I voted 10+, not because I'm all doom and gloom, just because they are hard to win and not that many clubs win them within a shorter period of time.
Hawks, Tiges, Geelong (07-11) and Lions are the exception this century.
Collingwood - 12 years
Geelong - 11 years
WC - 12 years
Sydney - 7 years, but if they win it this year it will have been 12
Bulldogs - 8 years if they win it this year