DemonHauntedWorld

I'll be rooting for a 128-72 scoreline so Swans miss out by 0.001%. 😆

Here's a more complete table. If Saints score: Swans must score at least: Swans must win by at least: 10 48 38 15 54 39 20 61 41 25 67 42 30 74 44 35 80 45 40 87 47 45 93 48 50 100 50 55 106 51 60 113 53 65 119 54 70 126 56 75 132 57 80 139 59 85 145 60 90 152 62 95 159 64 100 165 65 105 172 67 110 178 68 115 185 70 120 191 71

Yeah I think they're moving forward now.

I'm guessing he wouldn't play for a team called 'the demons'. He's that sort of nutty. The saints on the other hand...

I'm not tired of winning yet.

Weideman - deserves Zimbabwean dollars

Yeah I did. I sure hope so. My initial assumption was that I'd find heaps of 0-2 teams make the 8 because it's just two games as everyone keeps saying. I was surprised by how much teams were clustered at the bottom. I didn't realise I'd need to run a randomised controlled trial to meet the statistical standards of demonland. Lesson learned.

Spot on chookrat.

Yeah I'd like to hope we're a fair bit better than the average 0-2 team since 1995. I'm just providing the numbers. Make of them what you wish.

So I ran the numbers to see where teams tend to finish on the ladder when they start a season 0-2. And it wasn't that reassuring. Since 1995 (i.e 16+ teams) here's where teams that started 0-2 finished: Only 9% of teams that start 0-2 since 1995 have finished in the top 4. (The Pies last year were 0-2, 74% before finishing 5th.) If you just look just at teams on the bottom of the ladder after two rounds it's even worse: Only 1 team out of 24 (4%) that was on the bottom after two rounds finished in the top 4. In case you're wondering, that was St Kilda in 1997. So, yeah, let's hope we can do a St Kilda.

Enjoyed your summaries all season. Thanks joeboy.

His disposal was fine. It's not his fault his team mates are muppets.

In fairness he did have 37 disposals (23 contested) and 17 clearances...

I know there's been a bit of chatter on here about the team with the highest percentage to miss finals and whether we will take the crown this season so I ran my own numbers. The good news is, if you go back far enough in VFL/AFL history our current percentage of 130.5 wouldn't figure in the top 5. We won't even take Melbourne's record. Of course, for a lot of those seasons the proportion of sides making finals was a lot smaller. If we look just at AFL history though we're a near certainty to break the record if we lose the next two: Better just get a win this weekend and I can stop looking at these morbid stats...