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Question for a stats wiz: Inside 50s

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ChatGPT can't answer this, so would take someone a lot of manual work to answer. I quickly looked over this season thus far.

We have won the inside 50 count in every match except the Gold Coast and Hawthorn matches. We lost both those matches. We only lost the inside 50 count by 1 in the Hawks match, so essentially even.

We have won the inside 50 count in 12 out of 14 matches this year.

At a glance, this tells us we generate enough opportunities to win every week, and our conversion is the issue. You could argue the quality of the entries and shots etc, but the reality is we are the most inaccurate shooting team in the league. We give ourselves enough chance every week and if we had kicked at even middle of the table accuracy we'd currently sit top 4. We should have won far more matches this year than we have.

It's too simplistic to correlate inside 50s with scores.

With repeat entries, you have an entire side defending and neutralising those entries.

Geelong and Collingwood have spent years often losing inside 50s and winning matches.

Because if you can slingshot back into a relatively empty inside 50 at the other end, you get easier chances.

So they've made their relatively poor contested winning midfields work by focusing on post clearance and winning defensive 1v1s inside D50 and then transitioning the ball up the other end with precise and fast ball movement.

 

Eh… it’s stats I suppose. Make of them what you will.

Melbourne

Opposition

Round

Goals

I50s

Goal eff %

 

Goals

I50s

Goal eff %

Goal eff % differential

1

11

56

19.6

GWS

11

52

21.2

-1.5

2

9

56

16.1

NM

19

53

35.8

-19.8

3

8

40

20.0

GCS

18

65

27.7

-7.7

4

6

50

12.0

GEE

12

49

24.5

-12.5

5

8

51

15.7

ESS

15

43

34.9

-19.2

6

16

56

28.6

FREO

14

49

28.6

0.0

7

12

46

26.1

RICH

9

43

20.9

5.2

8

16

59

27.1

WCE

11

43

25.6

1.5

9

7

48

14.6

HAW

13

50

26.0

-11.4

10

14

58

24.1

BRIS

13

53

24.5

-0.4

11

19

64

29.7

SYD

12

44

27.3

2.4

12

7

57

12.3

STK

14

40

35.0

-22.7

13

10

54

18.5

COLL

11

45

24.4

-5.9

14

9

54

16.7

PORT

14

48

29.2

-12.5

Average

10.9

53.5

20.1

Average

13.3

48.4

27.5

Average in W

15.4

56.6

27.1

Average in W

11.8

46.4

25.4

Average in L

8.3

51.8

16.2

Average in L

14.1

49.4

28.7

Goals

I50s

Goal eff %

 

Goals

I50s

Goal eff %

 

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