Its not so cut and dry. In the previous month Geelong had beaten the Saints by 5 goals and Freo , Hawks and Sydney had won by smaller margins (and GWS beat them by 2 goals a month later.) If Melbourne could just stop the momentum, say, with 5 mins of nothing followed by a goal re-establishing a four-goal margin we realistically win that game by five goals and do as well or better than many good sides did in the same stretch of the year. I guess we'll never really know but if this season's biggest problem was psychological stuff then maybe without that we win lots of the close games, built up confidence, make the finals and go on next year to be a team that occasionally jump from bottom of the eight to next year's premier.