Pies for me.
On the balance of probability, we will win 2/4, 3/4 maybe, 4/4 unlikely. Without looking at the ladder predictor, we'd have to win 3 or 4 to crack top 4 (?).
I think I'd prefer the Pies and others in top 4 to start taking games off those around us and most likely to push us down if (not when, but if) we fail.
But as you say, if we just keep winning, it all becomes academic. Good insurance though.