Jjrogan

Saints have won every game they lead at half time and lost every game they have been behind. Dont let them get a sniff is probably the learning. Marshall is so hit and miss. At his best he is just on the cusp of AA squad. If he's off he unsighted. Their back up is 190cm Mitch Owens. Gawn had the 3 votes last year. As mentioned, they have a mobile forward line without King. Wouldnt be a surprise to see May managed with an an eye to KB. Also I wouldnt be surprised to see AJ plonk a few marks this week and kick a couple if he's playing on 7 gamer O'Connell. He gets to good spots and I suspect his marking/kicking has some upside.

Felt before the game it was one of those 50/50 game (odds wise) which ends up being a flogging cause one part of the loser's game simply falls apart. As it happened, the swans midfield was putrid today and it was outstanding we went for the kill. Cox cant coach either, barely saw a plan A, let alone a B, C or D. Saints will be tougher. They have more than 2 match winners.

AJ is like a cameo character in a TV series that provides excellent comedic relief. Are you not entertained. He has a dip!!

The heart of the problem is not the f/s per se but teams got a 20 percent discount to take them. Its the wrong way around. For the romance (which to me has some appeal) you should be paying a 20 percent premium. Eg.. we just drafted Ashcroft... sure you can have him but not until you pay the rest of the comp with draft currency for him. You should have to pay for the right, not gain from the right. As an aside, the clubs themselves have a lot to blame. Naicos was clearly the best player in that draft but in order to appease JHF's ego and the total neglience of the other clubs he went 4. Draft value 2034 points. 20 percent discount... 1651... they 'paid' 38,40,42,44. If North had a brain they would have picked him 1 which would have meant the Pies had to pay an extra 1000 points, the equivalent of a late 1st/2nd rounder. Absolute amateur hour.

Actually, theyve both played in near identical winning percentages of around 65 percent. And both played in 5/6 winning years and 1 losing season. Their 'winning' environment is about the same but anyway. I meant Spargo got to 100 playing so many games in a season. As a forward, he's about 100th in SI rankings. He might be an above average distributor but he doesnt do it enough clearly. Whether on him or goodwin dunno, he'saverage at best overall but out next best is well below average so he shouldnt get dropped. Tholstrup should be absolutley gunning for his spot but reports from last week were not encouraging

Those years he had over 100 are purely on weight of games. He was 169th and 192nd for score involvements average per game. Miers isnt a fair comparison of course but he's 9th, 28th etc. Since returning he's around 250th+ for score involvements per game. But i agree, hes in my team also cause we dont realistically have anyone else i trust for a 13 possession 3 tackle 1 clanger 3 score involvement game.

Hard to know what to make of the Swans. Staistically, very similar profile to us. Decent inside 50s, but pretty inept up forward. Very low contested marks and league worst marks inside 50s. Its easy to say stop Warner and Heeney but youd almost guarantee them each a 22 touch 1 goal game. Its not like they are unknowns or have many bad games. The frustration will be if Haywood or Mclean or some other random pulls down a few marks up forward and they kick 100 points. They have only scored more than 12 goals once all year (against north). Without Amartey, we really should dominate in defence if pressure is on the ball carrier. Should be an even game on paper, but these are the ones that often end up being a blow out as one part of the loser's game just falls apart.

The knock on effects from having our 3rd best 'forward' ruck instead of Petty or JVR was pretty big yesterday. It meant Petracca wasnt needed as much as forward (94 %cba). When Petracca plays full games in the middle we can (and do) beat anyone. As an aside, has there ever been a full forward that likes a goal less than Petty. He is always looking to dish off, even after that great grab in the last. He needs to embrace he is a goal kicker and thats up to the FD to encourage him to be a little selfish. Go back, kick the goal. Its okay to miss, but the hunger to hit the scoreboard needs to be there if you're playing forward

Sharp can barely start. Its rare you see a player cough the ball up as often as he does in traffic. Spargo gets a game cause theres no one else at Casey who you can trust quite simply. I dont watch enough of the Magoos but id consider giving Sestan a run if he can kick over 40 metres.

Most would agree that's as balanced of a team we've had out on the field all year... The most interesting stat for mine is Petracca 94 percent of cba. Huge bump. Clearly a statement. He fumbled a bit but he was fantastic and looked incredibly fiit Oliver high. Pickett high. Rivers got lots of looks and was effective (player rating BOG). We are just a chance to beat anyone with cp5 being in the centre. So how does JV make this centre square balance better. Maybe Oliver should get the tagging role again, it makes him accountable and he's actually really good at it. He didnt give a free kick away and totally blanked Neale's effectiveness. Oliver had 5. Neale had 4. He kept lNewcombe to 19 touches last week. Who will get Heeney. Warner is tough to tag, he's a bit like Trac.

Ya, Melksham is so good with ball in hand, a rose amongst the thorns. Even his left foot kick to Langdon in the last was incredible. Not to be negative, as underrated as Melksham is, Windsor is way overrated as a kick. He was below average last year and his clangers per disposal is too high for a backman. He reminds me of a golfer who plays a great shot with a great swing and everyone thinks wow, this kid is good but im reality his short game and mid iron game is nowhere near the level to be considered elite. . (And he shanks it way too often). Its hard to tell how he did defensively without being there. Id be interested in what others think. Get him out of the backline its not his position, although it does free Rivers up etc etc. He's got heaps of talent, we dont want his career stalling.

Kid averages 18 touches a game given all the latitude in the world. 1 in every 3 possessions is a clanger. Worst in the league. Just as bad last year so theres data here folks. Only reason to be into him is to bid him up for some other sucker to overpay him. How hes valued at 2mln is beyond me.

someone is paying attention. As named we have at least 2 premiership players on every line and another on the bench. I was pessimistic at the start of the week but I agree if we're not competitive this week, it doesnt look good for the next month.

Over his last 100 games (injured, half games, undefined role) melksham averages a goal assist a game. Over a career, that would rank him the BEST in the modern era. People focus on his shortcomings far too much and dont appreciate how elite (all time elite) he actually is at creating goals. We could do with a bit of that I reckon.

The issue is not whether rucks are valuable or invaluable but are you (WE) willing to devote more percentage of your cap to a ruck. The output gap between 2nd best ruckman and 16tth best is actually really small. The wage gap is huge. Apart from flynn/williams who is the worst ruckman in the league. Couldnt tell you myself. Without Max the gap will be even smaller. Taking Jackson would mean in a few years we will be paying our ruckman more as a percentage of cap than we do to Gawn. (He's criminally underpaid). Sure Jackson also doubles as a forward but id say the clubs that have enjoyed the most success over the past decade have underpaid their rucks for the output they get not overpaid (including us). Thats the way to do it. He is a fine player, but Jackson is too expensive for what he procduces week in week out imo. However, it wouldnt be a list killing move like tdk at 1.6 would be.

Its happened 12 times in the past month. Grok is cooked. Having access to the data set is a pretty important part of AI analysis! 😛

Im very curious. When they do these goal kicking drills, do they have a coach or assistant next to them with an ipad or pen/ paper and recording distance, accuracy, angle. In the NFL, qb throws during practice are measured for rotation, accuracy, distamce etc. It builds a database and then when tweaks are made to routine or technique the outputs can be compared and analysed. I'm sure the same happens for golf swings or putting. Or is it, as i assume, a bunch of guys having random set shots from different positions and going yea i kicked around 25 out of 40 today. Not bad, time for the sheds. Id love to be wrong, and that someone is actually tracking kick for kick and measuring if we are getting better in practice (which is the first step in getting better in game). It cost absolutely SFA to have an assistant watching and recording this stuff. It also builds a database knowing which guys are good from which pockets, angles and distance which can help in a game day situation.

Lions are a high kick high mark team but gets lots of inside 50s also, so its not like they chip it around. Just so great in transition, lead the league in scores from d50. I despise Zorko intensely but hes an absolute weapon. He needs to be tagged. Coaches giving him 20 uncontested possessions is utter madnesss. Collingwood kept him quiet and they got flogged. Problem is they are stacked through the middle also now after being gifted father sons. Must be nice as a recruiter to not have to do anything. Cannot see us getting within 8 goals. It would be so random to win this but i guess thats afl these days. As for changes. Who really gives a rats anymore. Its not like it will make a diffierence. Goodwin is a decent coach imo but he has no idea about where to play his players. So happy we have langford and lindsay otherwise the depression would be next level!

Totally winnable but with all due respect these are not the key stays to win. Inside 50s we lost and marks inside 50 we lost 14 to 8. Turn that around and we win that game by 30 points. Spoiler alert we wont. :(

Here here. Not to be overly negative but said 3 weeks ago he is a liability for our midfield. He simply doesnt run to the right spots. Crashing packs only takes you so far and not in this game plan. He played his junior football as a backman, it wont be foreign to him. Turner is still only 20 odd games in. Could be anything. Even im the last you could see him wanting to take the game on.

I think this is a bit harsh on OD. Everyone does see the game different. Whilst Melksham body is not elite mobile, i see his point. He is still very decent in terms of changing direction off a step and then executing either side as last week showed. No way Jefferson can do that, but then not many players can. Ill take the other side of JVR being quick. It might be our shocking game plan, but there's a reason he's found it hard to get separation and plays back shoulder a lot. Fwiw im ok with the selections. . Hawks play small so we are going to try and beat them another way. Eventually we have to find out if our kpfs are any good at taking us to top 4 level. May as well start the learnings and yearnings now.

They are up there 3rd with 10 pg but the gap to us 8pg is not very large. Yes its their quick agile forwards that find space very well. Dont feel like thats in our kit bag to defend week in week out but lets see.

Heck why not. We've only been playing 1 or 2 good quarters even in our wins. The talent and match winning ability is still there we just need to play 3 quarters, let alone 4. Hawks do nothing bad but don't do anything particularly well, they are ranked 4 to 8 in most areas, except one. They are by far league leading marks inside 50 (16 pg) we are 17th (9 pg 🤮). Its not just the big guys as Hardwick, Macdonald and Watson all have had more marks inside 50 than all but one of our players (Fritsch with 12). Throw in Bruest and they have a very clever and agile forward line. Wouldnt label our defenders clever or agile apart from #4. I can almost read the game day posts that some so and so 30 yr old defender is cooked. Up forward must play front of Sicily. He plays front spot so well. Melksham would have been great.

Will be fascinating to see how we handle Waterman and a huge insight into life without May. I really like Turner. People forget he has only played 20 games. Over that time his stat line roughly reads 80 marks 160 touches 20 goals. That's playing half games, in and out of the side, injuries, thrown around the line up. But its more or less jvrs first season (and a better stat line than say Josh Treacy's first 20 games). He's a pretty good forward that plays in front and knows when to double back and lead up. (Jvr instead runs to where the ball is going, not where it should be going imo). But id love to see Turner play on Waterman and win that duel, it would be a huge positive for us for the next few years. If Waterman gives him a bath, so be it but id love to see if Turner is the player I think he could be.

If only off field talk and home truths made a difference we wouldnt have started 0-5. Good on the leadership group for talking it up a notch but on field there are a generational rabble . Half their midfield cant cover the ground or win a clearance (especially the chosen one), their coach has no idea and their captain is meeting other clubs. Of course no game is taken lightlly but if we cant win comfortably we are not serious. But i think we are. 50 points+