Little Goffy

Ok, I was bored... Just how important is it to come top four? Well, discounting the value of home-ground advantage, and discounting the possibility of the week of rest... If each finals game is considered a 50-50 chance (someone has to win!)... If you do a basic sequence of probability (blah blah), coming top four TRIPLES your chances compared to a mere top-eight finish. About 18% vs about 6%. I just thought I'd throw that out there - now you have the stat. If people care enough I'll show the working too. What a different one measely game can make. How big a deal do you lot think it is to get home grounds in finals? Demons lost 1 game at 'g last year, best Home advantage in the comp!

This is an old one, but when I first got down to Melbourne in 2005 (at last! Regular Football!) one of the first games I got to was Demons-Carlton at the dome. (not a good omen, you could say) Sure we lost, which was annoying, but I got a bit of amusement when a couple of dodgy looking teenagers sat down next to me and started commenting about the game. Fair enough comments, though they seemed to think they knew everthing. It wasn't until Mark Thompson sat down directly behind 'us' that I realised I was pressing for room against Gary Ablett Jr. Dodgy looking teenager, definately! Nice way to arrive for a year of constant football... I mean, living in Melbourne.