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  1. Melbourne v Carlton (Round 19, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251904 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 70.6 69.8 +0.8 72.4 Kicking Efficiency 64.7 62.3 +2.4 65.8 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 52.3 47.7 +4.5 Inside 50s 58 50 +8 Shots At Goal 25 20 +5 Scores Per Inside 50 34.5 36.0 -1.5 44.4 Goals Per Inside 50 17.2 24.0 -6.8 23.4 Marks Inside 50 9 10 -1 Transition Chain To Score % 16.3 14.9 +1.4 20.6 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 22.5 16.3 +6.2 22.8 Defensive 50 To Score % 7.5 7.0 +0.5 9.5 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 27.4 26.5 +0.9 31.0 Defensive Half To Score % 8.2 7.4 +0.9 12.8 Contest Contested Possessions 145 124 +21 Ground Ball Gets 94 81 +13 Post Clearance Contested Poss 102 82 +20 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 69 54 +15 Contested Marks 15 5 +10 Clearance Total Clearances 34 37 -3 Centre Clearances 11 12 -1 Stoppage Clearances 23 25 -2 First Possessions 37 39 -2 First Possession To Clearance % 73.0 76.9 -4.0 74.8 Defense Intercepts 83 79 +4 Intercept Marks 22 22 +0 Tackles 44 48 -4 Tackles Inside 50 6 2 +4 Def One On One Loss % 5.0 20.0 -15.0 26.6 Ruck Hitouts 38 26 +12 Hitouts To Advantage 11 8 +3 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Kysaiah Pickett 6.2 −1.7 7.6 5.6 17.7 88% Christian Salem 2.6 4.4 3.5 4.3 14.8 90% Tom McDonald 7.4 2.6 0.8 3.0 13.8 90% Bayley Fritsch 3.4 1.8 5.1 2.7 13.0 90% Trent Rivers 2.5 4.3 2.5 3.4 12.7 80% Jake Bowey 2.0 5.3 0.8 4.0 12.1 84% Max Gawn 0.5 −2.0 5.7 6.3 10.6 88% Clayton Oliver 2.4 3.2 2.7 2.3 10.6 84% Kade Chandler 2.2 2.0 2.3 3.2 9.7 84% Judd McVee 3.4 1.2 4.6 0.6 9.7 76% Harry Sharp 2.9 1.2 3.3 0.3 7.7 74% Ed Langdon 0.5 5.4 0.7 0.8 7.5 69% Steven May 1.3 2.9 0.6 2.4 7.2 88% Christian Petracca 2.5 2.8 1.9 −0.3 6.9 82% Jack Viney −0.5 2.3 3.5 0.8 6.0 82% Caleb Windsor 5.7 −4.1 3.3 0.5 5.5 83% Daniel Turner −0.4 2.5 2.1 1.2 5.4 97% Matthew Jefferson −0.1 −3.2 2.2 5.1 4.0 60% Harvey Langford 1.9 1.7 −1.4 0.4 2.6 82% Jacob van Rooyen −0.7 0.1 4.1 −1.5 2.0 72% Jake Melksham 2.0 1.8 −2.1 0.3 2.0 79% Xavier Lindsay 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.8 31% Koltyn Tholstrup 0.1 −1.5 0.3 0.0 −1.2 47% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 4 3 +1 Loose Ball Get 18 3 +15 Contested Mark 3 0 +3 Contested Knock On 2 1 +1 Free For 2 3 -1 Total 29 10 +19 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 6 2 +4 Loose Ball Get 8 18 -10 Contested Mark 1 1 0 Gather From Hitout 1 0 +1 Contested Knock On 1 2 -1 Free For 3 3 0 Total 20 26 -6 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 10 9 +1 Loose Ball Get 59 45 +14 Contested Mark 15 5 +10 Contested Knock On 5 6 -1 Free For 13 17 -4 Total 102 82 +20 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 9 10 -1 Loose Ball Get 16 17 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 2 -1 Gather From Hitout 10 6 +4 Contested Knock On 3 0 +3 Free For 4 7 -3 Total 43 42 +1 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 71.0 70 72% +9.8 Carlton 61.2 78 28% +8 +17.8 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 25 10.6 66 40.0% 70.0 −4.0 2.80 −0.16 Carlton 20 12.4 76 60.0% 59.2 +16.8 2.96 +0.84 General Play Melbourne 12 2.4 16 16.7% 32.8 −16.8 2.73 −1.40 Carlton 9 4.4 28 44.4% 23.9 +4.1 2.66 +0.45 Set Position Melbourne 13 8.2 50 61.5% 37.2 +12.8 2.86 +0.99 Carlton 11 8.0 48 72.7% 35.3 +12.7 3.21 +1.16 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 170 170 0 2 170 173 -3 3 178 148 +30 4 178 162 +16 Match 174 164 +10 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Clayton Oliver 20 56 51.6 Jack Viney 22 51 48.5 Caleb Windsor 18 39 23.8 Kade Chandler 16 38 34.4 Harry Sharp 15 34 19.9 Ed Langdon 13 33 30.6 Kysaiah Pickett 14 27 35.5 Christian Petracca 12 23 35.8 Trent Rivers 7 21 27.9 Jake Bowey 10 21 27.8 Bayley Fritsch 11 21 18.6 Max Gawn 9 17 19.7 Jacob van Rooyen 6 15 20.2 Matthew Jefferson 7 15 16.7 Tom McDonald 6 15 14.8 Christian Salem 6 14 21.1 Jake Melksham 6 14 18.0 Steven May 8 13 10.1 Harvey Langford 5 12 20.8 Koltyn Tholstrup 5 11 23.6 Judd McVee 6 10 15.8 Xavier Lindsay 5 9 24.1 Daniel Turner 1 4 14.4 Source: Herald Sun Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 44% 51% 60% 54% 52% 51% Defensive 56% 49% 40% 46% 48% 49% Region Forward 50 20% 25% 31% 24% 25% 25% Attacking Midfield 24% 26% 29% 30% 27% 27% Defensive Midfield 30% 27% 26% 25% 27% 26% Defensive 50 26% 23% 14% 21% 21% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.0 0 0.0 0 +0 Centre Bounce 3.0 18 2.0 12 +6 Stoppage (Other) 2.3 15 2.4 16 -1 Turnover 5.7 37 8.2 50 -13 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 0 3.3 0 4.9 Centre Bounce 18 12.2 12 14.7 Stoppage (Other) 15 20.3 16 21.2 Turnover 37 44.3 50 48.5 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Carlton. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 13 11.1 18 17.6 Defensive midfield 8 16.1 2 19.7 Centre bounce 18 12.2 12 14.7 Attacking midfield 24 24.9 26 25.3 Forward 50 7 15.8 20 12.1 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Carlton. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 21 27.1 20 37.3 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Carlton. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Kysaiah Pickett 24 92% 73.7% 33.0% Clayton Oliver 24 92% 71.7% 70.7% Max Gawn 23 88% 85.4% 85.0% Christian Petracca 20 77% 75.0% 55.8% Jack Viney 10 38% 66.5% 69.1% Jacob van Rooyen 3 12% 13.0% 17.8% Trent Rivers 0 0% 21.0% 29.9% Harvey Langford 0 0% 12.6% Ed Langdon 0 0% 4.0% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 1.6% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 1.4% 0.0% Matthew Jefferson 0 0% 1.0% Judd McVee 0 0% 0.6% 6.3% Xavier Lindsay 0 0% 0.4% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.3% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.3% 0.0% Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Aidan Johnson 13.9% Tom Sparrow 8.0% 37.7% Harrison Petty 0.5% 7.5% Bailey Laurie 0.0% 11.0% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 76 90% 83.6% 81.1% Jacob van Rooyen 8 10% 13.8% 17.6% Matthew Jefferson 0 0% 1.1% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.3% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Aidan Johnson 15.6% Harrison Petty 0.9% 7.9% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 76 38 11 26.9% 27.9% Jacob van Rooyen 8 0 0 33.3% 24.7% Matthew Jefferson 0 0 0 0.0% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Harrison Petty 50.0% 24.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Aidan Johnson 21.1% Opposition Marc Pittonet 62 21 7 Tom De Koning 22 5 1
  2. That was the highest for Melbourne this season. We had 16 against West Coast, Brisbane and Sydney, and 14 against St Kilda. We have only had 19+ on six occasions since the start of 2021 (2x in 2021, 2x in 2023, and 1x in 2024).
  3. Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 18, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251806 PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 156 163 -7 2 176 192 -16 3 162 185 -23 4 204 176 +28 Match 174 180 -6 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Jack Viney 31 69 48.3 Clayton Oliver 16 44 51.3 Kade Chandler 15 42 34.2 Christian Salem 15 32 21.5 Christian Petracca 15 30 36.6 Max Gawn 10 30 19.8 Tom Sparrow 13 26 37.2 Ed Langdon 14 26 30.4 Caleb Windsor 9 23 22.6 Jake Bowey 12 22 28.2 Koltyn Tholstrup 12 22 25.1 Kysaiah Pickett 12 21 36.1 Trent Rivers 8 20 28.4 Jacob van Rooyen 10 20 20.7 Jake Melksham 10 20 18.3 Xavier Lindsay 9 19 25.1 Matthew Jefferson 9 19 17.0 Harvey Langford 9 18 21.4 Jake Lever 5 15 17.9 Judd McVee 6 14 16.4 Daniel Turner 4 10 15.2 Tom McDonald 6 10 14.8 Bayley Fritsch 4 7 18.5 Source: Herald Sun
  4. Here's the Stats Files post. That was Bayley Fritch's second highest rated game in his career.
  5. Melbourne v North Melbourne (Round 18, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251806 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 74.2 73.8 +0.4 72.5 Kicking Efficiency 69.7 64.9 +4.7 66.0 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 53.5 46.5 +7.1 Inside 50s 52 44 +8 Shots At Goal 32 25 +7 Scores Per Inside 50 55.8 52.3 +3.5 44.6 Goals Per Inside 50 34.6 27.3 +7.3 23.5 Marks Inside 50 19 12 +7 Transition Chain To Score % 29.6 24.5 +5.1 20.8 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 23.3 29.4 -6.1 22.9 Defensive 50 To Score % 6.7 18.2 -11.5 9.6 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 36.8 30.5 +6.3 31.1 Defensive Half To Score % 14.0 13.8 +0.2 12.9 Contest Contested Possessions 128 108 +20 Ground Ball Gets 74 69 +5 Post Clearance Contested Poss 68 62 +6 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 41 39 +2 Contested Marks 12 8 +4 Clearance Total Clearances 40 41 -1 Centre Clearances 11 17 -6 Stoppage Clearances 29 24 +5 First Possessions 50 37 +13 First Possession To Clearance % 66.0 75.7 -9.7 74.8 Defense Intercepts 49 44 +5 Intercept Marks 17 13 +4 Tackles 52 56 -4 Tackles Inside 50 10 5 +5 Def One On One Loss % 33.3 46.2 -12.8 26.6 Ruck Hitouts 37 26 +11 Hitouts To Advantage 16 6 +10 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Bayley Fritsch 4.4 7.0 5.2 6.8 23.3 91% Jake Melksham 4.9 1.9 2.1 9.4 18.4 67% Max Gawn 3.8 3.8 1.3 8.4 17.3 84% Jack Viney 8.0 2.2 −0.1 3.5 13.6 85% Kade Chandler 1.0 4.3 5.2 2.8 13.3 88% Harvey Langford 3.0 4.1 3.5 2.7 13.2 81% Jacob van Rooyen 1.9 2.6 7.0 1.5 13.0 70% Tom McDonald 1.3 3.2 1.2 5.2 10.8 91% Ed Langdon 1.2 4.2 3.8 1.6 10.7 82% Clayton Oliver 2.0 5.3 3.0 0.1 10.5 77% Kysaiah Pickett 2.5 −0.6 5.0 3.4 10.3 75% Christian Petracca −2.2 −0.6 2.8 9.5 9.6 83% Jake Bowey 0.3 1.5 1.4 5.0 8.1 77% Judd McVee 0.9 3.7 0.3 2.4 7.2 78% Christian Salem 4.5 −1.9 3.9 0.5 7.1 89% Trent Rivers 1.1 0.2 2.9 0.5 4.7 82% Tom Sparrow −2.7 2.2 0.2 4.8 4.6 74% Koltyn Tholstrup 0.1 1.8 −0.5 2.9 4.3 76% Jake Lever 3.1 −1.1 1.1 0.6 3.6 93% Xavier Lindsay 0.7 2.7 0.1 0.0 3.5 46% Daniel Turner 0.1 2.3 −0.1 −0.4 1.9 90% Matthew Jefferson −0.3 2.0 −2.0 0.5 0.2 78% Caleb Windsor 0.0 0.0 0.4 −0.3 0.1 43% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 1 4 -3 Loose Ball Get 5 4 +1 Contested Mark 1 3 -2 Gather From Hitout 0 2 -2 Contested Knock On 1 1 0 Free For 4 6 -2 Total 12 20 -8 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 5 5 0 Loose Ball Get 7 11 -4 Contested Mark 5 0 +5 Ruck Hard Ball Get 2 1 +1 Gather From Hitout 1 0 +1 Contested Knock On 1 0 +1 Free For 3 1 +2 Total 24 18 +6 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 12 11 +1 Loose Ball Get 29 28 +1 Contested Mark 12 8 +4 Contested Knock On 3 3 0 Free For 12 12 0 Total 68 62 +6 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 15 11 +4 Loose Ball Get 18 19 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 7 5 +2 Gather From Hitout 13 5 +8 Contested Knock On 3 1 +2 Free For 4 5 -1 Total 60 46 +14 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 93.0 119 80% +15.2 +36 +20.8 North Melbourne 77.8 83 20% Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 32 18.9 117 56.2% 92.0 +25.0 2.87 +0.78 North Melbourne 25 12.9 81 48.0% 75.8 +5.2 3.03 +0.21 General Play Melbourne 11 7.3 45 63.6% 30.5 +14.5 2.78 +1.32 North Melbourne 9 2.5 17 22.2% 21.5 −4.5 2.39 −0.50 Set Position Melbourne 21 11.6 72 52.4% 61.4 +10.6 2.93 +0.50 North Melbourne 16 10.4 64 62.5% 54.3 +9.7 3.39 +0.61 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 53% 57% 46% 58% 54% 51% Defensive 47% 43% 54% 42% 46% 49% Region Forward 50 24% 24% 29% 29% 26% 25% Attacking Midfield 29% 33% 18% 29% 27% 26% Defensive Midfield 21% 20% 25% 24% 23% 26% Defensive 50 26% 23% 28% 18% 24% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.0 0 1.2 8 -8 Centre Bounce 2.2 14 5.0 30 -16 Stoppage (Other) 6.5 41 3.3 21 +20 Turnover 10.4 64 3.6 24 +40 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 0 3.5 8 5.2 Centre Bounce 14 11.9 30 14.8 Stoppage (Other) 41 20.6 21 21.5 Turnover 64 44.8 24 48.4 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 12 10.9 21 17.5 Defensive midfield 31 16.5 7 20.8 Centre bounce 14 11.9 30 14.8 Attacking midfield 42 25.0 22 25.2 Forward 50 20 16.4 3 11.6 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 43 27.5 28 38.3 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by North Melbourne. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Kysaiah Pickett 29 88% 72.5% 33.0% Max Gawn 27 82% 85.3% 85.0% Christian Petracca 27 82% 74.9% 55.8% Jack Viney 22 67% 68.6% 69.1% Clayton Oliver 21 64% 70.5% 70.7% Jacob van Rooyen 6 18% 13.2% 17.8% Trent Rivers 0 0% 22.1% 29.9% Harvey Langford 0 0% 13.3% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 8.0% 37.7% Ed Langdon 0 0% 4.2% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 1.7% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 1.5% 0.0% Matthew Jefferson 0 0% 1.2% Judd McVee 0 0% 0.7% 6.3% Xavier Lindsay 0 0% 0.4% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.3% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.3% 0.0% Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Aidan Johnson 13.9% Harrison Petty 0.5% 7.5% Bailey Laurie 0.0% 11.0% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 86 84% 83.2% 81.1% Jacob van Rooyen 16 16% 14.2% 17.6% Matthew Jefferson 0 0% 1.3% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.3% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Aidan Johnson 15.6% Harrison Petty 0.9% 7.9% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 86 31 14 26.8% 27.9% Jacob van Rooyen 16 6 2 33.3% 24.7% Matthew Jefferson 0 0 0 0.0% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Harrison Petty 50.0% 24.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Aidan Johnson 21.1% Opposition Tristan Xerri 83 22 6 Finnbar Maley 15 4 0 Wil Dawson 4 0 0
  6. Melbourne v Adelaide (Round 17, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251701 PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 164 175 -11 2 190 166 +24 3 178 199 -21 4 176 177 -1 Match 176 179 -3 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Jack Viney 17 54 46.5 Kade Chandler 19 50 33.8 Clayton Oliver 20 47 51.8 Tom Sparrow 17 41 37.9 Kysaiah Pickett 15 31 37.2 Ed Langdon 15 29 30.7 Jake Bowey 11 28 28.6 Christian Petracca 14 27 37.0 Matthew Jefferson 12 25 16.6 Trent Rivers 10 24 28.9 Xavier Lindsay 8 21 25.5 Koltyn Tholstrup 12 19 25.6 Harvey Langford 8 19 21.6 Christian Salem 10 18 20.9 Judd McVee 8 18 16.6 Bayley Fritsch 7 17 19.3 Max Gawn 6 17 19.2 Jacob van Rooyen 6 16 20.8 Jake Lever 8 11 18.3 Jake Melksham 5 11 18.2 Steven May 6 8 9.8 Harry Sharp 5 7 18.9 Daniel Turner 2 2 15.6 Source: Herald Sun
  7. Here is the Stats Files post:
  8. Melbourne v Adelaide (Round 17, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251701 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 74.2 72.6 +1.6 72.6 Kicking Efficiency 71.6 66.8 +4.8 66.1 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 41.6 58.4 -16.8 Inside 50s 42 55 -13 Shots At Goal 24 25 -1 Scores Per Inside 50 52.4 45.5 +6.9 44.7 Goals Per Inside 50 26.2 23.6 +2.6 23.6 Marks Inside 50 8 17 -9 Transition Chain To Score % 17.5 21.2 -3.7 20.8 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 15.9 20.7 -4.8 22.8 Defensive 50 To Score % 6.8 10.3 -3.5 9.6 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 20.8 27.3 -6.5 31.1 Defensive Half To Score % 9.1 10.6 -1.5 13.0 Contest Contested Possessions 133 129 +4 Ground Ball Gets 100 91 +9 Post Clearance Contested Poss 93 89 +4 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 69 67 +2 Contested Marks 9 11 -2 Clearance Total Clearances 27 33 -6 Centre Clearances 9 14 -5 Stoppage Clearances 18 19 -1 First Possessions 34 30 +4 First Possession To Clearance % 73.5 90.0 -16.5 75.6 Defense Intercepts 81 79 +2 Intercept Marks 20 17 +3 Tackles 53 53 +0 Tackles Inside 50 5 6 -1 Def One On One Loss % 14.3 33.3 -19.0 26.2 Ruck Hitouts 28 41 -13 Hitouts To Advantage 4 10 -6 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Jake Melksham 1.8 3.3 8.5 5.4 19.0 76% Kysaiah Pickett −1.4 8.8 4.3 2.3 13.9 85% Trent Rivers 7.7 2.4 1.0 2.4 13.5 84% Jake Lever 1.0 3.8 4.2 2.1 11.1 87% Harvey Langford 2.9 2.8 4.1 1.2 11.0 78% Steven May 2.7 5.3 −0.3 2.2 9.9 100% Jacob van Rooyen 1.2 6.8 2.6 −0.9 9.6 74% Max Gawn 1.8 4.0 5.0 −1.2 9.6 84% Jack Viney 0.7 2.9 1.5 3.9 9.0 83% Kade Chandler 5.6 0.1 1.4 1.6 8.8 88% Tom Sparrow 4.0 0.7 −0.7 4.2 8.2 83% Christian Petracca 0.0 0.6 0.8 6.7 8.0 86% Clayton Oliver 6.0 1.6 0.6 −0.6 7.5 79% Jake Bowey 0.8 0.3 1.6 4.4 7.1 80% Christian Salem 1.7 0.8 2.5 1.5 6.5 80% Daniel Turner 2.7 1.7 3.2 −1.9 5.6 92% Xavier Lindsay 2.6 −0.4 2.8 0.5 5.5 67% Koltyn Tholstrup 2.5 1.7 0.9 0.0 5.2 49% Bayley Fritsch 0.7 0.8 0.3 2.5 4.3 76% Ed Langdon −1.0 0.8 1.8 2.5 4.2 93% Harry Sharp 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.8 2.8 25% Judd McVee 2.8 −0.1 1.4 −1.8 2.3 78% Matthew Jefferson −2.0 1.3 −1.4 0.1 −2.0 73% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 2 4 -2 Loose Ball Get 10 8 +2 Contested Mark 3 4 -1 Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1 Free For 0 1 -1 Total 15 18 -3 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 3 0 +3 Loose Ball Get 8 14 -6 Contested Mark 2 2 0 Free For 4 1 +3 Total 17 17 0 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 17 8 +9 Loose Ball Get 52 59 -7 Contested Mark 9 11 -2 Contested Knock On 2 3 -1 Free For 13 8 +5 Total 93 89 +4 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 9 9 0 Loose Ball Get 22 15 +7 Ruck Hard Ball Get 3 1 +2 Gather From Hitout 4 8 -4 Contested Knock On 1 0 +1 Free For 1 7 -6 Total 40 40 0 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 77.7 77 31% Adelaide 86.4 90 69% +8.8 +13 +4.2 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 24 11.10 76 45.8% 76.7 −0.7 3.19 −0.03 Adelaide 25 13.9 87 52.0% 83.4 +3.6 3.34 +0.14 General Play Melbourne 11 4.6 30 36.4% 30.3 −0.3 2.76 −0.03 Adelaide 12 6.4 40 50.0% 36.9 +3.1 3.07 +0.26 Set Position Melbourne 13 7.4 46 53.8% 46.4 −0.4 3.57 −0.03 Adelaide 13 7.5 47 53.8% 46.6 +0.4 3.58 +0.03 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 50% 29% 32% 55% 42% 51% Defensive 50% 71% 68% 45% 58% 49% Region Forward 50 29% 14% 11% 21% 19% 25% Attacking Midfield 21% 15% 21% 34% 23% 26% Defensive Midfield 27% 41% 32% 26% 31% 26% Defensive 50 23% 30% 37% 19% 27% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 1.2 8 1.0 6 +2 Centre Bounce 0.1 1 1.3 9 -8 Stoppage (Other) 3.2 20 2.1 13 +7 Turnover 7.6 48 9.8 62 -14 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 8 3.7 6 5.0 Centre Bounce 1 11.8 9 13.9 Stoppage (Other) 20 19.3 13 21.6 Turnover 48 43.6 62 49.9 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Adelaide. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 8 10.9 13 17.3 Defensive midfield 14 15.6 14 21.6 Centre bounce 1 11.8 9 13.9 Attacking midfield 40 23.9 46 25.4 Forward 50 14 16.1 8 12.1 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Adelaide. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 22 26.5 27 38.9 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Adelaide. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 24 86% 85.5% 85.0% Christian Petracca 23 82% 74.4% 55.8% Kysaiah Pickett 22 79% 71.1% 33.0% Clayton Oliver 21 75% 71.0% 70.7% Jack Viney 16 57% 68.9% 69.1% Jacob van Rooyen 4 14% 12.4% 17.8% Xavier Lindsay 2 7% 0.5% Trent Rivers 0 0% 23.8% 29.9% Harvey Langford 0 0% 14.4% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 8.6% 37.7% Ed Langdon 0 0% 4.5% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 1.8% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 1.6% 0.0% Matthew Jefferson 0 0% 1.4% Judd McVee 0 0% 0.7% 6.3% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.3% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.3% 0.0% Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Aidan Johnson 13.9% Harrison Petty 0.5% 7.5% Bailey Laurie 0.0% 11.0% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 66 85% 83.1% 81.1% Jacob van Rooyen 12 15% 14.0% 17.6% Matthew Jefferson 0 0% 1.6% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.4% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Aidan Johnson 15.6% Harrison Petty 0.9% 7.9% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 66 25 3 25.8% 27.9% Jacob van Rooyen 12 3 1 33.3% 24.7% Matthew Jefferson 0 0 0 0.0% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Harrison Petty 50.0% 24.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Aidan Johnson 21.1% Opposition Reilly O'Brien 66 36 10 Riley Thilthorpe 11 5 0
  9. Yes, the retention rating is also available for players. If you click "Select statistical categories" and select "Disposal Efficiency" or Custom -> Show custom fields -> Disposal Efficiency has the individual fields. Of the 169 midfielders and mid-forwards with 20+ kicks, here are Melbourne's ranks for retention rating: 7th Pickett (+10.5) 20th Lindsay (+6.0) 38th Langdon (+4.0) 61st Chandler (+1.9) 64th Langford (+1.5) 102nd Oliver (-2.0) 160th Viney (-11.2) 164th Petracca (-12.3)
  10. Melbourne v Gold Coast (Round 16, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251604 PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 160 209 -49 2 213 198 +15 3 174 189 -15 4 170 166 +4 Match 180 190 -10 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Christian Petracca 19 45 37.7 Clayton Oliver 16 42 52.1 Jack Viney 15 41 45.7 Tom Sparrow 17 39 37.7 Kade Chandler 14 36 32.7 Kysaiah Pickett 14 35 37.8 Ed Langdon 13 34 30.8 Koltyn Tholstrup 12 30 26.7 Xavier Lindsay 13 28 25.8 Jake Bowey 10 26 28.7 Harvey Langford 13 26 21.8 Christian Salem 12 26 21.1 Bayley Fritsch 9 23 19.4 Matthew Jefferson 10 22 14.5 Harry Sharp 8 20 19.8 Jake Melksham 6 17 18.8 Max Gawn 5 15 19.3 Judd McVee 4 12 16.4 Steven May 4 11 10.0 Trent Rivers 3 10 29.2 Daniel Turner 4 9 16.8 Harrison Petty 3 7 17.1 Blake Howes 0 0 15.6 Source: Herald Sun
  11. Here is the Stats Files post for the game:
  12. Melbourne v Gold Coast (Round 16, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20251604 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 72.1 74.9 -2.8 72.4 Kicking Efficiency 66.7 74.0 -7.4 66.0 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 44.3 55.7 -11.5 Inside 50s 45 52 -7 Shots At Goal 30 31 -1 Scores Per Inside 50 55.6 55.8 -0.2 44.5 Goals Per Inside 50 26.7 28.8 -2.2 23.4 Marks Inside 50 12 19 -7 Transition Chain To Score % 26.0 31.1 -5.1 20.7 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 23.7 30.0 -6.3 22.6 Defensive 50 To Score % 15.8 13.3 +2.5 9.4 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 33.3 33.3 +0.0 31.0 Defensive Half To Score % 22.2 16.7 +5.6 12.9 Contest Contested Possessions 129 131 -2 Ground Ball Gets 96 84 +12 Post Clearance Contested Poss 73 77 -4 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 57 49 +8 Contested Marks 5 16 -11 Clearance Total Clearances 31 36 -5 Centre Clearances 11 15 -4 Stoppage Clearances 20 21 -1 First Possessions 36 37 -1 First Possession To Clearance % 61.1 67.6 -6.5 75.4 Defense Intercepts 52 46 +6 Intercept Marks 7 11 -4 Tackles 62 65 -3 Tackles Inside 50 7 9 -2 Def One On One Loss % 33.3 7.7 +25.6 26.1 Ruck Hitouts 37 40 -3 Hitouts To Advantage 9 5 +4 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Kysaiah Pickett −0.6 5.8 3.5 16.1 24.9 87% Jake Melksham 2.0 14.5 −0.9 −2.7 12.7 83% Christian Petracca 0.4 3.3 1.8 7.2 12.6 89% Jake Bowey 5.3 −0.4 4.9 1.9 11.8 86% Koltyn Tholstrup −0.6 2.8 2.2 6.4 10.8 79% Jack Viney 1.9 4.4 2.7 0.9 10.0 84% Kade Chandler 2.0 1.3 2.5 4.1 9.8 99% Max Gawn −1.0 5.4 1.3 3.8 9.5 92% Clayton Oliver 4.1 1.2 −0.7 4.5 9.1 75% Steven May 4.2 −0.8 0.7 5.0 9.0 94% Tom Sparrow 0.0 1.5 2.6 4.0 8.1 83% Bayley Fritsch −0.9 1.3 3.9 3.6 7.9 89% Trent Rivers 1.8 2.7 1.5 1.7 7.7 87% Matthew Jefferson 0.0 −0.2 3.4 3.4 6.6 80% Judd McVee 4.2 0.1 0.4 1.2 5.9 86% Daniel Turner 0.7 4.8 0.2 0.1 5.8 96% Harrison Petty −0.6 3.8 0.0 0.0 3.2 22% Harvey Langford −2.7 1.5 2.5 1.9 3.1 72% Christian Salem −1.3 0.6 3.0 0.6 2.9 81% Xavier Lindsay −0.2 2.7 0.1 −0.1 2.5 74% Blake Howes 2.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4 23% Ed Langdon −0.8 1.1 1.5 −0.4 1.5 79% Harry Sharp 0.0 0.8 1.2 −1.6 0.4 60% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 6 8 -2 Loose Ball Get 13 12 +1 Contested Mark 2 5 -3 Contested Knock On 1 2 -1 Free For 1 6 -5 Total 23 33 -10 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 4 2 +2 Loose Ball Get 13 13 0 Contested Mark 1 2 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 1 -1 Gather From Hitout 4 0 +4 Free For 3 3 0 Total 25 21 +4 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 9 13 -4 Loose Ball Get 48 36 +12 Contested Mark 5 16 -11 Contested Knock On 2 2 0 Free For 9 10 -1 Total 73 77 -4 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 17 7 +10 Loose Ball Get 22 28 -6 Ruck Hard Ball Get 2 5 -3 Gather From Hitout 8 5 +3 Contested Knock On 0 2 -2 Free For 7 7 0 Total 56 54 +2 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 90.3 85 10% +4.1 Gold Coast 113.4 104 90% +23.1 +19 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 30 12.13 85 40.0% 90.3 −5.3 3.01 −0.18 Gold Coast 31 15.11 101 48.4% 112.4 −11.4 3.63 −0.37 General Play Melbourne 14 4.5 29 28.6% 37.2 −8.2 2.66 −0.59 Gold Coast 8 5.3 33 62.5% 25.5 +7.5 3.19 +0.94 Set Position Melbourne 16 8.8 56 50.0% 53.1 +2.9 3.32 +0.18 Gold Coast 23 10.8 68 43.5% 86.9 −18.9 3.78 −0.82 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 23% 57% 45% 52% 44% 52% Defensive 77% 43% 55% 48% 56% 48% Region Forward 50 8% 26% 21% 33% 22% 25% Attacking Midfield 16% 31% 24% 19% 22% 27% Defensive Midfield 32% 23% 25% 23% 26% 25% Defensive 50 45% 20% 29% 25% 30% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.1 1 1.2 8 -7 Centre Bounce 2.1 13 4.1 25 -12 Stoppage (Other) 4.5 29 4.5 29 +0 Turnover 6.6 42 6.6 42 +0 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 1 3.4 8 4.9 Centre Bounce 13 12.5 25 14.2 Stoppage (Other) 29 19.3 29 22.1 Turnover 42 43.3 42 49.1 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 21 11.1 9 17.6 Defensive midfield 23 15.7 13 22.1 Centre bounce 13 12.5 25 14.2 Attacking midfield 25 22.9 53 24.1 Forward 50 3 16.3 4 12.4 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 44 26.8 22 39.7 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Gold Coast. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 28 90% 85.5% 85.0% Kysaiah Pickett 27 87% 70.4% 33.0% Christian Petracca 26 84% 73.9% 55.8% Clayton Oliver 21 68% 70.8% 70.7% Jack Viney 17 55% 70.0% 69.1% Harvey Langford 2 6% 15.4% Matthew Jefferson 2 6% 1.8% Harrison Petty 1 3% 0.5% 7.5% Trent Rivers 0 0% 25.4% 29.9% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 9.2% 37.7% Ed Langdon 0 0% 4.8% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 1.9% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 1.7% 0.0% Judd McVee 0 0% 0.8% 6.3% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.3% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.3% 0.0% Koltyn Tholstrup 0 0% 0.0% 5.7% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Aidan Johnson 13.9% Jacob van Rooyen 12.2% 17.8% Bailey Laurie 0.0% 11.0% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 83 89% 83.0% 81.1% Matthew Jefferson 7 8% 2.0% Harrison Petty 3 3% 0.9% 7.9% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.4% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Aidan Johnson 15.6% Jacob van Rooyen 13.9% 17.6% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 83 35 9 26.4% 27.9% Harrison Petty 3 1 0 50.0% 24.4% Matthew Jefferson 7 1 0 0.0% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Jacob van Rooyen 33.3% 24.7% Aidan Johnson 21.1% Opposition Jarrod Witts 87 37 5 Ethan Read 6 3 0
  13. You raise some very good points and I'm not suggesting that it's a perfect system. The system was initially developed 15 or so years ago and the game has changed in that time, and it's obviously limited to events which are captured. The events that are captured are largely focussed on the player who wins the ball and what they do with the ball, the nearest player applying pressure to the ball carrier, and certain other defensive actions (spoils/smothers). It does a much better job than ranking points (now used for Supercoach) and fantasy points at assessing quality and influence over quantity. For example, a kick is rated based on the location the kick is taken from, the pressure on the kicker, the location it ends up, and the possession "state" of the result (e.g. was it to a contest and therefore reliant on a teammate winning possession, was it a teammate's uncontested mark or gather, or did it go to an opponent or out of bounds). Using these data points, the model assesses whether your team is more likely to score after the kick than before. It does a pretty good job, but it doesn't account for who you're kicking it to or where all the other players on the field are. E.g: • Kicking it to a one-on-one marking contest involving Gawn is not the same as your average one-on-one marking contest. • Kicking a backwards 45 degree kick may be worth negative points, but if that opens up the switch it may be preferable to kicking down the line. Other specific limitations are: • A key defender allowing his opponent to take a leading mark is not penalised for not competing, but is penalised for competing and giving away a free kick. • A ruck is not penalised for not winning a hitout, but is penalised for winning the hitout if it's sharked by the opposition. Some of the limitations with the system could be improved through better data capture and some adjustments to the system, but I'm not sure that a number of the issues you have raised could actually be rectified (or maybe they could and it's beyond my comprehension).
  14. Here is the premiership metrics tweet mentioned:
  15. I have done some work replicating the player ratings and I have a reasonable model with pressure being the main factor I don't have access to. The breakdown of the source of ratings helps to understand the individual player ratings even if you still don't agree with the rating system. The following are estimates only but they give you an idea of what's contributing to a player's rating. Gawn was rated very highly in winning the ball and through his ruck work, but he lost a lot of points through his disposal and in particular his two shots on goal. The rating system is based on how a player impacts both team's scoring chances. So easy missed shots at goal are heavily penalised and kicking difficult goals earn a lot of points. On the flipside, while Georgiades kicked 7 goals, he missed 4 and pretty much kicked at the expected accuracy for his shots. He gained a lot of rating points through his possessions (marks/free kicks), he didn't gain many through his disposal. He also lost points through giving away free kicks and dropping a mark. Most rating points from POSSESSIONS 15.3 Ratugolea 14.4 Gawn 11.9 Georgiades 10.9 May Most rating points gained (and lost) from DISPOSALS 10.1 Langford 9.7 Pickett 7.9 Bergman 7.9 Rozee --------------- -2.8 Petty -2.9 Viney -4.1 Oliver -7.3 Gawn Most rating points from HITOUTS 3.9 Gawn 0.8 Sweet Most rating points lost from FREE KICKS -2.6 Georgiades -2.6 Visentini Most rating points lost from NO PRESSURE ERRORS (incl. dropped marks) -3.0 van Rooyen -2.8 Georgiades -1.9 Gawn