WheeloRatings

Cheers, and my pleasure! The Petracca stat was the number of his kicks inside 50 that were marked. By my calculations for the whole season, of his 98 kicks inside 50 this season excluding shots at goal, nine were marked (ranked 374th) and 37 were retained (ranked 331st). Petracca had 30 more non-shot kicks inside 50 this season than any other Melbourne player. The first table below shows the retention rate for all Melbourne players taking 15+ kicks inside 50, ordered by most kicks. The second table shows the average estimated equity gained/lost from kicks inside 50 which shows Langford clearly on top. This is a bit more nuanced than simply retained / not retained as it takes into account: how the kicker won possession (i.e. proxy for pressure); the location where the kick was taken; the location where the kick ended up; and who took next possession and how. The third and fourth tables are the AFL leaders with 50+ kicks for these two stats - Langford ranks third in the AFL for equity. Kicks inside 50 resulting in a possession being retained by the team, excluding shots at goal, 2025, 15+ kicks Note: includes all kicks where possession was taken outside 50, the kick was taken from outside 50, and the next possession was inside 50. Player Kicks Retained % Rank Christian Petracca 98 37 37.8% 331 Kysaiah Pickett 68 36 52.9% 100 Clayton Oliver 67 30 44.8% 237 Trent Rivers 61 20 32.8% 366 Ed Langdon 59 31 52.5% 108 Jack Viney 58 23 39.7% 313 Harvey Langford 56 24 42.9% 270 Max Gawn 54 26 48.1% 167 Jake Melksham 51 30 58.8% 43 Kade Chandler 50 25 50.0% 125 Jake Bowey 48 23 47.9% 172 Christian Salem 43 27 62.8% 20 Tom Sparrow 42 17 40.5% 303 Caleb Windsor 41 18 43.9% 251 Bayley Fritsch 36 21 58.3% 48 Harrison Petty 26 12 46.2% 212 Xavier Lindsay 26 5 19.2% 395 Jacob van Rooyen 25 9 36.0% 347 Daniel Turner 20 7 35.0% 355 Charlie Spargo 19 11 57.9% 52 Judd McVee 17 8 47.1% 189 Harry Sharp 15 9 60.0% 32 Average equity gained from kicks inside 50, excluding shots at goal, 2025, 15+ kicks Note: includes all kicks where possession was taken outside 50, the kick was taken from outside 50, and the next possession was inside 50. Player Kicks Equity Rank Harvey Langford 56 0.493 10 Bayley Fritsch 36 0.330 62 Charlie Spargo 19 0.328 67 Harry Sharp 15 0.327 71 Kysaiah Pickett 68 0.287 116 Jacob van Rooyen 25 0.283 119 Jake Melksham 51 0.275 132 Xavier Lindsay 26 0.270 136 Ed Langdon 59 0.229 173 Clayton Oliver 67 0.225 176 Christian Salem 43 0.216 184 Kade Chandler 50 0.202 199 Tom Sparrow 42 0.184 224 Caleb Windsor 41 0.180 232 Jake Bowey 48 0.151 256 Daniel Turner 20 0.142 267 Christian Petracca 98 0.141 269 Trent Rivers 61 0.115 289 Judd McVee 17 0.107 296 Jack Viney 58 0.051 336 Max Gawn 54 −0.004 356 Harrison Petty 26 −0.152 392 Kicks inside 50 resulting in a possession being retained by the team, excluding shots at goal, 2025, 50+ kicks Note: includes all kicks where possession was taken outside 50, the kick was taken from outside 50, and the next possession was inside 50. Player Kicks Retained % Rank Tom Atkins 62 42 67.7% 1 Murphy Reid 63 42 66.7% 2 Patrick Lipinski 59 38 64.4% 3 Shaun Mannagh 95 57 60.0% 4 Ben Ainsworth 60 36 60.0% 4 Jake Melksham 51 30 58.8% 6 Gryan Miers 75 44 58.7% 7 Chad Warner 106 61 57.5% 8 Oliver Dempsey 61 35 57.4% 9 Karl Amon 82 47 57.3% 10 Lachie Whitfield 51 29 56.9% 11 Taylor Walker 60 34 56.7% 12 Matt Rowell 128 72 56.2% 13 Justin McInerney 51 28 54.9% 14 Marcus Windhager 73 40 54.8% 15 Average equity gained from kicks inside 50, excluding shots at goal, 2025, 50+ kicks Note: includes all kicks where possession was taken outside 50, the kick was taken from outside 50, and the next possession was inside 50. Player Kicks Equity Rank Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera 78 0.546 1 Max Hall 55 0.536 2 Harvey Langford 56 0.493 3 Finn Callaghan 104 0.477 4 Murphy Reid 63 0.464 5 Marcus Bontempelli 97 0.463 6 Karl Amon 82 0.429 7 Ed Richards 118 0.427 8 Massimo D'Ambrosio 73 0.417 9 Max Holmes 135 0.399 10 Liam Ryan 55 0.397 11 Tom Green 90 0.388 12 Josh Ward 85 0.385 13 Shaun Mannagh 95 0.364 14 Justin McInerney 51 0.362 15

Not marks, but I have looked at the proportion of set shots taken from inside 45 degrees and Melbourne ranked 14th this season, which is an improvement from 17th/18th the prior four seasons. Proportion of set shots taken from inside 45 degrees (limited to set shots within 50 metres of goal) Team 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Total St Kilda 71.9% 71.3% 79.0% 77.8% 77.6% 75.6% North Melbourne 71.8% 78.9% 80.3% 74.6% 72.8% 75.5% Greater Western Sydney 72.2% 75.1% 74.1% 78.7% 74.0% 75.0% Sydney 75.0% 74.6% 80.7% 74.7% 67.5% 74.5% Carlton 75.3% 69.5% 74.4% 78.0% 71.7% 73.8% Fremantle 70.4% 70.4% 74.3% 77.6% 75.2% 73.8% Gold Coast 70.9% 77.0% 73.1% 73.7% 71.7% 73.3% Adelaide 69.6% 75.0% 72.0% 68.3% 74.0% 71.9% Essendon 73.9% 72.8% 72.5% 68.1% 72.0% 71.8% Western Bulldogs 72.5% 68.3% 72.4% 73.5% 70.2% 71.4% Geelong 73.5% 68.8% 69.2% 72.9% 72.0% 71.3% Hawthorn 73.1% 79.7% 71.0% 67.0% 67.1% 70.9% Port Adelaide 74.5% 70.9% 71.3% 66.6% 68.6% 70.3% Richmond 69.5% 66.9% 73.5% 74.4% 66.2% 70.0% Brisbane 73.7% 73.4% 63.1% 69.7% 65.5% 68.8% Collingwood 75.7% 72.2% 65.9% 66.7% 63.9% 68.5% West Coast 62.7% 73.5% 65.9% 68.1% 64.0% 66.6% Melbourne 63.1% 62.9% 65.2% 63.4% 67.0% 64.3%

Yes I do. To determine distance, I have looked at the location of the first event after the kick-in (e.g. mark, spoil, out of bounds, etc) and the distance of that event from the defensive goal. I have grouped distance into 0-40 metres from defensive goal, 40-60 metres, and 60+ metres. Here is the proportion of Melbourne's kick-ins by distance and season, and the change from 2023 to 2024 is evident. There is in increased tendency for all teams to go short with the kick-in. Lastly, I have looked at this for each Melbourne player who has taken 10+ kick-ins in a season. MELBOURNE - Distance from defensive goal following a kick-in, by season Season 0 - 40m 40 - 60m 60+ m 2021 27.7 9.9 62.3 2022 31.5 7.8 60.7 2023 32.6 9.3 58.1 2024 48.1 16.6 35.3 2025 53.0 10.3 36.6 ALL TEAMS - Distance from defensive goal following a kick-in, by season Season 0 - 40m 40 - 60m 60+ m 2021 31.7 19.3 49.0 2022 34.6 18.0 47.4 2023 37.1 17.2 45.7 2024 39.2 19.4 41.4 2025 40.9 18.0 41.2 MELBOURNE - Distance from defensive goal following a kick-in, by season and player (10+ kick-ins for the season) Player Kick-Ins 0 - 40m 40 - 60m 60+ m 2021 Steven May 114 36.0 8.8 55.3 Christian Salem 47 14.9 10.6 74.5 Trent Rivers 15 0.0 26.7 73.3 2022 Steven May 151 31.8 5.3 62.9 Michael Hibberd 23 39.1 13.0 47.8 Christian Salem 17 35.3 11.8 52.9 Jake Bowey 10 20.0 30.0 50.0 2023 Steven May 124 34.7 12.1 53.2 Jake Bowey 44 34.1 4.5 61.4 Trent Rivers 20 20.0 15.0 65.0 Christian Salem 16 25.0 0.0 75.0 Adam Tomlinson 13 38.5 7.7 53.8 2024 Steven May 99 57.6 14.1 28.3 Judd McVee 54 51.9 16.7 31.5 Jake Bowey 29 51.7 6.9 41.4 Christian Salem 15 20.0 20.0 60.0 Tom McDonald 13 38.5 23.1 38.5 Trent Rivers 12 8.3 41.7 50.0 Adam Tomlinson 11 36.4 9.1 54.5 2025 Steven May 78 57.7 9.0 33.3 Jake Bowey 71 50.7 9.9 39.4 Christian Salem 51 60.8 11.8 27.5 Trent Rivers 19 31.6 15.8 52.6

No, they definitely do. Contested possessions, including contested marks, are generally worth quite a bit. That's where Max has the edge with post-clearance possessions.

Here are my estimated equity values for Gawn and Xerri which underestimates tackles and pressure in general, so the advantage to Xerri for tackles would be greater. Otherwise, the clear difference is ball use where Xerri is rated higher in shots at goal and disposals (both pre- and post-clearance). Category Max Gawn Tristan Xerri Diff Post-clearance possessions 7.18 2.54 -4.64 Pre-clearance possessions 4.72 6.29 +1.57 Hitouts 3.71 3.20 -0.51 Spoils 0.77 0.85 +0.08 Tackles 0.02 0.16 +0.14 Errors -0.45 -0.14 +0.31 Frees Against -1.15 -1.29 -0.14 Ball use -1.44 2.31 +3.75 Total 13.35 13.92 +0.57

The figures that @whatwhat say what posted are using the same rating system for 2023 and 2025. Ditto for the top 10 from @Fat Tony. CD did not change the "Player Ratings" system, they introduced a new additional "100X" rating system. The one that Daniel Hoyne pushes on SEN (the one which favours half backs) is the new 100X rating system. The 100X system attempts to remove any "Player Ratings" bias towards particular positions. Basically, the 100X system calculates how much above or below average a player is per 100 minutes compared to other players in that position. The two main problems with this is: It assumes that certain positions accumulate more points due to a bias in the ratings, rather than the fact that (arguably) the best or most impactful players are often midfielders. The positions used by CD are quite limited and two players in the same position may play very different roles. E.g lockdown general defenders and rebound defenders are both "general defenders" but the rebound defenders will accumulate a lot more rating points. As they get compared in the 100X system, the rebound defenders get a boost which may explain why they dominate the top 10 on SEN. While it has its flaws, the standard player ratings is better than the 100X system they have been pushing recently.

Here's a rough guide for where Clarry scored his rating points compared to his season average (and last week). This is based on my estimate of rating points which do not account for pressure. The absence of pressure information: underestimates the points from ball use if the player disposes of the ball under pressure; and ignores the points accumulated from the player applying pressure on the opposition ball carrier. Notwithstanding, it provides a rough guide for the breakdown of points. Clarry usually accumulates most of his points through contested possessions (which are generally worth quite a bit) - he only had five on Friday (=3rd worst of his career) and only two ground ball gets (equal worst of his career). 26 of his 31 possessions were uncontested and were worth 0 points. "Ball Use" includes shots at goal and I have calculated his missed shot at approximately -1.5 points. Clayton Oliver Category 2025 v Coll v Haw Possession 7.06 3.30 7.30 Ball Use 0.87 −0.38 2.94 Tackle 0.15 0.02 0.24 Spoil 0.04 0.00 0.53 Error −0.11 −1.17 0.00 Free Against −1.11 −0.90 −0.63 Total 6.90 0.87 10.39

Here is the Stats File post for the game: Also, that was our 11th loss of the season when winning the inside 50 count:

Melbourne v Collingwood (Round 24, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20252405 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 76.5 74.4 +2.2 72.4 Kicking Efficiency 71.5 71.6 -0.1 65.9 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 45.6 54.4 -8.9 Inside 50s 55 52 +3 Shots At Goal 22 28 -6 Scores Per Inside 50 38.2 51.9 -13.7 44.6 Goals Per Inside 50 20.0 21.2 -1.2 23.7 Marks Inside 50 10 19 -9 Transition Chain To Score % 19.4 25.2 -5.8 20.7 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 25.0 45.9 -20.9 22.8 Defensive 50 To Score % 10.4 5.4 +5.0 9.6 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 33.8 47.7 -13.9 31.0 Defensive Half To Score % 14.9 12.3 +2.6 12.7 Contest Contested Possessions 134 107 +27 Ground Ball Gets 83 65 +18 Post Clearance Contested Poss 84 72 +12 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 55 44 +11 Contested Marks 15 10 +5 Clearance Total Clearances 38 26 +12 Centre Clearances 14 9 +5 Stoppage Clearances 24 17 +7 First Possessions 38 29 +9 First Possession To Clearance % 76.3 69.0 +7.4 74.8 Defense Intercepts 58 68 -10 Intercept Marks 15 21 -6 Tackles 40 49 -9 Tackles Inside 50 6 8 -2 Def One On One Loss % 21.4 11.1 +10.3 27.3 Ruck Hitouts 27 29 -2 Hitouts To Advantage 9 10 -1 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Harvey Langford 6.6 1.9 7.2 5.9 21.6 74% Max Gawn 6.4 3.3 4.5 2.9 17.1 84% Christian Salem 7.3 1.8 2.3 3.2 14.6 85% Jack Viney 1.7 4.1 2.9 3.8 12.4 81% Christian Petracca 3.1 2.9 0.2 5.1 11.4 86% Kysaiah Pickett 0.9 1.0 7.4 1.3 10.7 83% Steven May −0.8 1.8 3.9 5.7 10.7 92% Bayley Fritsch −0.7 1.9 8.1 0.0 9.4 89% Jake Bowey 4.0 2.7 1.4 1.0 9.1 77% Trent Rivers −2.1 2.0 1.6 7.3 8.9 72% Daniel Turner 3.0 0.5 4.5 0.8 8.7 94% Jacob van Rooyen 3.8 1.2 2.2 1.1 8.3 70% Harrison Petty 4.4 1.6 0.0 2.0 8.0 77% Kade Chandler −0.1 2.7 1.4 3.6 7.6 87% Jai Culley 1.7 1.8 3.5 0.0 7.0 65% Judd McVee 1.8 1.3 2.8 0.1 5.9 75% Jake Melksham −1.4 5.0 0.6 0.9 5.1 80% Tom Sparrow −0.2 0.9 0.2 3.8 4.7 78% Clayton Oliver 2.0 −0.9 2.1 1.1 4.4 82% Tom McDonald −1.0 0.7 2.3 2.1 4.1 100% Ed Langdon −0.3 0.6 3.5 −0.6 3.2 84% Blake Howes 1.6 −0.4 −1.4 1.6 1.4 72% Harry Sharp 0.0 0.0 0.0 −1.2 −1.2 13% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 3 4 -1 Loose Ball Get 14 15 -1 Contested Mark 2 2 0 Ruck Hard Ball Get 1 0 +1 Gather From Hitout 1 0 +1 Free For 4 1 +3 Total 25 22 +3 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 4 1 +3 Loose Ball Get 6 10 -4 Contested Mark 2 3 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 2 -2 Gather From Hitout 1 1 0 Contested Knock On 2 0 +2 Free For 1 3 -2 Total 16 20 -4 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 8 7 +1 Loose Ball Get 47 37 +10 Contested Mark 15 10 +5 Contested Knock On 3 2 +1 Free For 11 16 -5 Total 84 72 +12 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 11 5 +6 Loose Ball Get 17 16 +1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 7 2 +5 Gather From Hitout 9 9 0 Contested Knock On 2 1 +1 Free For 4 2 +2 Total 50 35 +15 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 69.4 76 12% +14.3 Collingwood 89.7 82 88% +20.3 +6 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 22 11.8 74 50.0% 67.4 +6.6 3.06 +0.30 Collingwood 28 11.14 80 39.3% 87.7 −7.7 3.13 −0.27 General Play Melbourne 12 5.5 35 41.7% 36.1 −1.1 3.01 −0.09 Collingwood 11 4.6 30 36.4% 32.2 −2.2 2.92 −0.20 Set Position Melbourne 10 6.3 39 60.0% 31.3 +7.7 3.13 +0.77 Collingwood 17 7.8 50 41.2% 55.5 −5.5 3.26 −0.32 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 155 162 -7 2 169 153 +16 3 140 165 -25 4 168 191 -23 Match 159 168 -9 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Jack Viney 19 42 51.9 Tom Sparrow 18 37 37.1 Kade Chandler 13 30 34.8 Clayton Oliver 12 27 49.7 Trent Rivers 13 27 26.8 Jai Culley 10 26 28.8 Christian Salem 11 26 21.3 Kysaiah Pickett 12 25 36.8 Christian Petracca 12 23 35.7 Max Gawn 8 23 19.3 Blake Howes 9 23 15.0 Ed Langdon 9 18 29.7 Jake Bowey 9 17 28.0 Harrison Petty 7 16 20.6 Daniel Turner 7 16 14.0 Harvey Langford 6 13 20.9 Jake Melksham 6 13 16.2 Jacob van Rooyen 6 11 19.9 Bayley Fritsch 5 10 18.4 Steven May 5 10 9.4 Tom McDonald 2 8 13.4 Judd McVee 3 6 14.8 Harry Sharp 2 5 19.8 Source: Herald Sun Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 27% 48% 52% 56% 46% 51% Defensive 73% 52% 48% 44% 54% 49% Region Forward 50 10% 17% 27% 24% 20% 25% Attacking Midfield 18% 30% 24% 31% 26% 27% Defensive Midfield 38% 33% 23% 17% 28% 25% Defensive 50 35% 19% 26% 27% 27% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 1.1 7 1.0 6 +1 Centre Bounce 2.3 15 0.3 3 +12 Stoppage (Other) 5.3 33 3.5 23 +10 Turnover 3.3 21 7.8 50 -29 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 7 4.6 6 5.0 Centre Bounce 15 12.3 3 13.4 Stoppage (Other) 33 20.6 23 22.0 Turnover 21 45.2 50 48.3 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 15 12.7 12 17.6 Defensive midfield 26 16.8 16 20.3 Centre bounce 15 12.3 3 13.4 Attacking midfield 12 24.7 26 25.2 Forward 50 8 16.2 25 12.1 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 41 29.5 28 38.0 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Collingwood. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 22 85% 85.5% 85.0% Clayton Oliver 21 81% 72.3% 70.7% Jack Viney 20 77% 68.3% 69.1% Trent Rivers 20 77% 19.9% 29.9% Christian Petracca 10 38% 66.4% 55.8% Kysaiah Pickett 7 27% 69.0% 33.0% Jacob van Rooyen 4 15% 13.4% 17.8% Harvey Langford 0 0% 9.9% Tom Sparrow 0 0% 6.6% 37.7% Ed Langdon 0 0% 3.1% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 1.5% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 1.1% 0.0% Judd McVee 0 0% 0.4% 6.3% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.4% 7.5% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.2% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.2% 0.0% Jai Culley 0 0% 0.0% 30.9% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Aidan Johnson 13.9% Caleb Windsor 12.1% 0.0% Matthew Jefferson 1.0% Xavier Lindsay 0.4% Bailey Laurie 0.0% 11.0% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Koltyn Tholstrup 0.0% 5.7% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 53 72% 81.5% 81.1% Jacob van Rooyen 14 19% 15.0% 17.6% Harrison Petty 7 9% 2.8% 7.9% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.2% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.0% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Aidan Johnson 15.6% Matthew Jefferson 1.1% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 53 25 9 27.8% 27.9% Jacob van Rooyen 14 1 0 30.3% 24.7% Harrison Petty 7 1 0 23.6% 24.4% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Aidan Johnson 21.1% Matthew Jefferson 0.0% Opposition Darcy Cameron 63 26 9 Daniel McStay 11 3 1

For anyone interested, I wrote a brief article for thisweekinfootball.com about score involvements and score launches: https://thisweekinfootball.com/twif/round-24-2025/#breaking-down-score-involvements-and-score-launches While my article is nothing groundbreaking, I do recommend checking out https://thisweekinfootball.com each week for some great analysis and stats-heavy articles. It has been running most of the season.

Yes these stats are from my expected scores model which takes into account the distance from goal and shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. Of the 52 players who have taken 50+ shots (all shots) this season, Petracca has the lowest average expected score meaning he takes the hardest shots on average. His expected score is 2.76 points per shot but his actual score is 2.27 points per shot, or 0.49 points per shot below expectation which ranks 51st (of the 52). Charlie Cameron is 0.61 points below expected.

In response to this post from @Little Goffy on the gameday thread: Here is Max Gawn's quarter-by-quarter breakdown for a few key stats this season: Metric Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total Time On Ground 85.5 84.1 87.4 85.0 85.6 Rating Points 3.7 3.8 4.6 3.2 15.3 Disposals 4.7 5.1 5.8 5.0 20.6 Contested Possessions 3.1 3.1 3.5 3.8 13.5 Marks 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.7 5.6 Intercept Marks 0.6 0.6 0.4 1.1 2.7 Hitouts 9.5 9.4 8.5 9.0 36.4 Hitouts To Advantage 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.3 10.0 His hitouts only drop off marginally but his intercept marks are clearly highest in the fourth quarter and his contested possessions are higher in the second half. In terms of comparing "hitout-mode" to "around-the-ground" mode, I have looked at his disposal and hitout numbers in each quarter of games this season. From this rudimentary analysis, his best quarters are when he wins a lot of the ball. Disposals Hitouts Quarters Rating 1-4 1-8 28 2.04 1-4 9+ 14 3.21 5+ 1-8 15 4.71 5+ 9+ 31 5.27

Here is the Stats File post:

The issue with the AFL website has been resolved so here is the full stats file post. Melbourne v Hawthorn (Round 23, 2025)https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_match_stats.html?ID=20252306 Key Team StatsStats in bold were won by Melbourne. Stat For Against Diff AFL Disposal Efficiency Disposal Efficiency 68.9 68.5 +0.4 72.4 Kicking Efficiency 61.6 61.8 -0.2 65.9 Territory/Attack Time In Forward Half 50.1 49.9 +0.2 Inside 50s 56 49 +7 Shots At Goal 19 27 -8 Scores Per Inside 50 28.6 55.1 -26.5 44.5 Goals Per Inside 50 14.3 26.5 -12.2 23.7 Marks Inside 50 8 20 -12 Transition Chain To Score % 12.8 20.6 -7.8 20.6 Defensive 50 To Forward 50 % 7.1 27.3 -20.1 22.8 Defensive 50 To Score % 0.0 9.1 -9.1 9.6 Defensive Half To Forward 50 % 17.9 32.1 -14.1 31.0 Defensive Half To Score % 4.5 14.1 -9.6 12.7 Contest Contested Possessions 144 143 +1 Ground Ball Gets 103 105 -2 Post Clearance Contested Poss 89 89 +0 Post Clearance Ground Ball Gets 71 64 +7 Contested Marks 4 8 -4 Clearance Total Clearances 40 35 +5 Centre Clearances 15 7 +8 Stoppage Clearances 25 28 -3 First Possessions 45 38 +7 First Possession To Clearance % 71.1 68.4 +2.7 74.8 Defense Intercepts 75 83 -8 Intercept Marks 13 21 -8 Tackles 68 55 +13 Tackles Inside 50 9 16 -7 Def One On One Loss % 41.7 25.0 +16.7 27.3 Ruck Hitouts 43 31 +12 Hitouts To Advantage 13 5 +8 Transition stats measure how often chains result in a score or an inside 50. Chains include all kick-in chains, all clearances, and intercepts with at least one disposal in the chain. Chain To Score %: proportion of all chains that resulted in a score. Defensive 50 To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive 50 To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive 50 that resulted in a score. Defensive Half To Forward 50 %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in an inside 50. Defensive Half To Score %: proportion of all chains starting in the defensive half that resulted in a score. Player Ratings Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match TOG Max Gawn 4.8 5.1 3.9 3.7 17.5 86% Clayton Oliver 1.9 4.5 2.3 7.7 16.4 79% Christian Salem 3.2 6.5 1.8 4.6 16.1 86% Christian Petracca 3.1 2.5 6.4 2.7 14.8 84% Jacob van Rooyen 0.8 −1.6 0.4 14.5 14.1 78% Jack Viney 4.2 2.9 5.3 1.1 13.6 77% Tom Sparrow 7.1 2.8 1.0 2.6 13.5 84% Jai Culley 1.9 4.6 1.1 4.9 12.5 78% Trent Rivers 2.4 1.8 2.3 5.6 12.2 77% Harrison Petty 3.0 2.1 4.4 0.0 9.6 79% Jake Bowey −1.4 −0.2 6.6 4.0 8.9 80% Kysaiah Pickett 1.1 2.1 4.1 1.2 8.6 76% Kade Chandler 0.2 4.0 3.1 1.1 8.4 79% Harvey Langford 0.9 −0.3 −0.5 7.5 7.6 84% Judd McVee 1.2 1.4 0.7 0.6 3.9 74% Steven May 0.4 1.3 3.8 −1.9 3.7 77% Bayley Fritsch 2.7 −0.5 0.9 0.2 3.4 87% Blake Howes 0.3 1.0 −0.9 2.5 2.9 92% Daniel Turner −2.4 1.4 0.2 2.7 1.9 93% Jake Melksham 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 1.6 41% Ed Langdon 1.8 1.8 0.8 −4.5 0.0 92% Tom McDonald −0.6 −1.8 0.0 0.0 −2.4 46% Harry Sharp −1.3 2.3 −0.8 −4.2 −4.1 71% Contested Possessions For Against Diff Melbourne's Defensive 50 Hard Ball Get 4 4 0 Loose Ball Get 21 18 +3 Contested Mark 1 4 -3 Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 1 -1 Gather From Hitout 1 1 0 Contested Knock On 0 1 -1 Free For 3 1 +2 Total 30 30 0 Melbourne's Forward 50 Hard Ball Get 5 4 +1 Loose Ball Get 10 19 -9 Contested Mark 0 1 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 0 1 -1 Gather From Hitout 0 1 -1 Contested Knock On 1 2 -1 Free For 1 2 -1 Total 17 30 -13 Post clearance Hard Ball Get 18 13 +5 Loose Ball Get 53 51 +2 Contested Mark 4 8 -4 Contested Knock On 3 8 -5 Free For 11 9 +2 Total 89 89 0 Pre clearance Hard Ball Get 4 12 -8 Loose Ball Get 28 29 -1 Ruck Hard Ball Get 3 3 0 Gather From Hitout 13 5 +8 Contested Knock On 3 1 +2 Free For 4 4 0 Total 55 54 +1 Official data on pre- and post-clearance contested possessions are not available. These have been estimated by Wheelo Ratings and should be indicative. Ground ball gets are inclusive of hard ball gets and loose ball gets. 'Free For' does not include free kicks to advantage or free kicks while in possession of the ball as these are not counted as contested possessions. Expected scores xScore Score xWin % xMargin Margin Swing Melbourne 65.2 56 5% Hawthorn 93.5 92 95% +28.2 +36 +7.8 Shots Score Accuracy xScore +/- xSc. / Shot Shot Rating Overall Melbourne 19 8.7 55 42.1% 64.2 −9.2 3.38 −0.49 Hawthorn 27 13.13 91 48.1% 92.5 −1.5 3.43 −0.05 General Play Melbourne 10 3.4 22 30.0% 35.0 −13.0 3.50 −1.30 Hawthorn 6 3.3 21 50.0% 20.0 +1.0 3.34 +0.16 Set Position Melbourne 9 5.3 33 55.6% 29.2 +3.8 3.25 +0.42 Hawthorn 21 10.10 70 47.6% 72.4 −2.4 3.45 −0.12 xWin %: win probability based on expected scores. Swing: difference between expected margin and actual margin. xScore: total expected score from all shots taken. +/-: total score above or below expected score. xSc. / Shot: average expected score per shot. This represents the average shot difficulty. Shot Rating: average score above or below expected score per shot at goal. Notes: Expected scores are calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Each shot at goal is assigned an expected score based on the distance from goal, shot angle, and type of shot (e.g. set shot, general play following contested possession, general play following uncontested possession, ground kick, etc) as a proxy for pressure. The model does not take into account factors like the player, whether the ball was kicked with their preferred or non-preferred foot, and pressure on the player when taking the shot. Rushed behinds are excluded from actual and expected scores. PressureTeam pressure Quarter For Agn Diff 1 173 203 -30 2 182 165 +17 3 187 179 +8 4 190 191 -1 Match 183 184 -1 Source: Herald Sun Most Pressure Points Note: pressure points are the weighed sum of pressure acts. Physical pressure acts are worth 3.75 points, closing acts are worth 2.25 points, chasing acts are 1.5 points and corralling are 1.2. ( https://www.championdata.com/glossary/afl/ ) Player Pressure Acts Pressure Points Season Average Jack Viney 26 70 52.5 Kysaiah Pickett 29 65 37.4 Tom Sparrow 25 52 37.1 Clayton Oliver 18 44 50.8 Harrison Petty 22 44 20.8 Harry Sharp 21 44 20.6 Jake Bowey 17 42 28.5 Ed Langdon 20 40 30.3 Kade Chandler 17 36 35.0 Trent Rivers 12 33 26.8 Harvey Langford 15 32 21.2 Christian Petracca 13 31 36.3 Jacob van Rooyen 10 30 20.5 Christian Salem 12 29 21.1 Jai Culley 16 27 29.7 Bayley Fritsch 9 27 18.8 Blake Howes 9 25 14.3 Max Gawn 10 21 19.1 Daniel Turner 7 16 13.9 Judd McVee 6 10 15.3 Tom McDonald 5 9 13.7 Jake Melksham 0 0 16.3 Steven May 0 0 9.4 Source: Herald Sun Territory (time in zones)Region Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Match Season Half Forward 44% 37% 64% 55% 50% 52% Defensive 56% 63% 36% 45% 50% 48% Region Forward 50 12% 14% 28% 27% 21% 25% Attacking Midfield 32% 23% 35% 28% 30% 27% Defensive Midfield 26% 29% 18% 15% 22% 25% Defensive 50 29% 34% 19% 30% 28% 23% Source: Calculated by Wheelo Ratings. Score SourcesSummary Score Source Score Against Diff Kick-in 0.0 0 0.0 0 +0 Centre Bounce 1.0 6 0.2 2 +4 Stoppage (Other) 1.1 7 7.6 48 -41 Turnover 6.7 43 6.6 42 +1 Score Source For Against Match Season Match Season * Kick-in 0 4.5 0 4.9 Centre Bounce 6 12.2 2 13.9 Stoppage (Other) 7 20.0 48 22.0 Turnover 43 46.3 42 48.2 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Hawthorn. Chain start region Note: region is from the scoring team's perspective. Region For Against Match Season Match Season * Defensive 50 0 12.6 19 17.9 Defensive midfield 18 16.4 27 20.5 Centre bounce 6 12.2 2 13.9 Attacking midfield 24 25.3 33 25.1 Forward 50 8 16.5 11 11.5 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Hawthorn. Points from defensive half For Against Match Season Match Season * 18 29.0 46 38.4 * Against season average represents average points conceded by Melbourne across the season, not average points scored by Hawthorn. Centre Bounce Attendances CBAs CBA % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 21 88% 85.5% 85.0% Jack Viney 19 79% 67.8% 69.1% Clayton Oliver 16 67% 71.9% 70.7% Christian Petracca 15 62% 67.5% 55.8% Kysaiah Pickett 13 54% 71.1% 33.0% Trent Rivers 4 17% 17.5% 29.9% Jacob van Rooyen 3 12% 13.3% 17.8% Tom Sparrow 3 12% 6.9% 37.7% Harvey Langford 2 8% 10.3% Ed Langdon 0 0% 3.2% 0.7% Christian Salem 0 0% 1.6% 12.3% Kade Chandler 0 0% 1.1% 0.0% Judd McVee 0 0% 0.4% 6.3% Harrison Petty 0 0% 0.4% 7.5% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.2% 0.3% Jake Melksham 0 0% 0.2% 0.0% Jai Culley 0 0% 0.0% 30.9% Tom Fullarton 17.2% Aidan Johnson 13.9% Caleb Windsor 12.1% 0.0% Matthew Jefferson 1.0% Xavier Lindsay 0.4% Bailey Laurie 0.0% 11.0% Charlie Spargo 0.0% 4.2% Koltyn Tholstrup 0.0% 5.7% Ruck Contests and HitoutsRuck Contests Ruck Contests RC % 2025 % 2024 % Max Gawn 76 78% 81.9% 81.1% Jacob van Rooyen 16 16% 14.8% 17.6% Harrison Petty 5 5% 2.5% 7.9% Daniel Turner 0 0% 0.2% 3.1% Clayton Oliver 0 0% 0.1% 0.0% Tom Fullarton 20.5% Aidan Johnson 15.6% Matthew Jefferson 1.1% Hitouts Ruck Contests Hitouts To Adv. To Adv. % (2025) To Adv. % (2024) Melbourne Max Gawn 76 35 12 27.6% 27.9% Jacob van Rooyen 16 7 1 30.8% 24.7% Harrison Petty 5 1 0 25.0% 24.4% Daniel Turner 0 0 0 50.4% Tom Fullarton 43.8% Aidan Johnson 21.1% Matthew Jefferson 0.0% Opposition Lloyd Meek 85 31 5 Mabior Chol 12 0 0