Everything posted by Axis of Bob
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
It depends if you waste so much time getting a Porsche that you lose the opportunity to buy a better house. Or you end up spending a year living in your Porsche.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Bryce Gibbs would have really helped in that Grand Final. But at least they didn't lose the trade. ?
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
The points are used for bidding on academy/FS players but it comes from an academic study looking at the relative worth of draft picks. It seems to be pretty close, of you think about how much you'd pay to do pick swaps. For example, 10 and 16 together are about as valuable pick 3 or 2 (but we got other assets from Adelaide, so it went down to about 7). If you wanted pick 1 you'd probably trade at least pick 5 and 12 for it to be fair. If we got 5 and a pick better than 13 then it's basically worth pick 1 in terms of its historical value to the club, which makes sense for Hogan. The points value is a pretty good indicator of player/pick value which is why they use it when they can.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Because that wasn't the full deal, only part of it. There were other picks moved about plus pick 5 is a much better pick than pick 10 and pick 16. Overall it was the equivalent of about pick 7.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Pick 5 by itself would have Freo paying more than we did for Lever. Anything on top is just making the difference greater
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - BRAYDON PREUSS
The reason we would be so into Preuss is because he's the type of ruckman that would work well in our system. He's really good at using his body to control the area into which the ball falls. He isn't a subtle touch player but he's strong and helps a team with a really good inside midfield. If Max goes down we're stuffed. But with Preuss we can rest him strategically within and between games and still be able play or style of football knowing that we can attack stoppages. Plus an injury to Gawn won't automatically mean that we can't win the flag anymore.
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Farewell Dom Tyson
Surely Pittard, as it'll be a salary dump to help the deal across the line. Pittard was a free agent last year but signed a sizeable 3 year extension before spending a lot of the year playing magoos. North can only offer their pick 11 for Polec but by taking the last 2 years of Pittard's contact off Port (who are squeezed with some terrible contracts) then they can add some value to the trade .... but they can't be so far off that they need to take Hartlett's monster contact, surely.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
For all Brisbane have been a basket case in the past, they have been getting themselves together in the last year or two. Fagan's appointment was not sexy but it was a mature decision that shows the football community that they are professional organisation. Plus they have shown promise on field for a successful future. Neale has shown that he obviously doesn't rate Freo's next 5 years, or that playing football at the FFC is not enjoyable for him. Probably the later, given that there had been talk around him leaving for SA during previous contract periods. Either way, it's a terrible situation for Freo. They certainly need Hogan to sell some hope to their supporters. For Jesse, what price would you pay to go home?
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - STEVEN MAY
One of the things we have to get used to is that our first round picks aren't worth that much any more. When we say 'first rounder', that includes everything from pick 1 (insanely valuable) to about pick 20 (not that valuable). So two first rounders can be significantly less than the value of a single first round pick (19+20 is the equivalent of pick 5). So when we talk about 'first rounders', we probably need to be more specific with our language now.
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WELCOME TO THE MELBOURNE FOOTBALL CLUB - STEVEN MAY
People who are looking at May replacing Oscar are barking up the wrong tree. May would be about creating a structure, which is what the best teams (West Coast and Richmond) do well. The backline would likely be Oscar, May and Lever together. Oscar playing the same role he is now (bodying the opposition's best forward) with May as a strong rebounding tall who can play on a good player and Lever playing as a contest killing rebounder. This structure is very similar to the well structured teams. Schofield/Broad/Oscar as the negative body player, McGovern/Rance/May as the tall rebounder and Barrass/Grimes/Lever as the flexible contest killer. Having May could turn a weakness into a strength.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
So pick 5 is already more than we paid for Lever. If Jesse is traded, we aren't going to get two top 5 picks IMO. We may get a top 5 plus a later first rounder or players to that value.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
There is a lot of talk about us paying two first round picks for Lever, however that is a very narrow snapshot on a small part of the deal. The deal involved other picks (including a second rounder to us). 10 + 16 + 68 out, 37 + 43 + Lever in. If you do the sums with the points then it was effectively a single pick 7 for Lever. Ironically (correct usage) Adelaide knocked back or initial offer of 10 and 29, which would have equated to pick 4. Effectively 'caving into Adelaide's demands' got us 2 second rounders in exchange for dropping our 2019 first rounder 13 spots and bringing it forward a year.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Fremantle will only have pick 6. That's it.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
We got on a role late, but that was not due to not having Hogan. I think we're looking at the wrong thing. We were already playing well. Hogan held is together at the start of the year, then TMac came in and we dominated. It was only a poor 3 weeks (where Hogan was down on form) during the middle of the year (Coll, PA, StK) that caused damage. Then we'd won 4 of 5 (only Gee after the siren) when Hogan got injured early in the Sydney game. I think the "the team is better without Hogan" line is rubbish.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
He's better in our structure. Weideman had a great final and several good games. But Hogan had several better games than even Weed's career best game. We kick higher scores with Hogan in the team. McDonald gets a lesser opponent when Hogan plays. I genuinely don't know what people don't see in him. He's one of the best key forwards in the league, he's a kid still and he's ours. Maybe he's just a bit too 'meat and potatoes' for some fans, rather than doing the spectacular.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
I don't think you understand the meaning of irony. Neither did Alanis. 'Ironic' was the name of the song. It was in the mid 90s, so possibly the reference was a bit too contemporary.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
I think you need to double check the grammar in this post. Otherwise it is wonderfully ironic. And not Alanis Morisette ironic, but real ironic. PS- I have clearly contributed to the discussion of this thread, despite it's clear idiocy at times. So your post is weird. PPS- You're embarrassing yourself with the 'sponge' thing you're trying to be clever about. The avatar is based on my screen name, not vice versa.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
There's also no need to get sucked into watching grown men kick leather But what if it's fun? ?
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
That isn't trolling. Trolling is starting a thread calling to trade the best young key forward in the league.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Jesse Hogan laid significantly more tackles per game this year than Josh Kennedy has in either of the past two seasons.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Tom McDonald. 20 games for 47 tackles. Jesse Hogan. 20 games for 41 tackles. Those 6 extra tackles must have been absolute bone crushers.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
This is possibly the biggest load of rubbish I have read on Demonland. Not so much the message (which is near on indecipherable) but the actual collection of words in the screen. I assume you are attempting to say that because Jesse hasn't been traded to WA yet it means that he can still get traded WA, and the way to fix that is to trade him to WA. It's like the People's Front of Judea, if they were all high.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
McClure has a Carlton source, which is how he knew about McGovern. He's just extrapolating his 'Mcgovern to Carlton' info into 'Freo is not getting McGovern'. The Hogan add-on is just a guess because it will get clicks.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
It will be really interesting and I agree. We are so lucky in that we have 3 assets that other teams would rip up their lists for, but we need to massage around a bit to make it work. It's like winning tattslotto and then noting that your portfolio is now overly skewed towards cash! Hogan is our best forward, but would also be our best defender. McDonald was a defender and Weideman would also be an excellent defender. At least they all play the game differently. They other thing to ponder is that we have played more even numbers ahead of the ball in the time after we used 3 talls, so there's a chance that they would work better with each other now. Plus Weideman is a much improved player since then. Weid had also taken many of his marks in packs with other talls, which provides a different option to the wrestling of Jesse and Tom. I think we'll play 3 tall forwards next year and then set up the team around them to make it work. I imagine there will be less focus on the talls to mark and more on the defensive actions, knowing that we have more marking options. I have no idea on how we will use them all, but it's going to be a really interesting discussion. I think 2018 was a year we could get away with it, given that Weid is developing, but he won't wear that next year too.
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Farewell Jesse Hogan
Looking at the stats of McDonald when Hogan is playing vs not playing: McDonald’s scoring shots have gone down, his disposals have gone down, his contested disposals have fallen dramatically (7 down to 2.5), has not taken any contested marks, taken less marks inside 50, kicked the ball inside 50 less, etc. His stats have fallen off dramatically since he’s had to play on the opposition’s best defender. Conversely, Weideman’s stats have improved. In fact, they are better than McDonald’s. Weid, the last 2 games, has averaged more disposals than Tom in 2018, more contested marks than Tom in 2018, and more contested possessions than Tom in 2018. Perhaps the question shouldn’t be “Hogan + McDonald vs McDonald + Weideman” but rather “Hogan + McDonald vs Hogan + Weideman”. ?♂️