Everything posted by Adam The God
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2024 Phantom Drafts
I see the quick hands. I think his ceiling is Sidebottom and his floor is perhaps Spargo. Sidebottom has been a terrific player, but I'd prefer others and I wouldn't have him in the top 5, and if some talls go early, he may slip outside of the top 10.
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Goodwin is the MAN!
You could argue 2023 was the season Scott also needed to have. He failed to make finals having just won a flag. This is the thing, it's incredibly difficult to do what Goody did and back up three years in a row and finish top 4. McRae has just failed to make finals after winning a flag too. Yeah, I think we did lack composure in front of goal in the finals last year, but that's not on Goody. We generated enough opportunities and in the QF, guys like McDonald and Fritta who are usually beautiful kicks, missed sitters they would normally dob, and would certainly dob on dry nights. The Carlton match saw a lack of composure and execution from many of our leaders, including Max and Lever. Again, not on Goody IMV. It just didn't go our way, but Goody has shown he likes continuity, because that is how you form cohesion in elite sport. It took half way through 2022 for Collingwood's new game style to click, before that they were a rabble. Likewise, Carlton in 2023. And there are numerous other examples. I think missing finals after being top 4 three years in a row will drive the playing group and light a fire under them. Healthy stuff. So better pre seasons for all our key players, get some more youthful exuberance and talent in the door, and pair it all with a new look game style that still focuses on contest, but brings something different offensively or defensively (or both), and we're cooking IMO. We'll also have a softer draw.
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2024 Phantom Drafts
Reid could be a handy player, but I wouldn't have him anywhere near the top 5. I don't see it, but each to their own.
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Goodwin is the MAN!
And had we won the flag last year, 'the trend' might have gone in a different direction, but since it was successful for Collingwood, faster ball movement and transition footy became the 2024 norm. Whoever wins this year will be similarly picked apart and influential heading into 2025. I think the trick from a coaching and strategy stand point is being able to predict the upcoming trend and be ahead of the curve. Goody has been there before. In 2017-2018 (era 1) and again in 2021-2023 (era 2). It almost won us two flags in the latest era. Mitchell has talked a bit about this 'playing a game style that stands up in 5 years time' or whatever since he took over. I'm not that convinced he's as good strategically as others seem to think, but time will tell. As you imply, you can't predict the game in 5 years time and if he has predicted it, he seems to be playing a contemporary style now. I think we need new ideas around Goody though, new strategy, but he's shown that he can constantly reshape the way we play, based around the fundamental pillar of contest. I feel adding 'the defence' to 'contest' happened in era 2. Now that footy is going towards offence and offensive power, Goody era 3 will likely use contest and ideally more attack. 2024 was spent working out exactly who could play the faster transition turnover game from the back half and ironically, it actually seemed to have less emphasis on contest and stoppage, and more on intercept and defence. I'm sure we've learned a lot from 2024 though. If we can add in the ball winning power of a fit Clarry and Trac to 2025, plus some unknown x factor from the draft (I'm hoping we get 3 picks inside 25), we can completely transform our style next year to offence and contest. If we want to. This bit's probably for another thread, but I'd be looking for speed (Jagga Smith and Connor Hynes), power (Sam Lalor and Hynes) and ball use (Smith, Lalor and Langford). These alongside Windsor, Kolt, McVee and even AMW is a different Melbourne with Clarry and Viney extracting with chop outs from Trac and Trac inside 50. And finally, all of this is not to say that Goody shouldn't or won't value defence, but I think blind Freddy can see the scales have tipped in the offensive direction (from midway through 2022 onwards), so if we're going to be a more defensive team, he's going to have to work out what that next trend is in the game and use it to stop the ball movement of the faster transition sides. I actually think a key to this is what we do at stoppages with our numbers. What would our game style look like if we added numbers to the stoppage to outnumber? Doesn't mean we can't use our wingers creatively to sure up defence or provide cover for more advanced half backs. If we can get more chances from dangerous areas than our opponent and convert them, will that be the winning formula? Anyway, in case it wasn't obvious, I back Goody.
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Training Ground?
You're right, you don't understand where I'm coming from mate. I do not trust Pert or the board. They've given too many reasons not to trust them, which have been provided ad nuseum by myself and others on Demonland. Pert and co have had a major job to do over 5+ years and have managed a 12 month feasibility study that doesn't even apparently include the financials and the business case. It's not good enough. It's not MFCSS to suggest by their own markers, the progress has been treacle slow.
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Training Ground?
I love how those who have lost trust in the admin are being painted. Oh, you're just suffering from MFCSS if you don't sit around clapping a dressed up update. Pert's been in the job five years and we've managed a 12 month feasibility study. It's not MFCSS, it's MFCFMD.
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Training Ground?
The holes are that it might not go ahead, and that's already the murmurs. Meanwhile, the feasibility study now gives way to a business case phase, which surely should have been apart of the last 12 months of [censored] around on the feasibility study...
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Training Ground?
That's the problem though. Pert's given himself another year by releasing a statement that has potentially had holes poked in it within 12 hours.
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2024 Phantom Drafts
I like Draper, I just unfairly don't consider him as he's a South Aussie, so let's go for the Victorian kid. That's my thinking anyway.
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2024 Phantom Drafts
What can Reid do that Smith can't?
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2024 Phantom Drafts
I don't see it, but we all see it differently.
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2024 Phantom Drafts
Just doesn't do it for me. Low production, no real elite traits that I can see, not sure what his x factor is. Moves a bit like Trac, but has little hurt factor.
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2024 Phantom Drafts
I'm sitting with: 1. Jagga Smith - the next Butters and the perfect complement to Clarry, Trac and Viney. 2. Harvey Langford - good accumulator, great mark and kick. 3. Sam Lalor - Bit worried about his hammies. 15-20. Cooper Hynes - got Chad Warner speed and power from the contest, and can get it done in the forward half.
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Jake Stringer
At least Clarry's not avoiding paying his child support...
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Trade Targets
Would love Aleer. Is going to be a very good player.
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Training Ground?
They absolutely will, that's their go to.
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Trade Targets
Yeah, Nibbler basically plays/played as a third winger, with a greater licence to join in on offence. I don't think we want Spargo in the midfield rotation @dazzledavey36, I'd prefer we go after a Jagga Smith, who has moved into number 1 target spot for us IMO. Play Charlie between high half forward, wing and deep forward. Charlie getting to the foot of contests like he did in 2018 and 2021 inside 50 made him a dangerous small. Needs to do the same again. I do have concerns about his fitness though given the long lay off. Let's hope he's back on the track soon.
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Training Ground?
So that's $20-25mill from the $32mill(?) sale of the Bentleigh Club? Of course, we'd have hopefully generated significant return on that from speculation in financial markets and interest, but that's a large amount to sink into the project, I'm sure it can't he helped though and the Caulfield asset gain will outstrip holding the Bentleigh Club.
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Trade Targets
Look back over Gus' possession count for 2021. Spargo played the defensive wing. It was about covering and trying to provide an outlet going forward. I want to use Spargo's aerobic capacity and his ball use, and maximise Windsor's damage as a half back ball user and line breaker. This is the compromise you have to make when you don't land Houston. We need faster and better ball users off half back. I'd also like to give Windsor 2 or 3 CBAs occasionally to get him used to it.
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Trade Targets
Yes.
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Training Ground?
Yep, I'd heard ours would require similar funding, great news if not, but remains to be seen.
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Training Ground?
What are we talking though? I had previously heard tens of millions...
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Trade Targets
Spargo played some wing in 2022-2023 to good effect IMO.
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2024 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch
Definitely trade the future first for mine.
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Training Ground?
What is this based on? The business case is to come. There should be multiple co-financing avenues with the multiple racing clubs, MCC, state, federal and even local govs, the AFL and our own cash injections, but this is a commercial team that struggled to get a short's sponsor for a team that had finished top 4 three years in a row and won a flag. As for MFCSS, it's actually just a lack of trust now sullied over multiple years by the administration, nothing to do with the football side of things. At least not for me.