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—coach—

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Posts posted by —coach—

  1. 1 hour ago, La Dee-vina Comedia said:

    My rudimentary understanding of meteorology suggests that thunder is accompanied by lightning. Does the AFL have a rule that stops play if there's lightning? I can't recall a game ever having been paused for this reason but surely it's an OH&S issue for players and officials if there's lightning about. 

     

    PS: Thunder and lightning seem appropriate to get the best out of demons.

    I would imagine that the MCG with its exceptionally high stands on all sides containing tones on metal would act like a lightning rod and take the hit rather than the  players or fans. Having said that they would probably err on the side of caution and wait until the lightning passes.

  2. 2 hours ago, Skin D said:

    That's not even remotely statistically correct.

    How so?

    When he was in the side we won 6 of 9 (66.6%)

    When out of side we won 4 of 13 (30.7%)

     

    I'm not saying he is the reason we are winning, just that when he plays we win more often for some reason.

    • Like 2
  3. 3 minutes ago, Nasher said:

    I don't think he's a spud.  Players who make 50 or more AFL games have to have done so because they add something to their team.  You wouldn't make it that far otherwise.  I don't see the world in black and white.

    But your "we win more games" stat is just silly.  For a start, it hardly showed a huge difference - what was it, 25% vs 26%? As they say correlation doesn't mean causation.  I just don't know how you can conclude anything with that statistic.  There's no link between the stat and Pedersen playing, it's just a co-incidence.

    How about a "Games in AFL" vs "Games in VFL" ratio? Not an easy stat to get but the fact that he's spent a significant portion of the last two seasons in the VFL is indicative of his standing amongst his coaching group.

    66% versus 30.7% in 2016 Nasher.

    Don't disagree with the part about VFL versus AFL Nasher, and also completely understand the idea that we need to play guys like Weidermsn to get them up to speed so to speak, also understand that the selectors are in the best position to pick the team, but I still believe he is a player who can help us win depending on the opposition and not a spud as others like to suggest.

  4. 1 minute ago, titan_uranus said:

    I shouldn't need to explain this, but whatever:

    There's nothing to establish any link between Pedersen playing and the increased wins. 

    True, but the fact remains, he plays in a higher percentage of wins than just about any other player in our team (with a statistically significant number of games played).

  5. Just now, Dr evil said:

    The stat is, the % of teams that play finals with a potato in their teams is 0

    Hahahah, I like it ?

    Im simply putting forward the actual stats, people can descide for themselves.

    Personally I think he has a place on the right day.

  6. 1 minute ago, Dr evil said:

    He doesn't get a game because he's a spud, if Pederson were a regular in our team we wouldn't be considered potential finalists 

    Except we win more games when he is in the side than we he is not.

  7. 13 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

    Except for the total lack of any relationship between the two facts.

    Watts also makes a much better forward.

    But that's the issue for me - when Watts is out of the forward line, we rob our forward line just to have someone sit in the ruck.

    Pedersen could play Smith/Weideman's role, not add much less than them (and no, for the record, he won't add much more either), but by rucking that prevents us from having to ruck Watts when we should be playing him as a permanent forward. And as you've said, it's not like Watts is so much of a better ruckman that it's noticeable.

    Perhaps I am misunderstanding your meaning, however I don't see how you can suggest a total lack of relationship when we are 33% more likely to win when he is in the team than when he is not?

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