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WheeloRatings

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  1. Thanks @binman , I did have the round 6 bye marked but then I re-pasted the data and forgot to add the bye again!
  2. I only have pressure rating data since the start of 2023 (only missing rounds 4 & 6 2023) and only for Melbourne and their opponent. Firstly, Melbourne's average pressure this season is lower than the last two seasons, but it's marginally higher than our opponents. Melbourne's average pressure by season Season For Agn 2023 181.4 183.5 2024 178.6 180.4 2025 175.9 175.4 Melbourne's best quarter this season is the third with an average of 182.3 (opponent 175.6) and worst is the fourth with an average of 170.7 (opponent 175.0) - which probably wouldn't surprise. Apologies for the formatting, but here are the pressure ratings per game (For | Against | Differential). I have highlighted Melbourne's worst games in terms of pressure differential (-10 or worse) OR absolute pressure (175 or worse). It was clearly worse around the byes last year but not as clear in 2023. 2023 R1: 188 | 169 | +19 R2: 187 | 177 | +10 R3: 170 | 168 | +2 R5: 174 | 191 | -17 R7: 169 | 163 | +6 R8: 184 | 177 | +7 R9: 184 | 175 | +9 R10: 194 | 205 | -11 R11: 185 | 198 | -13 R12: 170 | 170 | +0 R13: 183 | 186 | -3 R14: BYE R15: 196 | 196 | +0 R16: 186 | 187 | -1 R17: 172 | 175 | -3 R18: 168 | 180 | -12 R19: 183 | 191 | -8 R20: 181 | 183 | -2 R21: 175 | 182 | -7 R22: 200 | 206 | -6 R23: 180 | 163 | +17 R24: 187 | 197 | -10 QF: 178 | 192 | -14 SF: 178 | 189 | -11 2024 R0: 182 | 190 | -8 R1: 177 | 162 | +15 R2: 189 | 172 | +17 R3: 182 | 189 | -7 R4: 190 | 182 | +8 R5: 168 | 201 | -33 R7: 170 | 171 | -1 R8: 176 | 170 | +6 R9: 202 | 194 | +8 R10: 184 | 189 | -5 R11: 174 | 160 | +14 R12: 175 | 181 | -6 R13: 164 | 187 | -23 R14: BYE R15: 189 | 195 | -6 R16: 172 | 190 | -18 R17: 191 | 168 | +23 R18: 176 | 190 | -14 R19: 173 | 154 | +19 R20: 180 | 189 | -9 R21: 172 | 176 | -4 R22: 179 | 186 | -7 R23: 181 | 175 | +6 R24: 161 | 178 | -17 2025 R1: 189 | 190 | -1 R2: 172 | 176 | -4 R3: 174 | 175 | -1 R4: 166 | 181 | -15 R5: 164 | 178 | -14 R6: 187 | 164 | +23 R7: 193 | 161 | +32 R8: 173 | 182 | -9 R9: 176 | 172 | +4 R10: 165 | 169 | -4 R11: 190 | 190 | +0 R12: 162 | 167 | -5
  3. I only have data from 2021 onwards, but in that time there have been four instances of two or fewer forward half scoring chains: 1.0 - St Kilda v Western Bulldogs, R10 2021 0.2 - GWS v Brisbane, R18 2022 1.1 - Essendon v GWS, R23 2023 2.0 - St Kilda v Melbourne, R12 2025
  4. Melbourne v St Kilda (Round 12, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251206 PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 159 160 -1 2 174 152 +22 3 180 188 -8 4 132 161 -29 Match 162 167 -5 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Trent Rivers 17 44 30.7 Xavier Lindsay 18 36 27.6 Christian Salem 13 36 21.2 Kade Chandler 14 32 33.2 Ed Langdon 13 31 31.2 Tom Sparrow 11 30 37.4 Clayton Oliver 9 26 52.1 Max Gawn 9 26 21.5 Aidan Johnson 10 24 28.8 Jake Bowey 9 23 28.7 Harvey Langford 13 23 21.3 Daniel Turner 12 23 16.2 Bayley Fritsch 9 22 20.5 Harry Sharp 11 22 19.8 Kysaiah Pickett 9 21 36.8 Harrison Petty 9 20 18.3 Jake Melksham 11 19 20.1 Caleb Windsor 8 17 23.4 Jake Lever 10 17 19.5 Christian Petracca 7 14 34.9 Judd McVee 5 10 16.8 Steven May 4 10 9.9 Bailey Laurie 4 6 6.0 Source: Herald Sun
  5. Melbourne v St Kilda (Round 12, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251206 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 72.9 76.4 -3.5 72.6 Kicking Efficiency 71.7 73.5 -1.7 66.2 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 63.2 36.8 +26.4 Inside 50s 57 40 +17 Shots At Goal 27 22 +5 Scores Per Inside 50 49.1 52.5 -3.4 44.9 Goals Per Inside 50 12.3 35.0 -22.7 23.8 Marks Inside 50 14 10 +4 Transition Chain To Score % 28.4 21.0 +7.4 20.9 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 32.0 18.2 +13.8 22.9 Defensive 50 To Score % 20.0 14.5 +5.5 9.4 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 42.2 29.5 +12.7 31.3 Defensive Half To Score % 17.8 21.8 -4.0 13.0 Contest Contested Possessions 117 116 +1 Ground Ball Gets 67 78 -11 Post Clearance Contested Poss 75 70 +5 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 44 50 -6 Contested Marks 14 12 +2 Clearance Total Clearances 32 30 +2 Centre Clearances 9 11 -2 Stoppage Clearances 23 19 +4 First Possessions 31 36 -5 First Possession To Clearance % 74.2 69.4 +4.7 75.1 Defense Intercepts 57 51 +6 Intercept Marks 16 15 +1 Tackles 56 52 +4 Tackles Inside 50 8 8 +0 Def One On One Loss % 27.3 23.5 +3.7 25.7 Ruck Hitouts 32 25 +7 Hitouts To Advantage 7 6 +1 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Steven May 6.1 6.6 4.1 1.3 18.2 96% Kysaiah Pickett 0.5 5.1 5.0 2.9 13.5 88% Christian Petracca 0.4 6.9 3.2 2.7 13.2 87% Harvey Langford 2.8 2.3 2.8 3.1 10.9 73% Judd McVee 4.7 1.5 2.0 2.0 10.3 85% Daniel Turner 4.1 1.2 4.5 −0.2 9.6 86% Kade Chandler 1.1 6.9 0.4 0.6 9.0 80% Max Gawn 0.2 1.8 3.0 3.8 8.8 87% Jake Bowey 2.4 0.6 3.0 2.8 8.7 82% Jake Melksham 3.6 1.0 2.1 1.8 8.5 75% Bayley Fritsch 6.5 0.0 1.1 0.3 7.9 86% Trent Rivers 1.4 2.4 1.7 0.8 6.3 75% Ed Langdon 2.3 0.9 2.1 0.4 5.7 84% Caleb Windsor 1.3 0.8 1.4 1.9 5.4 75% Clayton Oliver 1.3 2.8 1.4 −0.4 5.1 78% Harry Sharp 2.4 −1.3 0.0 2.9 4.0 71% Jake Lever −1.1 2.2 0.0 2.9 4.0 90% Christian Salem 1.5 0.4 1.7 0.4 3.9 85% Xavier Lindsay 2.4 0.4 0.4 −0.2 3.0 83% Tom Sparrow −0.3 1.5 −0.6 1.8 2.4 93% Harrison Petty −1.4 2.3 0.2 0.8 2.0 75% Aidan Johnson −2.4 1.5 1.4 0.0 0.5 46% Bailey Laurie 0.0 0.0 0.0 −0.4 −0.4 20% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 4 7 -3 Loose Ball Get 8 6 +2 Contested Mark 3 1 +2 Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1 Contested Knock On 1 0 +1 Free For 1 2 -1 Total 17 17 0 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 6 2 +4 Loose Ball Get 6 10 -4 Contested Mark 3 4 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 1 0 Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1 Contested Knock On 1 0 +1 Free For 4 7 -3 Total 21 25 -4 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 14 13 +1 Loose Ball Get 30 37 -7 Contested Mark 14 12 +2 Contested Knock On 3 0 +3 Free For 14 8 +6 Total 75 70 +5 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 7 11 -4 Loose Ball Get 16 17 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 6 2 +4 Gather From Hitout 7 6 +1 Free For 6 10 -4 Total 42 46 -4 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 83.8 63 53% +1.4 St Kilda 82.4 91 47% +28 +29.4 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 27 7.16 58 25.9% 80.8 −22.8 2.99 −0.84 St Kilda 22 14.6 90 63.6% 81.4 +8.6 3.70 +0.39 General Play Melbourne 8 1.7 13 12.5% 21.5 −8.5 2.69 −1.06 St Kilda 9 6.3 39 66.7% 30.7 +8.3 3.41 +0.92 Set Position Melbourne 19 6.9 45 31.6% 59.3 −14.3 3.12 −0.75 St Kilda 13 8.3 51 61.5% 50.6 +0.4 3.89 +0.03 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 55% 63% 64% 72% 63% 53% Defensive 45% 37% 36% 28% 37% 47% Region Forward 50 29% 36% 35% 33% 33% 26% Attacking Midfield 26% 26% 29% 39% 30% 27% Defensive Midfield 23% 21% 21% 15% 20% 25% Defensive 50 22% 17% 15% 13% 17% 22% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.2 2 2.1 13 -11 Centre Bounce 1.1 7 2.0 12 -5 Stoppage (Other) 1.4 10 0.3 3 +7 Turnover 5.14 44 10.3 63 -19 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 2 3.5 13 5.4 Centre Bounce 7 12.7 12 13.5 Stoppage (Other) 10 17.7 3 22.5 Turnover 44 45.5 63 49.2 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by St Kilda. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 10 11.2 33 18.6 Defensive midfield 8 14.5 34 23.8 Centre bounce 7 12.7 12 13.5 Attacking midfield 21 23.5 6 20.7 Forward 50 17 17.5 6 14.1 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by St Kilda. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 18 25.7 67 42.3 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by St Kilda. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 20 87% 84.8% 85.0% Christian Petracca 20 87% 71.1% 55.8% Kysaiah Pickett 18 78% 64.8% 33.0% Clayton Oliver 16 70% 73.4% 70.7% Trent Rivers 14 61% 27.1% 29.9% Aidan Johnson 3 13% 13.9% Harvey Langford 1 4% 18.7% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 11.3% 37.7% Ed Langdon 0 0% 6.0% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 2.1% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 2.1% 0.0% Judd McVee 0 0% 1.2% 6.3% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.4% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.4% 0.0% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.3% 7.5% Bailey Laurie 0 0% 0.0% 11.0% Jack Viney 71.7% 69.1% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Jacob van Rooyen 12.0% 17.8% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Koltyn Tholstrup 0.0% 5.7% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 72 90% 82.8% 81.1% Aidan Johnson 5 6% 15.6% Harrison Petty 3 4% 0.8% 7.9% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.6% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Jacob van Rooyen 12.5% 17.6% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 72 30 7 26.5% 27.9% Harrison Petty 3 1 0 66.7% 24.4% Aidan Johnson 5 1 0 21.1% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Jacob van Rooyen 37.5% 24.7% Opposition Rowan Marshall 69 22 5 Mitch Owens 11 3 1
  6. By my calculations, across the first nine rounds Petracca had 47 kicks inside 50 with one resulting in a mark for a teammate. Through 11 rounds, he is three from 58 with two of his kicks against Brisbane being marked. Here are the Melbourne players with 15+ kicks inside 50, sorted by mark percentage and then retention percentage. Kicks inside 50 resulting in a mark, 2025, 15+ kicks Note: includes all kicks where possession was taken outside 50, the kick was taken from outside 50, and the next possession was inside 50. Rank Player Kicks Mark % 2 Charlie Spargo 18 9 50.0% 12 Christian Salem 21 8 38.1% 20 Kysaiah Pickett 28 10 35.7% 36 Jake Melksham 25 8 32.0% 70 Trent Rivers 27 7 25.9% 74 Jack Viney 28 7 25.0% 86 Caleb Windsor 25 6 24.0% 103 Kade Chandler 27 6 22.2% 129 Harvey Langford 25 5 20.0% 164 Xavier Lindsay 18 3 16.7% 233 Clayton Oliver 27 3 11.1% 236 Ed Langdon 28 3 10.7% 249 Jake Bowey 24 2 8.3% 253 Max Gawn 27 2 7.4% 267 Christian Petracca 58 3 5.2% 269 Tom Sparrow 22 1 4.5% 275 Harrison Petty 15 0 0.0% Kicks inside 50 resulting in a possession being retained by the team, 2025, 15+ kicks Note: includes all kicks where possession was taken outside 50, the kick was taken from outside 50, and the next possession was inside 50. Rank Player Kicks Retained % 28 Kysaiah Pickett 28 17 60.7% 30 Jake Melksham 25 15 60.0% 46 Kade Chandler 27 15 55.6% 46 Charlie Spargo 18 10 55.6% 78 Christian Salem 21 11 52.4% 87 Jake Bowey 24 12 50.0% 114 Max Gawn 27 13 48.1% 139 Ed Langdon 28 13 46.4% 162 Caleb Windsor 25 11 44.0% 162 Harvey Langford 25 11 44.0% 192 Tom Sparrow 22 9 40.9% 195 Trent Rivers 27 11 40.7% 206 Jack Viney 28 11 39.3% 240 Harrison Petty 15 5 33.3% 259 Christian Petracca 58 18 31.0% 261 Clayton Oliver 27 8 29.6% 275 Xavier Lindsay 18 4 22.2%
  7. A knock on or handball counts as a score involvement and will contribute to the player ratings. A forward crashing the pack causing the ball to come to ground, or dropping a mark but still preventing the defender taking possession/mark, doesn't count as a score involvement nor does it contribute to the player ratings.
  8. WheeloRatings posted a post in a topic in Melbourne Demons
    I don't have the location of all shots pre-2021, but I have the location of shots resulting in a score since 2014. 42% of Melbourne's scores in 2018 were from inside 30 metres compared to the comp average of 38%. This was Melbourne's highest season % in the data I have access to. Melbourne was only at 31% last season (AFL avg 36%) and 34% this season (AFL avg 35%).
  9. Melbourne's best post-clearance contested possessions (2021-2025) is +36 in Round 5, 2021 against Hawthorn. We have had greater than +23 on 11 occasions during that time. https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats_team.html?id=melb Here are the pressure numbers too: Melbourne v Sydney (Round 11, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251108 PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 204 216 -12 2 170 176 -6 3 200 182 +18 4 185 190 -5 Match 190 190 0 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Clayton Oliver 22 63 54.7 Trent Rivers 20 56 29.5 Max Gawn 15 47 21.1 Ed Langdon 15 44 31.2 Christian Petracca 21 38 36.8 Christian Salem 14 36 19.8 Tom Sparrow 14 34 38.1 Xavier Lindsay 15 31 26.8 Kysaiah Pickett 14 30 38.8 Jake Bowey 15 30 29.2 Kade Chandler 13 29 33.3 Bayley Fritsch 9 26 20.3 Jake Lever 10 24 20.3 Charlie Spargo 10 22 26.7 Harvey Langford 14 22 21.1 Jake Melksham 11 22 20.3 Caleb Windsor 10 21 24.1 Judd McVee 11 21 18.2 Harrison Petty 7 15 18.1 Aidan Johnson 6 13 30.0 Daniel Turner 5 13 15.3 Harry Sharp 7 11 19.6 Steven May 5 10 9.9 Source: Herald Sun
  10. Here's the Stats File post for the game:
  11. I picked a great weekend to come over to Melbourne (from Tasmania) - fantastic performance. I had to leave a few minutes early though to go next door to Rod Laver Arena to see Les Misérables to cap off a brilliant day. The 42 shots today was the most for Melbourne since Round 8 2018 v Gold Coast. Also @Its Time for Another I am still hoping to get those stats for you - I just haven't been able to while on holiday. Melbourne v Sydney (Round 11, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251108 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 73.1 66.0 +7.2 72.7 Kicking Efficiency 66.4 59.8 +6.6 66.1 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 57.2 42.8 +14.3 Inside 50s 64 44 +20 Shots At Goal 42 18 +24 Scores Per Inside 50 56.2 40.9 +15.3 45.1 Goals Per Inside 50 29.7 27.3 +2.4 23.9 Marks Inside 50 16 7 +9 Transition Chain To Score % 30.0 15.5 +14.5 21.0 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 25.0 21.7 +3.3 23.1 Defensive 50 To Score % 12.5 4.3 +8.2 9.6 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 35.5 24.2 +11.2 31.3 Defensive Half To Score % 16.1 7.6 +8.6 13.0 Contest Contested Possessions 157 130 +27 Ground Ball Gets 107 89 +18 Post Clearance Contested Poss 90 67 +23 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 65 49 +16 Contested Marks 9 10 -1 Clearance Total Clearances 43 42 +1 Centre Clearances 13 17 -4 Stoppage Clearances 30 25 +5 First Possessions 48 50 -2 First Possession To Clearance % 60.4 66.0 -5.6 75.1 Defense Intercepts 73 54 +19 Intercept Marks 15 15 +0 Tackles 89 82 +7 Tackles Inside 50 20 9 +11 Def One On One Loss % 28.6 30.8 -2.2 25.8 Ruck Hitouts 36 51 -15 Hitouts To Advantage 9 14 -5 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Kysaiah Pickett 2.6 10.2 7.1 1.3 21.2 76% Christian Petracca 2.2 6.9 4.3 3.5 16.9 86% Clayton Oliver 4.4 3.6 0.1 8.1 16.3 80% Trent Rivers 5.4 1.3 3.9 5.2 15.8 77% Max Gawn 5.3 4.0 4.4 1.0 14.8 84% Jake Melksham 6.3 −1.4 1.9 7.8 14.6 80% Ed Langdon 2.3 3.8 5.6 2.7 14.4 78% Harvey Langford 2.3 4.5 3.6 3.4 13.8 85% Caleb Windsor 0.6 4.3 3.5 3.6 12.1 75% Daniel Turner 4.7 2.6 0.6 3.4 11.3 90% Tom Sparrow 1.6 4.3 −0.7 5.0 10.3 77% Jake Lever 2.6 1.9 4.7 1.0 10.2 97% Christian Salem 4.8 1.0 −0.7 4.6 9.7 87% Harry Sharp 0.0 0.0 0.5 8.3 8.7 33% Xavier Lindsay 2.3 2.3 4.2 −0.3 8.5 80% Jake Bowey 1.7 4.1 0.7 1.3 7.8 77% Bayley Fritsch −1.7 1.7 2.3 5.2 7.6 90% Judd McVee 2.9 −0.3 1.8 3.3 7.6 83% Steven May 1.6 1.9 3.0 0.9 7.4 95% Kade Chandler 5.1 −1.0 −0.4 3.2 6.9 83% Harrison Petty −0.3 1.1 1.4 1.7 3.9 74% Charlie Spargo −1.6 2.5 2.1 0.0 3.0 51% Aidan Johnson 0.5 −2.6 −0.3 −0.1 −2.5 63% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 2 4 -2 Loose Ball Get 9 9 0 Contested Mark 0 2 -2 Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 0 +1 Gather From Hitout 1 1 0 Contested Knock On 2 1 +1 Free For 4 2 +2 Total 19 19 0 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 9 6 +3 Loose Ball Get 16 8 +8 Contested Mark 4 1 +3 Ruck Hard Ball Get 2 2 0 Gather From Hitout 1 2 -1 Contested Knock On 1 0 +1 Free For 5 0 +5 Total 38 19 +19 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 15 11 +4 Loose Ball Get 50 38 +12 Contested Mark 9 10 -1 Contested Knock On 3 1 +2 Free For 13 7 +6 Total 90 67 +23 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 12 17 -5 Loose Ball Get 30 23 +7 Ruck Hard Ball Get 8 7 +1 Gather From Hitout 8 10 -2 Contested Knock On 2 2 0 Free For 7 4 +3 Total 67 63 +4 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 120.5 131 100% +58.0 +53 Sydney 62.5 78 0% +5.0 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 42 19.14 128 45.2% 120.5 +7.5 2.87 +0.18 Sydney 18 12.5 77 66.7% 61.5 +15.5 3.42 +0.86 General Play Melbourne 22 9.8 62 40.9% 54.1 +7.9 2.46 +0.36 Sydney 7 4.3 27 57.1% 18.6 +8.4 2.65 +1.20 Set Position Melbourne 20 10.6 66 50.0% 66.5 −0.5 3.32 −0.02 Sydney 11 8.2 50 72.7% 42.9 +7.1 3.90 +0.64 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 54% 71% 57% 46% 57% 52% Defensive 46% 29% 43% 54% 43% 48% Region Forward 50 27% 40% 32% 26% 31% 25% Attacking Midfield 27% 31% 25% 20% 26% 26% Defensive Midfield 27% 18% 23% 33% 25% 26% Defensive 50 18% 11% 21% 20% 17% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 1.0 6 0.0 0 +6 Centre Bounce 2.3 15 1.1 7 +8 Stoppage (Other) 4.4 28 4.0 24 +4 Turnover 12.10 82 7.5 47 +35 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 6 3.6 0 4.7 Centre Bounce 15 13.2 7 13.6 Stoppage (Other) 28 18.4 24 24.3 Turnover 82 45.6 47 47.9 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 19 11.3 7 17.3 Defensive midfield 21 15.1 18 22.8 Centre bounce 15 13.2 7 13.6 Attacking midfield 43 23.7 33 22.0 Forward 50 33 17.5 13 14.8 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 40 26.4 25 40.1 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Sydney. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 29 83% 84.7% 85.0% Christian Petracca 28 80% 70.0% 55.8% Clayton Oliver 25 71% 73.8% 70.7% Trent Rivers 22 63% 24.6% 29.9% Kysaiah Pickett 21 60% 63.4% 33.0% Christian Salem 7 20% 2.2% 12.3% Aidan Johnson 6 17% 14.1% Judd McVee 2 6% 1.4% 6.3% Harvey Langford 0 0% 19.9% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 12.1% 37.7% Ed Langdon 0 0% 6.4% 0.7% Kade Chandler 0 0% 2.2% 0.0% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.5% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.5% 0.0% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.3% 7.5% Charlie Spargo 0 0% 0.0% 4.2% Jack Viney 71.7% 69.1% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Jacob van Rooyen 12.0% 17.8% Koltyn Tholstrup 0.0% 5.7% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 104 85% 82.3% 81.1% Aidan Johnson 18 15% 17.5% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.6% 3.1% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.5% 7.9% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Jacob van Rooyen 12.5% 17.6% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 104 35 9 26.7% 27.9% Aidan Johnson 18 1 0 22.2% Harrison Petty 0 0 0 100.0% 24.4% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Jacob van Rooyen 37.5% 24.7% Opposition Brodie Grundy 95 41 13 Peter Ladhams 27 10 1
  12. Melbourne v Brisbane (Round 10, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251008 PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 165 181 -16 2 163 167 -4 3 173 176 -3 4 155 148 +7 Match 165 169 -4 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Clayton Oliver 36 74 53.8 Kysaiah Pickett 24 48 40.0 Tom Sparrow 20 46 38.5 Christian Petracca 23 45 36.7 Ed Langdon 21 38 29.9 Harvey Langford 18 37 21.0 Aidan Johnson 14 33 35.7 Trent Rivers 14 28 26.8 Charlie Spargo 11 25 27.2 Caleb Windsor 13 25 24.5 Jake Melksham 9 23 20.0 Jake Bowey 11 18 29.1 Xavier Lindsay 8 18 26.3 Harry Sharp 10 16 20.5 Tom McDonald 8 16 15.3 Daniel Turner 7 15 15.7 Max Gawn 8 14 18.5 Harrison Petty 7 14 18.4 Judd McVee 7 12 17.5 Bayley Fritsch 5 11 19.7 Kade Chandler 5 10 33.7 Christian Salem 6 10 18.2 Steven May 3 8 9.9 Source: Herald Sun
  13. Melbourne's first five games: 60.8%, 70.0%, 65.6%, 66.7%, 72.7% Melbourne's last five games: 82.5%, 82.1%, 77.8%, 83.7%, 80.9% Season average is 74.4% (AFL average 75.5%) which puts us in 14th, but over the last five games we're averaging 81.2% and second best in the AFL! The biggest individual improvers are Petracca (58% to 83%), Viney (64% to 92%) and Gawn (58% to 85%), with Pickett getting first possession more often while maintaining a high conversion. Here are the players with 20+ first possessions this season: 1st Poss Clr % Christian Petracca Rounds 1-5 19 11 57.9% Rounds 6-10 36 30 83.3% Clayton Oliver Rounds 1-5 53 35 66.0% Rounds 6-10 28 20 71.4% Harvey Langford Rounds 1-5 14 11 78.6% Rounds 6-10 8 7 87.5% Jack Viney Rounds 1-5 22 14 63.6% Rounds 6-10 12 11 91.7% Kysaiah Pickett Rounds 1-5 5 5 100.0% Rounds 6-10 20 17 85.0% Max Gawn Rounds 1-5 40 23 57.5% Rounds 6-10 52 44 84.6% Trent Rivers Rounds 1-5 6 5 83.3% Rounds 6-10 17 13 76.5%
  14. Here is the Stats Files post. Melbourne's expected score of 113 today is our fifth highest since the start of 2021.