Dee Zephyr
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Posts posted by Dee Zephyr
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1 hour ago, Wadda We Sing said:
WST Barman scratched, elevated temperature. Marmelo is now favourite at 8.50 on the TAB.
There's always great debate about certain runners gaining starts in the great race and hard luck stories of horses missing out.
It wouldn't be difficult in this day and age to alter a few numbers in the system and allow emergencies to gain a start especially when there is a scratching two days out.
Will the VRC ever head down that path?
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9 minutes ago, Clintosaurus said:
I'm on the Marmelo bandwagon too. Hoping for a double figure price.
$9 is the best I have seen so far, was hoping it would blow out a bit more after drawing 16.
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3 minutes ago, Maldonboy38 said:
That thrill you got when Ox, Farmer, Jurrah or Howe went for the ball. I agree with so much of what others have included above, but I wanted to add a name from left field. Trav Johnstone with ball in hand, running down the wind ready to deliver a freakish bullet into the hands of the forwards. Breathtaking.
I can't think of many others that could deliver a 50m dart across his body and hit someone lace out. Trac is the only one currently that can do it.
Trapper possessed incredible vision.
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1 minute ago, Wadda We Sing said:
It was the pick of the day really in hindsight. The jockey said it could have gone around again. Well done on the Quinella and on now to the big race!
Barrier draw commencing shortly. Really liked the run of Marmelo in the Caulfield cup and looks better suited over 3200m.
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13 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:
Yes i thought so too. A start in next years Melbourne Cup a possibility. Last horse to win Derby and Melbourne Cup was Efficient in 2006-07.
I somehow managed to snag the quaddie which paid surprisingly well, considering it had pretty much 3 favs. The tip from the guy in the local pub here in Ballarat was....... follow Weir, drink beer....
Nice work. The quaddie dividend surprised me as well.
I cost myself by leaving out Ace High, almost as inexcusable as our Rd 23 performance. Huge win. You would have thought I jumped on this thread for a reason.
I liked Tom Melbourne today and ProperDee talked up Shillelagh so I took the quinella. Happy to end up in front on Derby day.
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If nothing works for any of you today maybe this article can bring the fellas some luck.
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10 hours ago, Macca said:
Never bought into race horses although I've had a few opportunities to do so (part owner only!)
I do have a first cousin who was a high profile bookmaker though ... retired now. We share the same way of thinking - percentage plays, analysis, probability factors etc.
Bookies can do well unless they're not totally switched on. As for us punters, we need a good dose of luck just to break even.
Sorry mate, I didn't mean to sound like I had full ownership in one of my previous posts, I was only involved in a small percentage of a broodmare and inherited the same percentage in all her foals.
Problem was the syndicate manager took her to stud every year for 6 years and the costs were too high in the end.
Your not wrong about needing luck just to break even.
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Main Stage in the Derby is part owned by Dusty and a few other Richmond boys.
I won't be backing it because I don't do Richmond well but everything they touch has turned to gold this year especially Mr Main Stage himself.
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30 minutes ago, Macca said:
I sometimes get a good tip from a mate D77 but I wouldn't ever trust my own tips!
However, I've sometimes done ok with a parlay place bet (pick 4) ... gotta really study the form though.
Cheers Macca, Derby day is my favourite and like you mentioned best betting day on the calendar.
I owned a few horses myself but sold out about two years ago. A friend in Sydney stayed in and needless to say those horses ended up multiple city winners.
He gets some tips from the Waterhouse camp but no success lately.
ProperDee mentioned horses that have finished top two in their most recent starts figure prominently and that's a pattern I have followed lately.
I can't wait for the tribe to go to bed tonight, a lot of reading to do.
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10 hours ago, Macca said:
9 Group races on Saturday (Derby day) ... the best betting day on the calendar.
I'll be doing the form on Friday night in a comprehensive way with a view to finding some first 4 combinations.
3 horses to win, 5 horses to come second & third with 7 horses to come fourth is my usual multiple combination.
It used to be 3, 5 & 5 for trifectas but the lure of the big dividends for a first 4 is too strong.
@Wadda We Sing @Diamond_Jim @ProperDee @Toorak... got any ideas, suggestions or tips?
1 hour ago, ProperDee said:Hi Macca. I have owned 5 racehorses over the years. 4 in Melbourne and 1up here in Brisbane. My punting days go back to the time when the ladies in the TAB’s around Melbourne hand wrote the tickets! I really don’t have a bet very often nowadays but do enjoy lashing out at this time of the year.
Gee, those First 4’s are hard but as you said, the potential dividends are huge. I have a good mate that boxes 2x4xFxF but only for a low percentage. He often jags a decent return because he leaves the favourite right out of selections 1and 2.
What I have noticed over the years watching Spring Carnivals is that horses that finished 1st or 2nd at their most recent start, regardless of where that may have been, figure prominently in most races. Moreso than at the average race meeting. Of course, often there are quite a few runners in a race with that form, sometimes not so many. I have had some good results by basing trifectas and particularly quinellas, around them.
Off to get my copy of the Sportsman now and will drop some selections for tomorrow in later. I already like Shillelagh in whichever race it goes round in. Huge run last start.
Cheers
PD
Hi, I'm a bit late to the party and just started discovering other threads.
I thoroughly enjoy horse racing especially this time of year and I'm looking forward to future discussions and thoughts from you.
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Just in case there was any danger of the OX getting back to his best after his first knee reconstruction, himself and the club were punished with a further two.
Shame, another super talent hindered by injury. In saying that he bled for the club, became a club champion and flew the flag in the 2000 grand final battering of his younger teammates.
Wouldn't we all love to see a junior Ox running around in the red and blue even if he produces half the goods his father did.
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2 hours ago, ding said:
Wouldnt an ideal fixture be 23 home games at the MCG with a mixture of Friday night, Saturday arvo and Saturday night games?
No Sundays, no away games.
That would be "Ideal"
I like the way you think. It means we at least see one final.
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4 hours ago, Diamond said:
How about this crap from the AFL website: under the heading of “The 24 must watch games of 2018”:
Round one, Richmond v Carlton
MCG, Thursday night“This looms as the biggest season opener Richmond and Carlton have faced off in since it became a traditional clash. The Tigers will unveil their flag to their faithful supporters, who will probably still be delirious. It will also be the first time the teams have played since Bachar Houli left Jed Lamb unconscious after collecting the Blue with his left forearm in round 14. “
WHAT???
The 2017 premiers vs a team that finished in the bottom 4??
How is this a must watch game?
Out of the "24 must watch games" Carlton is listed 4 times.
Geelong vs Carlton at the Cattery is another.
The article is one of opinion though but FMD!
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3 minutes ago, TGR said:
Hardly any Friday night games in 2018. Surely somehow connected to Jack Watts.
I think he might be the reason we got one.
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On 28/10/2017 at 7:03 PM, Ethan Tremblay said:
Stranger Things season 2 is now on Netflix, plan on watching it tonight. Recently finished “The Fall” which I really enjoyed.
Thanks for mentioning “The Fall”.
Into season 2 and thoroughly enjoying it.
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Two players putting in the hard yards during the off season, fantastic to see.
Hopefully it pays dividends for young Dion.
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36 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:
According to the HUN our game after Anzac Eve is against Essendon at Etihad.
A near-certainty that it's their home game again.
Trying to do the math from the article and it seems we have a Saturday game in round 4.
We get a decent break going into the Anzac Eve clash but it will be interesting to see our player management heading into the Dons game on such a short turnaround.
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8 minutes ago, TeamPlayedFine39 said:
Some exaggerating going on here... he did find time to towel-up Paddy Ryder in his All Australian year.
While he was nowhere near his best after the injury, he was nowhere near as bad as you’re suggesting.
Totally with you on this.
Max was good in his first game back against West Coast and was just about the only bloke trying to get us back into the game against GWS in Canberra.
Wouldn't label him pathetic, as the good Dr suggests.
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14 minutes ago, DubDee said:
Everyone going on about Ports 3 players they brought in.
They also lost:
- Trengove - solid backman
- Impy who I rate, speedy and is still young
- Ah chee who is young and some potenial
- Lobbe - decent ruck
- Austin and Young
They have gone for flashy players over more reliable types - is the net gain of talent much? id argue no
If Ryder goes down that will struggle big time
Over to you Mr Watts.
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Comments by PJ on Watts and Lever have basically been covered by many posters here.
It was interesting to hear we might be looking for new HQ around the CBD and sounds like we might have a home game round 1 against a Victorian club.
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1 hour ago, ChewyOnMyBoot said:
Anyone who thinks everything the FD of any AFL club puts out in the media is the truth, rather than just what they want you to hear, really does need a reality check.
I asked a fellow Dee at work the other day what he thought of the Watts trade.
He responded by calling all supporters mushrooms.
I asked "huh?"
He responds " You know, kept in the dark and fed crap!"
So true.
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2 hours ago, Demonised said:
Hmmm ... post needs more Morton.
Thought it was a productive post-Morton.
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1 hour ago, Dr.D said:
I love it how recruiters have full time jobs where they spend pouring over hours and hours of vision, looking at a draftees under 16 form, under 18 form, they interview them, they have psychologists providing feedback, they analyse their values/morals through a series of interviews, they analyse trends in their physical conditioning and find out as much as possible from external sources such as school teachers/sports coaches etc in order to make informed decisions and here we have demonlanders just jumping on youtube or reading a little player profile and thinking 'oh we must go for this guy or we must go for that guy'. Unless you've done recruiting work, I don't wanna hear about it.
Thank you for stating the obvious and feel free to invite the recruiters on here to post their plans.
Any info posted by fellow demonlanders on the TAC cup and the youngsters hoping for an AFL career is greatly appreciated for people like myself that aren't familiar with the system.
There is a simple solution for you though if you don't want to read about it.
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Just now, Demonland said:
I must not have heard that part.
About 20 minutes into the show a call came through telling Ox to do himself a favour and listen to it. It was brought up at the end of the call.
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Famous MFC jumper number
in Melbourne Demons
Posted
Lol, the club thought Brent Heaver was the one in 1990. He wore 54 that season.