YearOfTheDees

Yep the opening book and then it's all logarithm. I love watch the live betting swings crazy on match day. When I was young bookies would take a chance to lose but thats gone now. Of course when I was young there was no sports betting, at least not legal betting.

Last week on Monday North were $1.32 and we were $3.40 lasted all of about two minutes. Bookie do not care who win as long as it is them. Thats why they push Multis so hard. Only time bookies set odds is on the opening book then the logarithm takes over.

Betting odd have nothing to do with form, If some one had placed $50,000 on North they would have started fav. Odds are based on the outcome for the betting company. Thats why they alway win.

You know if you go to the ladbroke app and look at all the bets of the grand Final most involved Freo winning it. The number of $17000 to win $500,000 " the max you could win" is amazing. Best have been a great year for them watching Freo implode .

I think our job here is done. pick four, pick three is a chance but might involve the Hawks in an upset I could not handle. Pick four it is.

How good would that have been. but we can't be greedy we are getting gems each week at the moment.

Crazy season a win on Saturday and Carlton could be back outside the eight. Only thing better than beating Carlton is destroying their dreams. Strangely I'm a lot more confident about this game than last week. We just might be 2nd one game from the top with two game to go, I thought 2nd was a chance four weeks ago but never had 1st in my sight. Just keep winning Dees.

Not all of us..

2nd it ours at least for a week.

14 points in it with a quarter to go.

First goal to the death riders. Freo need to win by 80 points to climb up one spot.

Blues doing what we did today thinking about next week instead of the job at hand.

Blues looking 2nd rate at the moment.

So we ended up with a one point percentage gap to the Lions. But we got the four points .

So one goal in the first and one goal in the last.

He has been murdered by the Umps today.

Not yet. Lions still to play. But with a big last quarter we can stay there even if they win.

Gets another game.

One more and we pass The Lions percentage.

Early bit it looks like Goodwin might have had a few words to them.

We went bang in the 1st quarter.

I have to have faith in the match committee, but he would have got the gig in front of Smith for mine.

76% on ground .

Wish you luck with that, needed Gawn to kick that goal from the pocket for a big payout last week.

He needs to. The issue with this is you start believing you don't have to turn up at the start. So much of footy is between the ears.