binman

Rouge one is the second best Star Wars film in my humble. Fantastic, and much underrated film

Terrific post SD. Alot to unpack. Very little to disagree with but - you've nailed it I reckon. I really like your analysis of our 2022 season. Personally, I had have the probability of us winning of 30%, 25% pies and lions, 15% port and 5% a team outside the top 4 I'm still on the fence a bit with port, think pies are overrated and think the lions have the advantage of a very experienced list who have played mutiple finals together- which has historically been a good recipe. That said tbey are too slow. For port and the lions much will depend on whether they can get a home final week one, particularly the lions who would go into a week one final at the gabba after finisihing top or 2nd favourite no matter who they play. I really hope the pies play them up there week one.

Did they ask about our connection and forward issues?

I thinks that's the key THBTS - only having four days away from the club, and all that entails, means mentally refreshing must be so much harder, particularly as you say for the interstate boys (we have lots of WA boys - a four day break is not much time to get there and back seeing its a 7 hour round trip juts in the air). After having already had six months of going hard at this point, a huge part of the challenge to get the players physically prepared and motivated to keep pushing super hard must be the psychological aspect. And having a decent break to mentally refresh must help most players (a caveat on that - i wonder if the poor record of many clubs post bye is at all related to some players losing their mental edge a bit with say 7 days completely away from their club) By contrast, the Pies players had the same compulsory four days off we had but also had the weekend off. So not back to the club till this morning. Meaning for interstaters (or players who wanted to get decent break at say Noosa etc), if they flew out of Melbourne Monday night after the game and back on Sunday, they get a decent break.

An interesting bit of context for that is we had the same issue last year with the nine day bye and so they would have learnt a lot about how best to manage it

@kev martin A question Kev. I heard Chad Wingard talk about the practice of having match sim and/or structural drills with with the ones v second 18, with the the latter replicating the set up, structures and ball movement of team we are playing next. Have you seen us do that?

One of the spookiest, most unsettling songs i've ever heard. Something about it freaks me out. There is half decent Netflix series called Mindhunters about early CIA efforts to profile and catch serial killers. That song was used on the soundtrack for one of the killers in his perfect, weird home (Son of Sam?)

Banned from or banned for? I mean, we do love to punish teams.

How about BDSM? Asking for a friend.

How could we only beat the Suns by a few points if the blues can [censored] them? Jeez the dees are rubbish! How could only bet the blues by a couple of goals when they could beat the Suns so easily? Jeez the dees are rubbish! Yes, we beat the Tigers, but they beat the Saints and the Saints are the opposite to demons. Jeez the dees are rubbish! How could we lose to Freo, coz they got flogged by the Giants and we probably will too. Jeez the dees are rubbish! Have i got it right? Isn't that how it works?

Nice of them to schedule the first ashes test and the us golf open during our bye round.

Does DL have Russian bot accounts?

We lost deliberately. Tricked freo into thinking they were a top 4 chance. So they figured they better load hard to be cherry ripe preliminary final day. Did so, and barely raise a trot in this game. No run at all.

Good question. I suspect they think they are contenders. Remember Scott's comment last year explaining why they had embraced the dees mid season increased block around the bye period? He said they'd rather miss the 8 because they lost matches due to going hard than go into the finals without the conditioning to win the flag. Give up some battles to increase the chance of winning the war.

Trigger warning. Clearly, freo are uber fatigued. They have no run in their legs AT ALL, hence no overlap run, spread or ability to cover outlet kicks or slow the giants' transition at all. The goal the giants kicked in the last second of the third was the perfect example. No question in my mind they are in the middle, or had just completed a heavy block of aerobic conditioning. Probably expansion why giants were short priced favorites. I note this because we have been in the same boat the last three season, including this year. Fatigue has been a factor in our surprising mid season losses. But WE HAVE NEVER folded like freo are now. All our losses have been close. We have willed ourselves to keep in touch, have pushed through the pain and fatigue barrier. As dees, fans, should be proud of, and laud those efforts, Freo have done the opposite. Hugely concerning attitude and mindset. Alarm bells ringing if you are a freo fan.

No it doesn't, and that's one of the problems.

We lost deliberately. Tricked freo into thinking they were a top 4 chance. So they figured they better load hard to be cherry ripe preliminary final day. Did so, and barely raise a trot in this game. No run at all.

This is fun

It's a funny one isn't it. I suspect there is some Intel about the place. Maybe the saints are going super hard on the track atm?

No they don't get any more blocks of 2-3 days off. Once the season starts, their only real break from the club where they can do what they want eg veg on the couch, go to noosa, fly home to see family et etc is the four days they just had. That's it. They will get at least one day completely off a week, and occasionally two days. Bur not a proper rest or extended break until after their season has finished. But even on their days off they would likely still do fitness work and certainly won't go interstate or away for a trip. As -coach- said, these are elite level, professional athletes. They don't 'rest' in season. Take the nine day break from the cats game to the giants game in the Alice. We play Thursday night. They might get the Friday off, but then have to train hard on Saturday. Sunday off, and back to the club for more hard training Monday through Friday. Assuming we fly out Saturday (could be Friday I'd they are doing community stuff like previous years), they all get up ultra early, fly to Alice and have a captain's run on traeger Park Saturday arvo. Play Sunday. Fly out Sunday night. Back in their own beds, say 3am monday morning, maybe Monday off, then back on deck for more training Tuesday.

Except they won't be resting. They will be going super hard on the track and in the gym.

Well of course. But if you want to talk semantics, the context needs to be considered. And the context is the AFL industry consider a Monday game, followed by a game on Thursday week (or a Thursday game to a Sunday week game) a nine day break between games. The problem of not considering context is demonstrated in the posts above talking about 10 day breaks. Suddenly we are talking different numbers for the same thing, which creates confusion. Confusion that can be avoided by using the standard industry definition. Another example is that as per their contracts, players have to get a min 4 day break during their bye period. Goody said in his play match presser the players get a four day break, as did say Jack viney. They trained today. Five days from the match on Monday. Do we think Jack viney considers they had a five day break? They had Tues, Wednesday, Thursday and Friday away from the club. A four day break by tbe industry definition - which, to avoid unnecessary confusion, I'd argue we should use.

I take your point about Saturday to Saturday, but the coaches, Selwyn Griffith and players call it a 9 day break, so I'll go with that.

That answers those 2 questions kev - literally only a 4 day break and they can train on weekends. Mcrae said their players are not back on deck till next Monday, meaning their players get six days away from the club, and our only four. The pies don't play till Sunday week, meaning an 11 day break over tbeir bye period to our 9 days.

Not that unlikely I don't reckon. The pies could slip to 3rd or 4th. The lions could finish top or 2nd. And even if the pies play week one at the g, a scenario could unfold like last year, where they have to play interstate.