Macca
Life Member
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Joined
Everything posted by Macca
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Here are the games again
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Best Bet Saturday Caulfield Race 7 (Win) No.14 Begood Toya Mother $4.00
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As for Eli ... Terry Bradshaw reckons he'd have much better results in a better team so if he was to move, he might be able to help out a contender The Steelers have lost Ben for the entire season but Eli as a Steeler has an odd look about it. Maybe the Jags but Foles would step back in mid season you'd imagine. Same deal for the Saints & Brees. But it's a win now league so there will be an offer or 2. He'll probably just stay at the Giants and they still need to pay him the big bucks. But it wouldn't surprise me if he did end up elsewhere. It can't be assumed that Eli would be happy being a mentor all of a sudden.
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If anyone is looking for the lines and the Bill Simmons podcast, they are on the previous page.
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So out of the 17 weeks a decent tipping year might see one get 3 road winners about 5, 6 or 7 times. 1 in 3? But at about 6-1 or 7-1 odds for the tri-bet that's a handy return. Not that I'm encouraging gambling of course! Just thinking out loud JV. *Always gamble responsibly And you're a renowned quick starter from the gates (Schillaci) so I've been watching your tips closely ? Just need to remember who finishes well ... maybe DS? Gorg? Clinto?
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Leaderboard in the Tipping Comp 3 - JV7, Dappa Dan, Go the Biff, Dee Zephyr, Macca 2 - DeeSpencer 1 - Clintosaurus, Gorgoroth 0 - The Usual Suspects
2-2 was a fair result if we're being honest Wadda. England aren't much chop either but both teams won enough of the big moments to win 2 tests each. Compelling viewing all the same. Where we go from here is anyone's guess (in terms of building an A grade batting line-up) Right now, we're a ways off. Apart from an assortment of white-ball fixtures against various Nations we play Pakistan in 2 tests (mid to late Nov) and then 3 tests against the Kiwis from early December (Boxing day test & New year test included) England go to South Africa for 4 tests (Dec/Jan) and that will be an interesting series. Archer might create a bit of havoc on the sporting wickets in Sth Africa.
I thought it was a great piece of bowling by Leach. Labuschagne became unbalanced by a perfectly executed delivery. Not your normal stumping where the batsman charges the bowler.
There are other batsmen who I'd prefer to see who (IMO) are more suitable. Renshaw, Pucovski & Patterson all look good to me and there's almost certainly 1 or 2 others. And in Australian conditions there are any number of batsmen who can shine (including the aforementioned Warner, Harris, Bancroft, Head & Wade) We just continue to struggle away from home (notably in India & England)
A self fulfilling prophesy DJ?
Harris & Head can be added to that list DJ. Time for some new blood. We actually need 4 batsmen which is unprecedented. If Alex Carey was in the side we could bat him as high as no.5 whilst Mitch Marsh could maybe bat at no.7. Regardless, there's a lot of holes to fill. Yet here we are retaining the Ashes. Strange days indeed.
Patriots Browns Chiefs
Yes true ... and as the race becomes an even greater prize for the Internationals they might end up closing the loop-hole for those 3yo European horses. Once there isn't the need for the lure of all things European, they may well turn the focus onto more local representation. Of course we don't exactly breed stayers here but European horses left here under the care of local trainers soon become our own. Adopted that way. It can't be turned into a race solely for 3yo European horses and the VRC would be fully aware of that. For now, it's fine, but I reckon the loophole will be closed once it looks like it might be getting out of hand. 3yo's properly weighted as 4yo's would add a few kilo's thus evening the score. In the meantime local trainers will continue to look for European 2yo staying types to purchase. But they don't come cheap as those selling know there's quite a reasonable demand. We just have to get used to the fact that the race is a truly international one and local punters need to learn how to read overseas form. With a heavy accent on Group form - Wins & Places. Forget times. Just horses that perform well at mainly G1 & G2 level. And then those dropping down to lightweights are the absolute standouts (such as Rekindling & Cross Counter)
England will probably win this test but we've got the prize for a good while (maybe until 2023 unless they somehow manage to defeat us here in 2021/22) And I'm not sure England cared too much when we won the 5th test of the 1972 series in England to draw level 2-2. Enjoy the moment.
Excellent run by Mr Quickie ... beat a number of good horses home at WFA level. I believe it's virtually guaranteed a run in the Melbourne Cup too (30th in order of entry) Carrying 52.5kg unless it gets penalised further. In other Melbourne Cup news ... last year's 3 placegetters are all returning for the race. Cross Counter (57.5kgs), Marmelo (56kgs) & Prince of Arron (53kgs) The race is now a 'Quality Hcp' as opposed to being a straight handicap these days DZ. As well as being run as a truly International race. The weight scale is usually ranging from 57.5kgs down to 51kgs in more recent times. Previously the scale would be much wider (61kgs down to 47kgs)
Harlem was 66-1 when it won the Australian cup but then won the same race again earlier this year at 30-1 They went around quick too in today's Makybe Diva Stakes (01:33.97 for the mile) Quite a good field too. Anyway, close on half a million to the connections and Gatting has now won nearly 2 million. Maybe the Perth form is better than we regard it as. Another WA Mare Arcadia Queen did it easy today although the field in the 'Theo Marks' wasn't strong. Again, another slick time (01:14.96 for the 1300m) I thought we might have seen the W.A galloper Galaxy Star over here as well as that horse has beaten Gatting twice recently. Retired now and is heading for a visit with 'Justify' in the USA. They are racing for a lot of money in the Spring carnival these days (NSW racing has made a quantum leap more recently) so Bob Peters and co are now bringing their better horses here. 'Enticing Star' should be stepping out soon (most likely in Sydney)
So how many can we chase down Wadda? Any more than 300 is an ask. 350 and England win you'd imagine. They are now 2-157 (effectively) and if Stokes gets going the match could slip away very quickly Not conceding yet but I must say I would have taken a 2-2 result in a heartbeat before the series started. I thought they'd win 3-1 or 2-1 so retaining the Ashes is a bit of a surprise. Our batting has been diabolical apart from Smith & to a lesser degree Labuschagne. Yet even so, we should have been up 3-0 going into this test (if we hadn't have blown the 3rd test)
Yeah that was me misreading someone's post again ... my excuse is I was a bit punch-drunk and reeling back in horror when Gatting kept going! Either that or the Norm Smith curse has infiltrated the racing thread on this site. And I got the race 9 exacta with Mosh Music & Royal Ace. I had Mosh Music marked 2nd so the $13 on offer seemed way overs. The Mare sure knows how to win ... 7 from 10 now which is a great record. A black booker BM
I got about 130-1 on the 5pick and had 3 coffees on it! So yeah, I do bet small to win big but was really confident on all 5. Your best bet, DZ's, Arcadia Queen and Alfarris (place) in the 1st race. Never been more confident! The payout could well of been reduced though because of the scratchings. I will somtimes purposely design a multi for a 4 figure return. But I'm usually not that confident with them. But I was very very confident with our 3pick as well as the 5. As it was Alfarris won! But thems the breaks ... with today's ok profit I will load into Purton & Moreira at Sha Tin tomorrow. Just a series of doubles. If both jockeys feature I'll probably win. I do like the 'picked-out' double. Can usually work it up to about 10-1 up to 15-1 so you only need 1 collect to turn a profit. The Storm aren't getting it easy here Wadda ... Raiders taking it right up to them
I'm still in a daze and numb from just missing out on nearly 2.0k Wadda ... pardon my indulgence! Overall I'm in front as I picked up a shortened version of that 5pick multi and got a few other collects. Kept thinking that somehow Gatting didn't actually win or that we can somehow fast track a failed swab ha ha It's not like the horse had an easy run either. I suppose Harlem won the Australian Cup twice so you never know hey? It's W.A form is quite reasonable but nothing startling. Makes you think that the horse it can't get past (Galaxy Star) would do well over in the East as well. And 'Great Shot' for that matter.
Fair enough Have I mentioned that I'm ultra superstitious Wadda ha ha! Anyway, I just got a wimner in Mizzy but I had a 5pick multi going with Mystic Journey as the final leg ... a decent 4 figure payoff too. Damn annoying.
