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Demon Dynasty

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Everything posted by Demon Dynasty

  1. Hannan is a mind boggling out of form replacement decision from Goody & Co. Bugg & Tyson before Hannan were the obvious ins to ensure we didnt lose so many stoppage clearances with Viney out. Hannan will need to play a super second half to justify that selection.
  2. He has been solid up till then but must play within his limitations. That is also a Coach's role, to ensure they drill it in training and have players going past on support for the easy give and better decision making/disposal outcomes in the hands of better ball users.
  3. That is true to an extent chook. He needs to impact more often at the drop and take a few more risks off his man and back himself.
  4. The Dogs are bound to be up and about with run early. We will need to win the center clearances heavily. At the moment we are getting killed here. If they get a run on we need a plan B to counter our horrible zone defense. Man on man pls
  5. If u ever needed a reason to never play T-Mac down back....there it was! Will Goody ever learn the basic does and donts!??
  6. Pure Stats Form Guide & Predictor Last Round Statistical Comparison Scoring Efficiency Demons Bulldogs Disposals Per Goal 34.0 41.7 % In50s Goal 16.7 19.1 Conversion % 35.1 64.3 Total Players By Games Demons Games Bulldogs 5 Less than 50 11 9 50 to 99 5 4 100 to 149 3 4 150 or more 3 Note: Half the Bulldog's players are rookies (sub 50 games) giving the Demons a significant (in theory) on field advantage (6 less rookies), all things being equal and no last minute outs / changes. Top 10 Players (Last Round) Comparison - Score / Rank* Player Score Ranking Player Score Ranking Angus Brayshaw 5.700 1 Jason Johannisen 5.150 1 Christian Petracca 5.175 2 Lachlan Hunter 4.225 2 Clayton Oliver 4.800 3 Toby McLean 4.150 3 Jack Viney# 4.200 4 Dale Morris 3.900 4 Jordan Lewis 4.150 5 Josh Dunkley 3.850 5 James Harmes 4.075 6 Marcus Adams 3.450 6 Tom McDonald 3.800 7 Caleb Daniel 3.400 7 Christian Salem 3.625 8 Jackson Trengove 3.300 8 Max Gawn 3.475 9 Bradley Lynch 3.225 9 Bayley Fritsch 3.125 10 Luke Dahlhaus 3.100 * Scores do not account for ruckman's Hit Outs to Advantage. # Viney a late omission for Hannan. Hannan's Weighted Season Score is 2.40 Team Score Form Comparison (from each team's last encounter allowing for this week's Ins/Outs) Demons: 68.58 Bulldogs: 58.02 Weighted Score Form Differential: Demons +10.56 Pure Stats Predictor: The Demons by 20 points* *Does not account for potential umpire bias or late changes! EDIT: Changes for Viney out Hannan in..... Demons: 66.78 Bulldogs: 58.02 Weighted Score Form Differential: Demons +8.76 Pure Stats Predictor: The Demons by 17 points*
  7. Buddy is one that LOVES a big ground though BZ. Would need to pressure the supply big time and have O-Mac at his best. Outside of that they are mostly a defensive team and sluggish down back. If we can get Jeffy and Hogan into some really good form (and possibly Stretch back and fit if JKH doesn't fire up) i reckon we're a chance to beat both of them and make it. Hopefully we can snuff out the Doggies tomorrow otherwise i doubt any of this will matter much at all.
  8. Only time will tell FD but yes the Saints loss and some of Goody's selections/non-selections along with some interesting game day roles / match ups might end up costing us. Losing Lever and Hogan dropping off a cliff for around 3 matches (beginning with the Pies) also hasn't helped. A little bit of luck might be needed in other results.
  9. Using ladder predictor the 2 MUST WIN matches that will assure us a place in finals (5th) are beating the Crows in Adelaide and the Swans at the G. Both matches effectively 8 point games for us (and them) given where the clubs are presently positioned. Drop either of those and we are more than likely toast. Beating the Cats against the odds next week would mean only having to snatch one of the above however.
  10. No....2 games with Casey now. Still looks a little off AFL level in terms of match fitness etc and hasn't really shown the form needed .....yet. Hopefully he can find his mojo as he is one of our more accurate shots at goal when he finds form. Something sadly lacking among too many of late.
  11. JKH needs to be played (mostly) in the forward 50 if he is to have any impact IMHO. If we play him off a wing he will likely struggle defensively. Think we could have gone Bugg as another alternative as well but what you gain with forward pressure you lose in finishing in front of goal. Almost the reverse of JKH! Either way, playing JKH (mostly) forward releases Spargo to play a higher role (more of the time vs forward) allowing him to rotate with Melk and possibly Tracc, allowing JKH to play in his more suited position. Knows where the goals are if he can find some space. I have yet to see JKH bring any sort of decent sustained pressure at AFL level when we haven't got the ball and playing him higher up will leave us exposed on the counter. I might well be wrong of course and his defensive side might have improved but for mine he is only dangerous offensively, closer to goals (sub 40 meters or thereabouts). Left mostly in a forward role he just might snag 3 to 4 and be quite damaging IF he can bring form similar to that shown recently at VFL level and up it a notch against the big dawgs. If he goes into coasting mode when we don't have the ball i will spew up! Let's hope he has found a defensive side.
  12. I think if we play Fritschkrieg off one wing and Spargo off the other we should be ok. Jeffy up forward and Frosty down back have some toe also. Need T-Mac, JKH and in particular Hogan and Jeffy to click and fire up forward for the above to work though, including a number of contested marks and plenty of pressure on their defenders to help out our mids and HBs. In addition we need to cover the corridor when we don't have the ball and push them out wide and down the lines on the kick ins. If this isn't working early with the usual zone press Goody has to be willing to go man on man in our forward half and also covering any individual Doggies that have speed through the middle. Effectively a plan B if the zone press is showing early signs of fracturing (this could result from the press getting too skinny or drawn too deep into our forward line, allowing the opp to get the ball out the back...something i feel we have erred with in the past on the wider expanses of the G). If we can't contain the Doggies on their slingshot 'attempts' at the G with this line up we will have learned nothing from the Saints debacle.
  13. I hope so also SW. Can't see him impacting off the wing. Hopefully Spargo to push up as required.
  14. I can't agree more. Just play your most suitable players in their best starting positions. T-Mac starting from the goal square pls.
  15. JKH was very good on the weekend. Would be nice to see the Ins from last week get at least 3 weeks at it though, provided they don't have a mare along the way. Having said that Spargo had 0 contested possessions and only 2 tackles inside 50 so you never know. Spargo might have sailed very close to the wind but i don't think any of the 4 Ins were bad enough to see the FD hit the eject button yet IMO. 50+ point win also and first game back for over 10 weeks for some. Need a few weeks to find their match fitness / pace & the intensity of AFL again (not Spargo i realise...but still a green rookie).
  16. Just my view but has to remain inside 50 or thereabouts DD and probably his best work will be inside 30. Resembles a quick thinking old school rover feeding off packs and getting into space for the opportunist snap or mark/set shot. The outside run further up field might happen as he develops a bigger tank but i think if he returns and is played higher up the field to start with it would be wasted and he'd end up back at Casey in no time.
  17. Didn't do enough for mine DD but the conditions were atrocious. NQR (ready) for the step up just yet IMHO.
  18. I would say 5 weeks....last reasonable game vs Crows. Might get one more go at it with this week a marginal improvement on the horribilis of last week where any improvement might have fooled some into thinking it was a reasonable game. JKH must be close to pushing him out after the Norf match. Hannan was reasonable also but had plenty of chances at senior level. More time needed at Casey to convince surely. ANB hasn't really shown much since the Doggies match either and against the Dockers i think enough has been said already regarding the state of his form. No obvious in form replacement at this point with his two way running capability so i reckon he stays for now. Needs to get more of the pill and improve his finish substantially to avoid the inevitable. Other than Melk and Joel Smith i doubt anyone else will be looked at. The FD will be frustrated with the Joel situation as (like ANB) there really isn't another obvious in form (tall) defender replacement presenting right now who hasn't already been tried. My gut feel is they will leave an unchanged line up vs the Doggies. Melk / Joel potentially on notice on the bench? JKH, Hannan (again), Vince (again) & Tyson named emergencies for encouragement?
  19. Vander's first game back was noteworthy. The conditions might have suited him but the intensity, attack at the contest and effort was first rate. Nice to see he hasn't stopped taking the angry pills also. JKH easily the best finisher and got to the right places on many occasions reading the play well. As long as he's playing a role mostly close to goal I wouldn't mind seeing him given a stint in place of Spargo or Jeffy if the window opens at some point. Would be interesting to see how he handles the step up.
  20. 6. Gus - no coincidence we win more often with Gus in the starting 3 mids 5. Tracc - played more time through the mid in place of Jones...working 4. Stretch - Solid return and found his 2017 mojo (against weak opp?) 3. Clarry - Choo Choo! 2. Gawn - Cruisin 1. Fritschkrieg - Like a mature red in a young body! SPECIAL! Apologies Viney, Harmes, Lewis & T-Mac
  21. The other fellas must learn from others who are doing more of this Clint. The best, funnily enough is a rookie in FritschKrieg, followed by Brayshaw, Harmes and to a lessor extent Clarry. I say Fritschkrieg as he will allow a player to commit, side step around (breaking tackles also at times), once tackle is missed and player"s passed him he then has space in front to run on and has given himself time and space to find and hit his next target up field. The Tigers are brilliant at doing exactly that and effectively have a stack of Fritschkriegs running around making their opponents over commit, using evading skills with side steps/stiff arms etc and running around them to deliver up field or lateral. Very damaging old school football methods that aren't used by enough players (or who possibly aren't capable of doing so....not as easy as it looks when the pros do it as well as this eh).
  22. 12 rookies vs 7 for us. We did what needed doing. Fix the constant bombing and break neck running and bombing inside without looking for and hitting up more options in much better positions to score (on better angles and closer to goal...Lewis, Hogan, Viney & Jones the ones i recall tonight) and we win that by 15 goals
  23. Not a bad return tonight after 10 weeks out. Would like to see him work harder at getting front and square more often though in coming weeks if he is to impact the scoreboard more often IMO. A few opportunities missed in that regard. Hopefully that will come with improved AFL match fitness in the next few weeks.
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