Rossmillan

8 minutes ago, Demonland said:

Most podcast players have a fast forward button. 

I like including the audience and rewarding them for helping us out with the feedback and giving them a shout out to feel included and see the podcast as an extension of this community that we have built together over a quarter of a century. 

For what it’s worth, I love that you guys include the audience, take questions from everyone and allow us all to feel connected to a community.  I think it’s one of the key reasons for the success of the pod and the site.

After we got 4-5 goals up, did we put the cue in the rack, slow the game down and manage the margin for the last quarter?  It just felt to me that coming off the 5 day break, we did what we needed to do, no more than that.   I feel there was more in the tank if we needed it, but we didn’t.  

How can players have long sleeves, I’m sweating it up

In case I don’t get to post again, good luck to Jack Viney in his 200th.

On a positive note, warm day, with no rain.

Those conditions should suit us

3 hours ago, leave it to deever said:

Take your family of four with no concessions, parking and snacks and booze and you'd be lucky to be under 400 bucks.

Sheesh 

There are 5 of us, $268, for one game of footy and we are in the cheapest seats you can buy to reserve a seat.  I really think that 15 and 16 year olds should be included in the family ticket.  

But when all is said and done, I will enjoy every minute of being there.  

1 hour ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

Just got a seat for $75 to sit in the nose bleeds behind the goals at the river end.

Free for MFC members or $35 for the same seat Vs Adelaide in Gather Round 5 days later.

Stupid question, but what does a GA ticket cost at the G this year.  My tickets are also behind the goals at the river end for my family and in my opinion ticket prices are way too expensive in Adelaide.

2 minutes ago, Redleg said:

Webber, is it just semantics on words “cracked and fractured” or medically, are they quite different when discussing rib injuries?

Whatever, I see May missing both Adelaide games and then the Lions and with the bye, he would have a 5 week recovery.

That is the non medical assessment of course.

Non Medical but seems the most sensible to me as well.  There is a short turn around to the Adelaide game and then why not rest him for Brisbane coupled with the bye just to make sure.

Agree with the sentiments here, far too valuable a player to rush back.  We have the bye coming let’s give it as much time as needed.  
 

Whilst no one replaces May and Lever in terms of quality, we do have plenty of capable options in these positions and it shows how valuable swingmen like Petty and Tmac could be for us to get through this period, with Tomlinson in good form as well.

Binman said in the pregame thread:
Goody said before the season last year they planned to use the sub in two ways - tactically or as part of their load management strategy.

What is panels thoughts on using the sub as a load management strategy?

Personally I don’t like it, for the exact reason in this game you lose key players early in the Match.

Note I’m not suggesting it was used in this way for this Match because I don’t know if it was or wasn’t.  Marty Hore ended up being the best replacement given the circumstances!

6 hours ago, WalkingCivilWar said:

Not really pertaining to this thread but thought folks might be interested to know in advance. The players are training on Monday at Gosch’s then flying to Adelaide either Tues or Weds. They’re staying in Adelaide until after the gather round match, ie. not coming back to Melbourne for the five days in between round three and gather round. 

Thanks.  Any idea if there will be some training sessions for us SA based folk to attend?

My wife did tell me there was some sort of Gawn and Petracca event where you could pay to get merch signed on the Tuesday night in between games, but thats not my thing.

A few posters are talking about the sub like it is spare player you can use in a way that suits your management of players.

I see it as a player who needs to be fully fit in case we lose a player early in a game.  Break glass in case of emergency.  Preferably someone who can fill multiple roles, or the next best available player that can be shuffled into rotations.
 

I’m happy if the FD have decided Petty is fully fit to play him.  But it won’t be an allowable excuse that he’s underdone, if something happens requiring an early sub in my eyes.  Only they can know the risk they are taking.

Perhaps they see Petty at 75% is better than the alternatives.  As long as they don’t risk his long term prospects for the season, I’m AOK with that.

4 minutes ago, monoccular said:

Why to Collingwood get an away game at their 'home' ground when Saints' home is Docklands??

Apparently (well according to Eddie) it’s because when The AFL wanted to renegotiate the MCG contract to allow prelim finals to be held interstate, the MCG requested as compensation that it get the top drawing crowds during the home and away season.  Eddie did a deal at that point to guarantee 15 games for Collingwood at the MCG.

Came up in my YouTube feed this week, some podcast with Eddie and Bartel if you want to watch it.  But I’d recommend listening to the Demonland podcast twice if you have time :.)

My wife: Are you just sitting there smiling because Collingwood is losing

Me: Yep

13 hours ago, Rossmillan said:

Can any of the panel explain why Tomlinson was dropped?

Who was manning Jamara ugly Hagar during the match, it’s hard to see the match ups on tv.

Thanks for all the work on the pod guys!!!

Bloody autocorrect.  It wasn’t intentional to write Ugly, although that’s how it felt watching him play really well against us :.)

Ugle-Hagan is what I meant.

Can any of the panel explain why Tomlinson was dropped?

Who was manning Jamara ugly Hagar during the match, it’s hard to see the match ups on tv.

Thanks for all the work on the pod guys!!!

7 minutes ago, sue said:

I got the impression Fox didn't focus in on the cheer squad with their Gus helmets.   If so, why?  Yes, I'm probably paranoid.....

They did very early in the coverage show it and mentioned it.

Kudos to the cheer squad donning the GUS helmets

I’m not sure who the resident ruck expert is on the podcast.  Grundy seemed to use a new and unusual tactic against Gawn in the centre ruck taps.  
 

The tactic was to take all the space away by almost running to initiate contact immediately.  I wonder if this was to negate the new stiff arm rule, so max couldn’t push out and hold him away?  Presumably other rucks will watch this, how can Max negate this tactic in the future?

6&11 are in that awkward range where you have a fair idea of which teams would select which players but no certainty.  Did they draft order play out as expected or were there some surprises?

It did look on the coverage, that the crows were genuinely shocked and happy to get curtain trading up to GWS pick.

Random question, clearly national draft picks can be traded, can you trade PSD picks?

Great Summary.

Would be interesting to include ages in brackets next to each name.

Given Tasmania entering the comp in a few years, with us being in the window right now, balancing the list to contend, but also have enough new talent for the future is an interesting conundrum.

Melbourne supporter, come premiership player.  In his prime at 27.

No player is perfect, I get players have limitations but at his best can offer something.

Its a no from me if a 2nd or 3rd rounder is the only offer, would rather keep, unless he wants to leave, in which case I would honour his wishes.

17 hours ago, WheeloRatings said:

I have produced a 99 page Brownlow Medal guide based on my model's predictions and 20,000 simulations of the model. You can download it from the following page:

https://www.wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow.html

My model has Petracca 4th favourite to poll most votes at 17.0% (17.8% to win, ignoring ineligible players) and second favourite to poll in the most games.

I have Daicos favourite to poll most votes at 33.6% (35.6% to win) but unlikely to poll after round 18.

Here are my top 4:

Daicos 33.6% to poll most votes (35.6% to win)
Bontempelli 26.0% (27.5%)
Butters 21.6% (22.8%)
Petracca 17.0% (17.8%)

I plan on posting updated probabilities during the count under the following account on X/Twitter:

 

 

Does your model predict a total number of votes for Melbourne?

who have you got coming second for Melbourne out of interest?

Actually I found your report, it’s bloody amazing!!!

Fatigue.