Completely right. And apologies if this has been covered as I haven't read much of the rest, but
I watched the higlights clips shown at tjhe B&F. [My recollection is] Hogan featured kicking about 5 goals, I think. Of these 1 was a set shot, from the boundary, J-curve style. The other ~4 were in play-on situations very close to goal, no doubt some were 'Joe-the-goose' types.
Jesse wasn't a 50 goal lead, mark / contested mark, set shot goal kicker. Many of his goals werr in general play.
So I think Petracca and his agility in and around packs coupled with strong body is key to replacing Jesse's goals, as well as a well functioning Fwd Line where ground players kick more goals.