Jump to content

Stats that matter - Season 2016 (or a truckload of bulldust!?)

Featured Replies

Posted

Hate this saying but we are four rounds in...and yep we have a decent sample size!  :pj:Ok PJ wipe that smile off yer face man i get it!

Anyways after the completion of Rnd 4 here's my top 10 based on a weighted average of select publicly available stats. The number in brackets is the weighted score of those averages. Only players who have an average (ie., 2 or more games played so far) are included in the rankings.

1. Vince (4.33)

2. Viney (4.26)

3. The Jones Boy (4.13)

4. Tyson (4.02)

5. Hogan (3.39)

6. Oliver (3.34)

7. M Jones (3.31)

8. Dunn (3.26)

9. Kennedy (3.20)

10. Bugg (3.04)

Some other noteworthy points.

In the match against Norf they averaged (per player) 88 more games and 4 years seniority on us. Not a bad effort as most times a team would get smashed in that scenario.

In yesterday's match against the Pies they had approx 30 more games per player on us and 1 year.

In all matches so far our opponents have had a higher games/years average per player!

Going ok. Now for 2 in a row! Fingers/toes/trident crossed

 
13 minutes ago, Rusty Nails said:

Hate this saying but we are four rounds in...and yep we have a decent sample size!  :pj:Ok PJ wipe that smile off yer face man i get it!

Anyways after the completion of Rnd 4 here's my top 10 based on a weighted average of select publicly available stats. The number in brackets is the weighted score of those averages. Only players who have an average (ie., 2 or more games played so far) are included in the rankings.

1. Vince (4.33)

2. Viney (4.26)

3. The Jones Boy (4.13)

4. Tyson (4.02)

5. Hogan (3.39)

6. Oliver (3.34)

7. M Jones (3.31)

8. Dunn (3.26)

9. Kennedy (3.20)

10. Bugg (3.04)

Some other noteworthy points.

In the match against Norf they averaged (per player) 88 more games and 4 years seniority on us. Not a bad effort as most times a team would get smashed in that scenario.

In yesterday's match against the Pies they had approx 30 more games per player on us and 1 year.

In all matches so far our opponents have had a higher games/years average per player!

Going ok. Now for 2 in a row! Fingers/toes/trident crossed

I would expect that to continue and the only team I expect to play a younger less experienced team than us is the lions. We will be close with a few but I doubt we will be older. 

  • Author

Stat update after last night.......

  • Kicking efficiency last night was around AFL average @ approx 63% which is great to see
  • We are the most accurate team in front of goal at 65.5% accuracy. Next best is the Saints @ 61.2% and Norf @ 61.9%. The bottom 5 are The Power 50%, Essendrug 48.5%, The Blues 45.8%, the Lions 43.8% and the Dockers @ 43.1% (who would have thought!?).
  • We have the 4th highest goal kicking average in the league
  • In one of the few publicly available stats that i think is worth looking at, we are ranked 5th in clearances behind the Crows, Hawks, Swans and the Doggies. Saints are right on our tail at 6th so we'll need to work extra hard next week at the coal face to get 3 in a row.
  • We are 3rd in contested marks only behind the Weagles & Swans.

Top 5 rated players from a weighted average of stats last night were (weighted score in parentheses).....

1. Tyson (5.65)

2. Viney (5.60)

3. Jones (4.35)

4. Salem (4.25)

5. Gawn (4.20)*

*Does not include a 'hit outs to advantage' stat which would more than likely boost him to No.1 spot last night.

Top 5 up to and including round 5*

1. Viney (4.53)

2. Tyson (4.35)

3. Vince (4.23)

4. N Jones (4.17)

5. Dunn (3.38)

* Again i think Gawn would easily be in the top 2 or 3 if the hit outs to advantage could be accounted for

 
On 18 April 2016 at 10:16 AM, Rusty Nails said:

Hate this saying but we are four rounds in...and yep we have a decent sample size!  :pj:Ok PJ wipe that smile off yer face man i get it!

Anyways after the completion of Rnd 4 here's my top 10 based on a weighted average of select publicly available stats. The number in brackets is the weighted score of those averages. Only players who have an average (ie., 2 or more games played so far) are included in the rankings.

1. Vince (4.33)

2. Viney (4.26)

3. The Jones Boy (4.13)

4. Tyson (4.02)

5. Hogan (3.39)

6. Oliver (3.34)

7. M Jones (3.31)

8. Dunn (3.26)

9. Kennedy (3.20)

10. Bugg (3.04)

Some other noteworthy points.

In the match against Norf they averaged (per player) 88 more games and 4 years seniority on us. Not a bad effort as most times a team would get smashed in that scenario.

In yesterday's match against the Pies they had approx 30 more games per player on us and 1 year.

In all matches so far our opponents have had a higher games/years average per player!

Going ok. Now for 2 in a row! Fingers/toes/trident crossed

Where has Max Gawn?  Probably at least as influential as your first three 

  • Author
19 minutes ago, monoccular said:

Where has Max Gawn?  Probably at least as influential as your first three 

Yes it's flawed with regard to ruckmen Mono. He would be right up there otherwise. See latest ranking notes.

  • 1 month later...

  • Author

Finally managed to do a major overall of Rounds 6, 7 and 8 that i missed when i was OS. The following comparative rankings include all players who have played 2 or more games this year. And before anyone hammers me on Big Maxy, i don't have access to the 'hit outs to advantage stat' which would no doubt push Maxy into the top 5 or therabouts (just my view) if i could somehow account for it. This is not intended to be a slight on anyone, especially Big M, who is no doubt one of the major keys to our improvement since his break out match against the Cats last year.

I have included the top 22 as i figure we need the best possible (stat based) 'fielded team' of 22 as a highlight, rather than the entire list that has played 2 or more matches (32) so far. And yes, believe it or not Jeffy misses the cut at 27! And yes i realise it would be highly unlikely he would miss the actual 22 in reality (edit: although after this week's match i'm not so sure :blink:). Although having said that he does go missing at times during some matches so maybe the stats are also giving a rough indicator of this factor (edit: on reflection this was spot on....yesterdays game blah).

The biggest (but nonetheless pleasing) surprise for me was where Billy, Harmes and Tracc are sitting. Young fellas on the rise!

 

Top 22 rated players from a weighted average of stats up to & inclusive of Rnd 11, 2016 (weighted score in parentheses)

1. N Jones (4.54)

2. J Viney (4.29)

3. D Tyson (4.18)

4. B Vince (4.06)

5. B Stretch (3.73)

6. T Bugg (3.34)

7. C Oliver (3.29)

8. M Jones (3.21)

9. C Petracca (3.16)

10. T McDonald (3.14)

11. J Watts (3.07)

12. J Hogan (3.05)

13. C Salem (2.98)

14. B Kennedy (2.940)

15. L  Dunn (2.938)

16. N Jetta (2.89)

17. J Harmes (2.88)

18. B Newton (2.80)

19. J Wagner (2.76)

20. H Lumumba (2.75)

21. C Pedersen (2.65)

22. D Kent (2.48)

 

Stats: Courtesy of footywire.com

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Featured Content

  • PREGAME: Brisbane

    The Demons head back out on the road in Round 10 when they travel to Queensland to take on the reigning Premiers and the top of the table Lions who look very formidable. Can the Dees cause a massive upset? Who comes in and who goes out?

    • 34 replies
    Demonland
  • PODCAST: Hawthorn

    The Demonland Podcast will air LIVE on Monday, 12th May @ 8:00pm. Join Binman, George & I as we dissect the Demons loss to the Hawks. Your questions and comments are a huge part of our podcast so please post anything you want to ask or say below and we'll give you a shout out on the show. If you would like to leave us a voicemail please call 03 9016 3666 and don't worry no body answers so you don't have to talk to a human.

      • Thanks
    • 14 replies
    Demonland
  • POSTGAME: Hawthorn

    Wayward kicking for goal, dump kicks inside 50 and some baffling umpiring all contributed to the Dees not getting out to an an early lead that may have impacted the result. At the end of the day the Demons were just not good enough and let the Hawks run away with their first win against the Demons in 7 years.

      • Clap
      • Love
      • Like
    • 228 replies
    Demonland
  • VOTES: Hawthorn

    After 3 fantastic week Max Gawn has a massive lead in the Demonland Player of the Year award from Jake Bowey, Christian Petracca, Kade Chandler and Ed Langdon who round out the Top Five. Your votes please. 6, 5, 4, 3, 2 & 1.

      • Thanks
    • 23 replies
    Demonland
  • GAMEDAY: Hawthorn

    It’s game day and the Demons are chasing a fourth straight win as we take on the high flying Hawks at the G. After decades of being tormented by the Hawks the Dees will be keen to extend their 7 year dominance over Hawthorn.

      • Clap
      • Thanks
      • Like
    • 471 replies
    Demonland
  • NON-MFC: Round 09

    Round 9 kicks off out west with the Dockers hosting a Collingwood side resting several stars. Fremantle need to make a statement on their home deck after some disappointing form on the road, while the Magpies will be keen to maintain their Top 2 position. Friday night sees a must-win clash between two sides desperate to stay in touch with the eight. St Kilda have shown glimpses while Carlton are clinging to relevance after a flat start to the season. Saturday’s twilight game at Marvel pits the Bombers against a struggling Sydney outfit. Essendon can’t afford another close match against a lower-ranked side, while the Swans risk sliding down the ladder even further. Up in Darwin, the fourth-placed Suns will look to extend their stay in the top four. The Bulldogs have hit their stride with three big wins on the trot and will be very keen to consolidate on their momentum. The always fiery Showdown looms as pivotal for both clubs. Adelaide are eyeing a spot in the Top 4 with a win, while Port Adelaide’s season could slip away if they drop another game and fall further behind the pack. Sunday begins with a yawn fest between Richmond and West Coast. The Tigers need to bank the points to stay clear of the bottom two, while the Eagles are still chasing their first win of the year. The Giants face one of the league’s toughest road trips as they travel to GMHBA Stadium to face the Cats. With GWS at risk of a third straight loss, Geelong will be eager to consolidate their position inside the eight and start their climb up the ladder. The round wraps up with the top-of-the-table Lions heading to Ninja Stadium to take on the second-last Roos. The Lions should easily take care of the struggling Roos who might be powerless against the best in the comp. Who are you tipping and what are the best results for the Demons?

      • Thanks
    • 161 replies
    Demonland