Lucifers Hero

Thank God we aren't in the UK. Boris is going down the path of 'Herd Immunity': "Britain's approach has three core elements: enact social distancing measures much more slowly than other countries; shield at-risk groups like the elderly and sick from contact with the general population; and then let COVID-19 slowly sweep through everybody else. "Herd immunity describes a scenario where so many people become resistant to a disease – either through vaccinations or exposure – that it becomes much harder for the virus to spread through the rest of the population. In six months we will know whether that was a monumental and deadly mistake or a brave and effective decision to swim against the global tide". Source: herd-immunity-why-britain-is-actually-letting-the-coronavirus-spread Someone forgot to tell them there is no vaccine!! There are parts in that article that make distressing reading, especially isolating the elderly and vulnerable and not allowing visitors to nursing homes etc. No compassion or understanding how distressing months of isolation would be.

"More than 14,000 tests for the coronavirus have been carried out in the state, with 57 cases confirmed. Chief Health Officer Brett Sutton warned on Sunday authorities were starting to run short of testing swabs". https://www.theage.com.au/national/premier-calls-for-us-travel-ban-warns-of-more-coronavirus-disruptions-20200315-p54a73.html Folks need to be more aware of when to be tested. Below is a very good guide: Read more about how to tell the difference: https://www.businessinsider.com.au/coronavirus-symptoms-compared-to-flu-common-cold-and-allergies-2020-3?r=US&IR=T Please pass this on so that we don't clog up emergency wards and doctor's surgeries unnecessarily. We are going to need the testing swabs when things get bad.

Have a listen to his B&F speeches. imv, he peaks very well and will get better as he matures and gets a bit of coaching. Has many of the attributes to be a leader of our club.

Hypotheses I've read: The epicenter is in the industrial north which has one of the worst air pollution in the world It has a high ratio of smokers (as have many countries in Europe and Asia). It has a high proportion of 'elderly' people who are more susceptible; who could have been life long smokers. so more likely people have compromised respiratory systems and CV attacks the lungs. Also: They never found 'patient zero' so couldn't find the source making it impossible to track his/her contacts and control the spread. Were slow to lockdown the Lombardy epicenter, it wasn't properly enforced and locals left taking the virus with them. The first three partially explain why their death rate is so high. Another explanation is they don't have enough ICU beds and ventilators/respirators. Sadly, doctors are taking a 'wartime triage' approach; treat those that are likely to recover ie healthy and under 80 years of age (Some newspapers are saying the cut off age is 60?). Harrowing for all. Other European countries are tracking the same as Italy on a timeline so it wouldn't surprise if they also end up with a high CV cases.

Tell that to Riley Beveridge who wrote the article or to Max who answered the question the way he did. I was simply bringing it to DL's attention. I reckon it is worth fans knowing what our captain thinks.

Max will be captain for quite a few years so Lever has plenty of time to stake his claim, as do others.

Yes, according to Max skippers-earmark-their-successor Lever seems a natural and in the right age group for when Max vacates the chair. Not sure what JV7 makes of Max's prediction. It may have been a bit more diplomatic for Max to nominate 2-3 players who could step up. I would have suggested Lever, Oliver (both potentially elite with great footy minds and media speakers) and Viney as he may develop his talents and earn the job back.

I'm predicting a massive sociological change and workplace change. Around the world millions will be working from home. Teaching is on line eg my niece and her husband are expat teachers in Hong Kong. They have been teaching their primary and secondary students on-line since mid January and will do so until at least mid April. A real challenge as they have 3yo and 6yo boys at home to 'Home School' and playgrounds have been shut since mid-January. When this is over, many organisations will ask themselves: 'well this worked ok how can it work better' and continue employees working from home on a full time basis. Sociologists will study the impact of working at home, teaching on line and home schooling. Technology in all its forms will change and improve at an exponential rate to accommodate workplace and sociological changes. It may take a decade but the impact will be far reaching.

^^^ Last weeks results didn't go as I would have liked as the first 3 results didn't come in. At least we thrashed Eagles! Today Collingwood had a massive win over Brisbane (Conf A) placing them 3rd in our Conf B. We must beat Carlton tonight to keep us in the running. If we do we will be a game and %'age clear of them and Collingwood with two games to go. Would be very happy if Bulldogs have an upset win over Freo...

If games are in empty stadiums broadcasters will ramp up their fake cheering sound effects. Sadly there will be a lot more waffle from commentators. Very good reasons to press the 'mute' button or simultaneously listen to the radio. Broadcasters will probably have crowds projected into the background to avoid showing empty stadiums. I'm just hoping games go ahead. It will be a very long winter without footy. Also, imagine what Demonland will be like if there is nothing to talk about. It will be like 12 months of off-season, without training reports!

I have no doubt the anecdotes mean it 'escaped' by accident; certainly not released deliberately and I wasn't trying to imply such. Why would China do that in their own back yard? Totally agree the reaction is 'mindless insanity': approx 130,000 diagnosed cases worldwide, some 5,000 deaths worldwide. In a world population of nearly 8 billion. What are the odds? Yet world leaders are spooking their citizens and bringing their countries to a standstill risking crippling their economies and communities. I fear there will be a high price to pay for effectively shutting down activities.

There was chatter in some media that the virus 'escaped' from a bio-tech lab near the Wuhan wet market which has been blamed for starting the spread of the virus. Apparently, several of the people first diagnosed had not been near the market. One of them was a lab technician from the bio-tech facility. Make of that what you will.

If the AFL went to a 17 game season, eliminate the mid and end season byes games would start on May 9. Even later if they have mid week games. At worst play to empty stadiums. It would be a terrible, depressing winter with no footy?

The government is aiming for a 'V'-shaped economic impact ie a sharp, short downturn followed by an equally sharp, short upturn ie the inverse of either coronavirus curves in the graph. In terms of timing of the economic impact I suggest it lags the two curves by a month or two. imv the government hopes we repeat the China experience and life is back to normal in 2-4 months. The government, rightly, seems very worried the economic impact will 'U'-shaped ie a long, slow and prolonged downturn which could last years rather than months. This will be far more severe than 'V'-shape as supply chains are being compromised and if producers can't get materials to finish products. The longer supply chains are compromised the long it will take for the economy to get going again especially if people stop spending. The economic package is to keep people spending. On the bright side, I think the government has a very good chance of delaying the peak virus impact and its dangers peter out quite quickly. There is anecdotal evidence the government is stockpiling critical items eg masks, sanitizers, medications etc initially for health practitioners and later for the public if it ever becomes necessary.

Confirmation: Grand Prix to be Cancelled Interestingly, it is the teams who want to pull the pin - good on them. Shows leadership the organisers and governments didn't have. This diagram shows what governments are trying to manage: delay the CV peak to not stress medical resources. Source: The Age Lets hope they can pull it off. I suspect a lot of planning is based on the timetable shown in the diagram: Estimating when the peak will hit and develop contingencies for when to run events. Re the AFL season, someone suggested earlier that the season be reduced to 17 games where each team plays each other once; a great idea. The fixture would need a little rejigging and maybe more mid-week games but that would be far preferable to no season or a totally compromised season.

Its a fine line the government walks. They need people to stay calm, society needs to keep going. If everyone panics the economic contagion will be far worse for families and communities than the virus itself. Sadly, the virus will claim a small % of people but if everyone closes their wallets, planes stop flying, venues close down, businesses stop operating we will have the mother of all economic meltdowns the like of which we haven't seen for nearly 100 years. A quick look at the ASX and Dow Jones shows what could be in store in the real economy, if governments do not get the juggling act right. The stimulus package is aimed at keeping us out of the economic quagmire while trying to manage the health risks. Having said that I'm with you on the health risks the government has taken, especially with not closing travel from Italy 10 days ago. There is little doubt they waited until the Formula 1 teams had arrived before placing the ban. As I mentioned in an earlier post I'm filthy they put Grand Prix $ before public health. Now they have FI crews in isolation and the likes of Lewis Hamilton saying 'what the hell are we doing running this race amidst a health crisis'. Lots of questions to be answered by the Formular 1 organisers and one Paul Little.

It was only a matter of time before someone publicly floated the idea of setting an age limit for access to critical medical facilities eg ICU. italian-doctors-propose-intensive-care-age-limit-to-save-younger-patients A terrible dilemma for hospital and medical staff. But it is an approach that makes sense. Lets hope we never get to that point. Stay healthy folks, especially older d'landers.

Source was: https://www.afl.com.au/matches/injury-list which covering all clubs. I had the impression that clubs report info to AFL for it to publish on the Tuesday, on the understanding things can change before the next game. Is the info 'officially' official, I don't know. Of course, clubs can 'fudge' reports eg omitting our Joel Smith etc. I doubt the AFL would tolerate clubs regularly reporting or not reporting injuries accurately. The 'Early Prognosis' section is where there could be a combo of club comments and author assumptions.

Harley Bennell Calf TBC Kade Chandler Wrist 1-2 weeks Kyle Dunkley Foot Test Mitch Hannan Groin TBC Kade Kolodjashnij Concussion TBC Harry Petty Groin TBC Braydon Preuss Knee 4-6 weeks Aaron vandenBerg Foot TBC Sam Weideman Ankle Test Updated: Tuesday, March 10 Early prognosis Weideman rolled his ankle against Hawthorn on Friday night but should be available for the season-opener against West Coast. But the luckless vandenBerg could be set for another stint on the sidelines after pulling up sore against the Hawks. Max Gawn played half a game against the Hawks and has declared himself a starter for round one, while Steven May also got through on his comeback from his own knee issue. Mystery continues to surround Joel Smith's fitness, given his absence from pre-season hitouts. - Jennifer Phelan

I'm guessing that is to reinforce to players that while Champion Data etc rate # of possessions, they mean diddly squat to coaches. Part of reinforcing a 'Team First' mind set rather than individual performance/rankings; something that has been or crept into a number of our players. As an aside I was pleased to see the 'Esprit de Corps' banner pop up a few times.

Also, because of his knee injuries he can't get down low for the ground balls so defenders only need to contest and bring the ball to ground every time it goes near Patton and let the small guys go to work.

We need: Saints to beat the Blues - possible Lions to beat Freo - likely Bulldogs to beat Pies - possible us to thrash Eagles - anything is possible ? These results will put us even with Freo and a step or two ahead of Blues and Pies. ? I suspect the final placing will be decided in the last round of the season.

We have moved toward the Eagles and Hawks 'control' game style. My post from the Post Game thread: A clear change in our game style was to switch and chip the ball around our back half (Richardson influence?) - very much the Hawks and Eagles 'control' game plan of recent years. Will be interesting to see if we have enough skill to carry it off when opps develop counter tactics. Hawks seemed awake to it quite early and let us chip the ball around while they flooded our fwd half making it hard to get thru traffic. We inevitably had to bomb it long over the pack to outnumbered forwards. Inevitably they marked and the ball came out again. In the 3rd quarter we started to find ways to get thru the forward half congestion and it was good to see we reacted to what wasn't working in-game. As a result we kicked 7.3 in the second half vs 5.6 in the first half. Someone on the field or the coaches box responded well and the players implemented the changes well. While we played attacking, aggressive football there was less of the manic 'chaos ball' game style which imv was good as it tires players, and draws too many around the ball with no one to receive. Saw Langdon hovering outside a pack a few times which was great to see. I like these game plan changes. Some work to do on moving the ball more efficiently between the 50m arcs so we don't need to bomb it in and some work to do to make sure the opp don't force our 'switch and chip' in defence to become like the kicking in circles of 5 years ago. As an aside, Hawks have changed their game plan from slow chip and control out of defence to moving the ball out quickly thru the corridor. Watching how game plans change across the league and how opps react will be an interesting side show this year. Re your quotes from Goodwin's presser. He has been the same thing about 'a recongnisable brand that supporters can be excited about' since he took over as senior coach. He needs a new script.

Can't believe the media is creating a bit of a frenzy over Viney's 'risky sling tackle' on Stratton. Stratton's shoulder hit the ground first, he got straight up and the umpire who was right there didn't even pay a free! Must be a no-news day but I bet it will be played over and over this weekend and someone will demand the MRO penalises Viney under the apparent 'new' sling tackle rules. Wouldn't put it past the MRO to look like he is doing something, penalise Viney and proceed to ignore similar or worse tackles for the rest of the year. Shades of May last year...

@binmanAn curious as to what made you angry about post #148. I don't mind, just would like to know what you saw differently.