praha

If you win the QF you get a home Prelim. If you lose the QF or win an EF, the Prelim is an away game. If we win our first QF regardless of location and regardless of opponent, our Prelim is at the MCG. Even if the opponent finished higher.

Collingwood is still most likely to finish 1st and we would back ourselves in to beat them. Meaning we'd never travel. I'd rather play interstate in the QF than a Prelim.

Honestly is he were smart he'd take his paycheck and stick around. He's a walk-up Reserve, no questions asked. Gawn ain't playing 22-26 games a year anymore. Doubt he'll accept that thoughh.

So what they say about the MCC is true?

Nah it's about right. GWS game was outrageous given neutral venue and how both teams were playing at the time.

Weird flex by Collingwood to be throwing the game against Brisbane given we're they're biggest threat (provided we lock away 4th).

He barely played in his first 6 seasons so the stat isn't surprising when you think about it.

I've seen lots. Just got an email from the club as well. https://shop.melbournefc.com.au/gawn-200/ Also seen a few interviews on TV (these would be organised by the media department).

Who do you replace him with? A forward line of Fritsch, Melksham, JVR, and Smith is agile, strong, and plays taller than it is.

Milpool.....

Nothing against the kid but he shouldn't be in a top 4 side this deep into the season. He'd struggle to make North's 22.

The irony of them saying this is the worst top 4 in their lifetime when they won a flag against a Ross Lyon-coached Fremantle team lol

with figures this large, excluding that game doesn't make much difference. The average increases by 2-3k (estimate without me actually looking at the numbers].

Nothing against Hawthorn but I think we'll put on a clinic on Sunday. I rate the Hawks but we'll get it done.

Goodwin summed it up... games like that are decided by moments. The moment... Salem kicked a goal. or. The moment... Salem sprayed it and didn't even make the distance. The moment... JVR is awarded a free kick on the boundary. or. The moment the umpire conteoversually sees but doesn't call a blatant free kick in a high pressure game. The "moments" fell Carlton's way. Barely anyone is talking about Carlton three goals to start the quarter. All of the "moments" were Melbourne non-moments: Melbourne had control of the moment but it didn't work out. Literally a finger tip away from 2nd and likely a home QF. Salem makes the most of that "moment" in the 2021 Grand Final. Ditto, Petracca: his shot on goal was almost a mirror for the first goal in 2021 GF. Moments make a difference. They didn't go our way. Three weeks ago the "moment" was Melksham's. The moment on Saturday night was that it wasn't Melbourne's moment.

Reality we face is that the weekend is a must win to cement top 4. If we lose and Carlton win, then odds suddenly shift in Carlton's favour with them facing GWS at Marvel. Bet your house that Mitchell will get the Hawks up for this to severely dent our season. They will throw everything at us. They are primed to end the season well. An absolute must win against Hawthorn. We have to close it out.

Carlton has the best forward in the league and looked far more inept.

We should win by at least 5-6 goals. I rate Mitchell as a coach and he's got them playing good football. But surely they don't roll Brisbane, Collingwood AND Melbourne?

he also beat his opponent considering conditions.

Nah was maybe 65-35 Carlton way. Maybe 70-30. And I was in AFL Members surrounded by Carlton.

Carlton never looked like scoring in the 1st. They kicked it to contest after contest hoping Curnow would clunk one. We absorbed it brilliantly but couldn't get it out. We defended better than they did imo across the entire game. We gave them easy access and possession and entries but we set up behind the ball very well. That was finals calibre defense. They had 26% F50 efficiency. You just don't win finals with that.

I'll let them wear it. Haven't played finals in a decade. We were the same once. And I gave it to them last year. They deserved it. Good on them.

Carlton maybe deserved to win that but we were undoubtedly robbed. Confident we beat them in finals. They would be filthy with that loss. Hopefully it motivates them. Brown is done but he's a better inclusion than Grundy because he doesn't infringe on Gawn. We'd have been better without Grundy tonight. Carlton were desperate to play finals. That was always a loss in the books. They needed to tick that box. Felt like tonight was similar to Melb v West Coast circa round 22 in 2018. If we meet them in finals we'll bury them. They won a 50/50 H&A game tonight. Not threatened by a team that loses 6 in a row during the year.

I don't think we're playing average. They are just all over it. We've taken our chances. They need to put us away.

Carlton has the best forward in the league and they're playing ultra defensive against a premiership defense. they need to open it up. We'll [censored] this in otherwise.