Jjrogan

Dont really care the ins and outs. Not like its made any real difference for the past 3 years why would it this week? Unless the FD department realise its time for real change. Send May to FF and Petty to full back. See how it looks. What have you lost if it doesnt pay off. Doing the same thing every week is just tiresome.

Name one forward that doesnt go in and out of games or even weeks. Its not a valid reason to not try something. We dont need someone to dominate. We need someone to just lead correctly and take a mark. In any case, we have 10 weeks to try something different. We cant keep doing the same thing and expecting different results. Im not big on jvr, but if he is to play, he cant be ruck. Give him a chance as a pure FF. Goodwin has to swallow some pride here and admit hes got things wrong.

You said it yourself we dont need a star kpf, we just need at the least an average kpf. not going to know unless we give turner a try for real. Still only 23. Why do you think he cant be a competition average forward? Too small?

Chandler could play more through the middle. He's gone up a level this year. We need to change our 6 6 6 set up forward of the ball. The amount of times Kosi or Trac or Oliver break free from a centre clearances and doesnt hit up (or even try) to hit up a leading target is on the coaches. What's the point of getting it out the front if you're going to bomb it anyway?? We're going to win 4 or 5 of these a games, have a plan. Have we had even one leading mark in 2 weeks with 100 forward 50 entries. Can barely think of one. Its appalling

Turner is on our list. . Switch him and Petty or JVR for 2 months. I dont care if he's dominating down back. So would any gun forward. The kid can play, has dash and takes the game on. Also he can take a hanger. Right now we need a 14 disposal 6 mark 3 goal game way more than we need 8 intercepts in the backline. Tmac is an AFL level backman and him sitting watching is a total waste of resource.

This would all be true if it was his natural positon. He played junior football as a defender and by his own admission is not a leading forward. The FD saw his contest work early and developed him as a forward under the guise of a different game plan. He is the wrong peg for this hole now. He simply is not quick enough reading the flight of the ball. Melksham gets to the drop of the ball time and time again. How often did jvr do this today? Its not why we lost ofc

Similar to pressure. 2 out 3 weeks its relevant but then you get games like north and essendon when we won that stat comfortably and lost the game comfortably. Its def still important but the stats say you'd sacrifice a tackle for a mark inside 50 all day long. Fwiw we are the best in the comp for this stat head to head . (Average difference)

Not going to disagree with the basic premise that pressure is important but if you want a deep dive... First 7 games of the years, yes pressure wins (losses) were correlated with results. However, against wc, hawks, brisbane and sydney (tie) the results were actually inversely correlated with pressure. No question if you have a significant drop off you leave yourself very open to be scored. But if its 50/50 which a lot games are its actually only mildly significant based on our results. (Lets call it a 66 percent hit rate) As a comparison, some old fashion metrics, inside 50s and marks inside 50s. For us inside 50s we have only lost the inside 50s twice all year (hawks and gc). Inside 50s mean nothing for us sadly. Marks inside 50, we have won 5 times resulting in 4 wins. Lost 7 times for 6 losses So 10 out 12 games 'hit' rate. No doubt one can argue pressure will help win the marks inside 50. Imo our real deficiency relative to the rest of the comp is catching the darn thing near goal and putting it thru the middle. Anyway those are the numbers.

If we wanted to think outside the box, Stevem May should have been thrown forward years ago. Yes, I know hes an all Australian full back. Mcintosh, Gehrig, Neitz, Pavlich. We have have substandard forward talent and no genuine contested marking kpf players for 6 years since JH (BB was def above average and it was enough). Hindsight is everything but i do wonder if May had been thrown forward at times in 22 and 23 (and succeeded) would we have developed our back line differently and had greater 'forward connection' After Max he was and is by far our best contested mark. Drafted as a forward. Can think of more than a few games that would have been handy. Would have it been net negative or positive. Dunno. Wish I did though.

Our current actual score v expected score of -7.1 per week is the worst in the league since 2020 (at least) Its not common to have anything more or less than a goal a game difference over the long run and honestly its more mean reverting than anything else. Sydney, gws and carlton were all over a goal above expected score last year and are currently in the 'where are they now' category. Some years you're the bug, some years you're the windshield. Having said that, Adelaide have consistently been top 6 iin recent years with some guns up forward. It would surprise a few people that our scores v our expected score actually has been positive for the past 3 years. The problem of course is the days and nights when it really counted.

If we can contain the Pies matchwinners, Daicos, Daicos, Elliot, Sidebottom, Pendlebury, Micohek, Hill, Crisp amd maybe one or two others we are every chance this week! This goes a few ways. We clog things up, slow it down and keep it 'manageable' or we roll the dice and meet them head on which would either see an unlikely season defining victory/humilating 12-15 goal loss. Pick your poison.

Its totally evident he has a big problem coughing the ball up in traffic. As Buckley would say, he cant solve the small circle. So the instruction must be if you get the ball, use your dash, use run, get into space, break a line. How many times did he find space today. I cant recall many. He is a limited player, but not every player has all the assets, its up to the FD to use the player correctly if you are going to pick him.

Good- 30 shots at goal ( aj and kosi not scoring from 25 metres is so amateurish btw). The game plan is generating scoring chances. Turner. Bad - Lever if he's not intercepting is a bit lost one on one, but we already knew this. Hardly cost us the game tho. More importantly, because we press up, our game plan falls apart a bit (goals out the back) when we either fail to bring the pressure or the opposition are pin point with their kicks. Both happened today, and allowing WM to get so many kicks is just unnecessarily rolling the dice. Sacrifice some structure to take away the one real weapon they have. Dumb coaching if not arrogant imo. Ugly. I know he's a DL favourite but 16 disposals and team high clangers from Oliver is not great but the dump kicks in q4 should see him dropped. Yes, dropped. If you want learnings and you want to set standards then senior players who are being paid 1mln a year need to have some repercussions for blindly not following team instructions game after game year after year. As soon as he feels rushed for time he blindly hacks. Its not good enough.

Nor surprised. Cox is the worst coach in the league. He has taken a gf team to bottom four more or less with no game plan other than ' try and go thru the corridor' . Swans had just 26 less possessions for 25 less inside 50s. Total lack of system.

Saints have won every game they lead at half time and lost every game they have been behind. Dont let them get a sniff is probably the learning. Marshall is so hit and miss. At his best he is just on the cusp of AA squad. If he's off he unsighted. Their back up is 190cm Mitch Owens. Gawn had the 3 votes last year. As mentioned, they have a mobile forward line without King. Wouldnt be a surprise to see May managed with an an eye to KB. Also I wouldnt be surprised to see AJ plonk a few marks this week and kick a couple if he's playing on 7 gamer O'Connell. He gets to good spots and I suspect his marking/kicking has some upside.