myself. Gentle understatement rising to the crescendo when deserved is the way to go. AFL is fun but it doesn't need or merit pubescent shouting at every stage.

Strongly supporting Essendon tonight although a draw could be a really great result

According to something I read (cannot find it now)... they flew over on Thursday afternoon

Pick 12 "After playing the first two rounds of the 2014 season, Trengove missed the remainder of the season due to problems and a break in his navicular bone.[47] During the trade period, the Herald Sun reported that he was linked to Richmond in exchange for pick twelve in the 2014 national draft.[48] He was reluctant to the trade and expressed his desire to stay at Melbourne, but stated that he would not block the move if it was fulfilled.[49] The trade was set to be finalised, but a medical report was requested by Richmond, where it was discovered that he had reinjured his navicular bone, "

thanks ... makes sense for both sides Great to have him re - signed

Just a query are 2 year or 3 years the standard contracts for his age?

Just read that we had not won in Perth against either WA team since 2004 ... the fateful year where we hit the top of the ladder at Round 19 and never won another game for the season Talk about double edged omens !!

No one likes to have these conversations but they need to take place. Everyone hopes for the happy ending but we have seen with JT this year that it does not always happen. In fact in a game that is all about inches it rarely happens. Having been to a few VFL games this year it seems to me that they are scrappier with more packs than the AFL games. Just makes things harder.

That's the interesting thing. Each week I think that a logical result will mean that is the end of that club's chance to make the 8 and then comes an illogical result that makes it possible. I wrote Hawthorn off weeks ago but after last night they are still a low possibility. Swans .. who knows. This time last year the 8 was set and it was only North have such a diabolical second half to the season that maintained any interest and even then that was only in the last few weeks. Win against the Eagles and the Swans and we are up there big time. Lose both and we are very much back in the pack scrambling for the last position in the 8. My head hurts too much to try but there must be some head to head games coming up that will go a long way to determining the mathematical probabilities of each team. For example North have a comparatively easy run home but lose against the Bulldogs you would have to say they are out. Perhaps the same could be said about the Swans against Essendon and with even greater certainty if we beat them the next week. MFC v Adelaide in Darwin is shaping up as a potentially huge game should we string together wins over the next 3 weeks. Dare I say that it could be for a top 2 position and if not certainly for the top 4.

nah... we would have been thrashed by Carlton the next week. He contributed to the myth of the Great Jimmy S

Nope ... time for a Sydney loss they are getting their old swagger back and believing they have a god given right to September action. Essendon will crash by itself over time and if not they would be great to play if we made the 8.

It's a bit like the Salem discussion of a year or so back. Trade him now and what you get would be heavily discounted. I hope the problem is manageable over time and therefore I say ... no trade. But let's say Brisbane offered its second round pick (number 19 I assume) ... you would have to think about it.

Great points makes you wonder how we would line up if Weed also started pressing for selection Pedo or T mac.... very difficult ... then again the form of O mac is not a given based on 1.5 good games

a great point in that it makes him easy to spot on the field. I must confess to seeing double when Wagner and Hunt were playing together

and that is the point A quick easily accessed game that families and younger ones will flock to see if Big bash and AFLW is anything to go by. The AFL game day attendance product is increasingly becoming a product for rusted on supporters and some of their kids. (As a percentage of the population attendances are way down on the attendance in say the sixties... understandable given the alternatives available for entertainment. On the other hand the TV audience is not too bad.)

just going on what I have seen at the last two Casey matches I attended Perhaps he was lost in the fog of the outer wing last week

mmmmmmmm few of us picked Stretch as the in despite all of us hoping he made it back Goes to show that its not just numbers of possessions at VFL level that is the determinant. Stretch has done okay at VFL level but he hasn't set the world alight. Good luck Billy See the Weed, Wagner and Ben Ken have been named as emergencies so I assume they wont be playing against Box Hill on Saturday afternoon

Not a lot of must watch games this weekend. I suppose the big one is Swans v Bombers on Friday night. A few other 50/50 games in Bulldogs v North and Saints v Suns that will probably end the losers finals chances. Collingwood v Port could be interesting as well.