binman

70% is impressive. Interesting that both models are so close.

Is this a genuine question froggy? I ask because it feels a bit like a gotcha, set up question.

He said what? Was it the first of April?

Yep. I have seen some posts calling for Sparrow to be dropped. I think what his critics perhaps don't factor in is that he is given specific roles. And far from goody playing favourites he's a best 22 lock because he does the jobs goody asks him to do.

Brilliant, thanks wheelo. My interest in stats and data is really about the story they tell, particularly when triangulated. I'm a Luddite when it comes to the mathematical aspect, but if you don't understand how they are calculated it's impossible to know what story they tell. What does the data say about your strike rate for accurately predicting results? Another q - am I right to assume the player ratings you use are the champion data ratings (I might have asked you that before, apologies if I have). And how do determine the predicted ratings?

There are some very curious stats this week, but one in particular stands out. We had more 1.1 km metres gained than the Eagles. Which is incredible. In previous seasons, with our forward half game that would not be that remarkable - but it is this year. I suspect it might be our biggest diff for metres gained all season. Normally such a differential, for any club, but in seasons past particularly us, would correlate with smashing the oppo for inside 50 and time in forward half. But we were dead even for inside 50s and 49% to their 51% for time in forward half. @Binmans PA, I wondered if one factor for these seemingly contradictory numbers might be related to the point you have made a few times about how deep our defence often sits this season - ie we often win the ball back deep in our defence, effectively lengthening the ground. Thoughts? Amy other theories?

Thanks wheelo. Coincidentally, I'm on the train to work and just downloaded the wheelo app. Brilliant product. Great navigation. Easy to use. Visually works really well. Kudos. A question, how are team ratings calculated (I know it's a combo of attack and defence, but how are the scores for each determined)?

Spot on - on all counts. He's the love child of jackovich and Brett Lovett. i had checked the tracker and was surprised how quick he is (note: average speed in attack is running when we have the ball). And clearly a super hard worker, as evidenced by topping average speed in defence (note: running when the opponents have the ball - the best indicator of work rate and spread).

I can take that one. Have already run the numbers on one young gun.

If AMW can take the quality small forwards like Cody weightman and Bobby Hill, Mcvee is freed up to play higher up the ground, where his beautiful kicking and elite decision making can be even more damaging.

The old reverse Neita.

I would not be surprised if AMW keeps his spot in the team going forward. He's been terrific. Strong in the contest, and a good user. And he has something that all teams want - genuine leg speed. Could he be the small defender we've missed since jetts in 2018?

Who do you reckon they barrack for? I'm tipping the pies.

Mark Murphy's votes on abc radio were 3 Rivers 2 JVR 1 Windsor The kids are alright

We're on?

Go you good things.

Thanks

The weed? True 'nuff. That can't be said of jeffo fortunately. He goes hard in the air.

That's great. They wont select him if they don't think he is ready. And they obviously know where he is at in terms of meeting his KPIs etc. If he is selected fans can be confident he is ready to roll.

Not quite sure what point you are making here. We should select Jefferson because there are key forwards who aren't great with their second efforts? A better comparison would be Sam Weideman vis a vis the key reason his AFL career is a bust.

Agree. I reckon he's lucky to be in the side at all to be honest.

I'm confident. My eye is in this weekend on the punt. Excellent results on port and the giants. As a rule, I don't back the dees, but if I did i reckon the 33 points line is great value. We are getting close to our optimal shape and think we will go hard early to establish a break. The eagles could bounce of the talk players are nor behind Simpson, but equally that could be a bad portent. Dees fans know all about how corrosive such chatter can be. And they are comimg off a six day break and travel, to our 8 day and no travel. As always the key will be taking our early chances. If we do I could see us giving them a touch up. By the by the other bet that I reckon is value is the crows making their 27 point line.

I doubt he will. Not AFL level fit enough yet. And whilst he has improved his second efforts, they are nor instinctive yet.

Anyone at the ground? If so, can you please advise if the top of the Ponsford is open.

And for those driving in a song by a much underrated artist: