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Percentage a sign of years of decline

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Posted

Firstly I would like to comment that I was not in favour of sacking Bailey as a scapegoat after the Geelong game. I felt that it was a one off anomaly and that the players did respect Bailey but needed to be treated differently. I felt that we were still a slight chance of finals and that a caretaker coach had no chance of doing this.
But I did fell that if we didn't make finals or losed to any of Rich, Port or GC that at the end of the year he may need to go.

Now onto the topic. Percentage.

While winning is what supporters want and go to the football for, percentage is a great sign of how your team fares against the rest of the competition. And yes fixtures play a part, for us we get favourable fixtures every year due to our ladder position. Also theoretically it should now be easier to achieve a higher percentage and more wins.


I've done some research into our percentage since 2008.
In 2008, Bailey came in and went for youth and clearly winning was a second thought. We had 3 wins and a percentage of 62.61%

In 2009, It was much of the same in our attitude to winning at all cost and instead the development of youth. We had 4 wins and a percentage of 74.66%.
In 2010, We saw a much more compoetitive side that started to learn how to win. We ended up with 8 wins, double from the year before, and a draw and one point loss to Collingwood, who were the eventual Premiers. The percentage for this year was 94.52%.

In 2011, We have the most interesting veiw on this. We again had 8 wins and a draw, but a lower percentage of 85.27%. But Personally I think if Bailey remains we end up beating Port and Richmond, probably very comfortably. And you never know needing one more game to play finals we may pinch one against Carl, the response game, or WC. Our percentage without the Viney games is up a little at 86.81%. And before 186 it was at 96.99. And while I don't want to pretend Geelong didn't happen but Before that it showed we really weren't too far of being a finals quality team.

Now for Neeld
In 2012, We are led to believe we will be the "Hardest team" and very competitive. What we recieve is a season with 4 wins, three of which are against Expansion teams which Bailey didn't have for easy wins in his rebuild. We finished with a percentage of 67.49%, which is much less then 2009 when we had the same amount of wins.
In 2013, We have become so uncompetitive that we no longer can beat one of the expansion clubs at home and for three quarters we looked to suffer the same fate to the other expansion team. We are 7 rounds in, we have 1 win and a percentage of 55.03%.

I am not labelling all the blame on Neeld and not saying Bailey was exactly what we needed at the time. Under Bailey though we made continued improvements each season and looked like a team that may be striving towards finals. Instead in our pursuit of "Competitiveness" we have become completly irrelevant and incompetent.
My post is not here to give solutions and frankly all it does just highlights the mistakes we have made and how utterly hopeless this scenario is.

 

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