binman

But also the if we beat (insert team) narrative has a logical flaw because each game is not independent of others - that's to say individual matches may influence subsequent matches. For example, let's take the close loss to GWS. Maybe we took some lessons from that loss that helped us knock off the saints in the next match. Or maybe if we had beaten gws we might have gone into the saints game over confident and lost as a result. Losses provide lessons that close wins might not. So perhaps the learnings from the close giants lose fed into some changes to our late game systems that helped us hold off the crows. Who knows what impact close losses might have had on subsequent results? Or for that matter what impact a hypothetical reversal of such losses might have had.

D.H Gawn.

Even if they win their last 4 games, we would have to lose two of our last 5 games for them to get ahead of us. Given we play the roos and hawks, in all likelihood that would mean losing two of our games against the tigers, blues and swans. Can't see that happening. But in any case the blues will do well to win their last four games. They play the saints at marvel, dees, the suns away, and the giants at marvel.

Are you being serious?

Lions will maul freo. I watched that game. They'll def miss Ashcroft, but my take is they simply didn't turn up. The suns did and, brought the heat, and the lions couldn't get going. That they didn't come fully wound up is a bigger worry than not having Ashcroft. It's too late in the season for a genuine contender to be flat coming into any game. A bad sign Same will be true I'd we don't bring it tommorow. But i could not be more confident we will. We will smash the tigers.

The bogan express.

I didn't watch the cats dockers game, so not sure how poorly cats played. But i can't see the cats losing twice in a row at home, particularly because port will struggle to come up after two weeks of intense footy and have to travel. On rhe travel, interstate teams must hate playing at kp because they have to fly into tulla and then get in a bus for what, 75 mins, down to Geelong?

My take is it extremely difficult to back up after a game as intense and physical as last weeks pies port game - particularly if it is another high stakes, high pressure game. I mean, the evidence simply could not be clearer. It's not that the pies and port, first and second on the ladder, both lost. It's how they lost - both teams were gassed from the get go. I wouldn't be writing port off on the back of that game. That said i think it is a joke so many 'experts' had a top three - pies, port and lions - and the rest. And I'm glad I've banged in about it. Peanuts everywhere in the media. And on port - I didn't rate them in the top 3 prior to that game. So nothing has changed. My one regret on the punting front is not backing the crows over 39. Had the line and win bets covered, but should have had a nibble on the over 39 because that game was my best bet of the year. The crows were set for it. And as I expected port were gassed.

Yep. So have I. Thanks giants and crows.

Demonstone was. Succeeding too.

How about an agonising draw?

No chance port will finish top. Tough game tonight, cats at kp next week. Easy last three games, but they are effectively 3 games behind the pies - 8 points plus 20 odd percentage. Even if they don't lose another game, pies would have to drop 3 of their last 4 games.

100% agree. The suns can get hardwick as a coach, but it will make little difference if they don't sort their fitness, development, welfare and other critical systems and programs.

Small forward? Clueless.

Their last three games are almost as tough as our last three games last season - the cats at the g on the Friday night, the lions (also a Friday night) at marvel and the bombers at the g. On paper, the bombers is the easiest of those games, but it will be a massive crowd and the bombers might be playing for a spot in the eight. We saw last year, with our games against the pies, blues and lions, how high pressure, high stakes, finals like games leading into finals can flatten a team.

Pressure and contested ball. That's finals footy.

Totally agree. And they are the hunted every single week.

Didn't they have allegedly have some flu ahead of their loss against us? They seem to have a bad habit of getting crook in the lead up to games where the oppo go super hard at them and apply huge pressure. Unlucky for them that's what finals footy is. Must have also struck them down in the lead up to their two high pressure finals they lost last year.

Personally, I'd like to hear more of it. The pies def looked gassed - understandable given the intensity od last week, travel and six day break. I reckon port will struggle to come up to, though luckily for them the crows are coming of a tough game and a six day break.

Yep. The pies are too gassed.

Pies panicked to gift that goal to curnow. Pressure.

Howe up forward?

But, but they always come back.

Thought about it. But I ###$%:#- hate the pies! (Jokes - liked the blues, mainly because the pies played such a crazy fierce game last week. But lost my nerve and didn't back them)

You're probably right - two massive bogans.