I think as supporters of a bottom club it becomes easy to expect the worst, but in reality we should be an even money chance today.
It's your best players that nearly always determine the outcome of a match. The Hawks are missing Franklin, Sewell, Rioli, Bateman, Burgoyne, plus their first two rucks. They've also lost Croad from the teams that usually pumped us.
Hodge, Mitchell, Roughead, Lewis, Brown versus Davey, Green, Bruce, Jamar, Bate
The Hawks still have the edge in top end talent, but not by a lot and our lesser lights arguably shade theirs.
My head tells me that we're right in this game. My Melbourne nervousness tells me we're likely to lose.