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NON MFC: Rd 17 2021


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I hate St Kilda, but that'll do us nicely.

Brisbane just shed 5.7% and are now 0.9% behind us.

We're now two games and 0.9% clear of them with six to play. For all their good football, their wins away from the Gabba have been against North, Adelaide and Collingwood (all bottom 4), as well as Carlton and Gold Coast. They still have to play Hawthorn, Richmond and Fremantle away from the Gabba. 

Our destiny is in our hands, but this impacts us hugely.

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1 minute ago, layzie said:

Just a little reality check that if you're 5% off with pressure and they bring theirs  no matter where they are on the ladder you get done. Forefront of mind for the Hawks next week..

As if we haven't already learned that lesson.

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Just now, layzie said:

Just a little reality check that if you're 5% off with pressure and they bring theirs  no matter where they are on the ladder you get done. Forefront of mind for the Hawks next week..

Yep, this season is a really good example of how important consistent intensity is. 

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4 minutes ago, Little Goffy said:

Pfft. Belconnen?  Pfft. Snort. Barbarians from the north. Pfft.

Mind you, that's probably 3 BOGs in a row for Mr Steele, to go with a couple of other BOGs in St Kilda wins earlier in the season and many very good games. It is also already established last season that the umpires like him (why wouldn't they?)

Could he be the smokiest smoky for the Brownlow? :blink:

Pipe down filthy Southsider (…I assume)

Wouldn’t shock to see him finish top 5. Not like there have been many Saints to take votes off him.

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2 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

PS: to all those who repeatedly say "good sides don't lose to bad sides", take note of tonight's result.

I would not quote the saints as being a bad side.

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6 minutes ago, Chook said:

As if we haven't already learned 

Hopefully third time was a charm, we didn't learn after the Adelaide abomination or the Collingwood [censored]-up

Edit: rhymes with rock

Edited by Kumamoto_Ken
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8 point swingaround ... we lose and Lions win and they'd be ahead of us

Instead of that we are now 2 games clear of them (and 4th place) ... we're now staring at an MCG qualifying final (if we're good enough)

Better to have the destiny in your own hands

 

*Mozz factor deactivated

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2 minutes ago, Kumamoto_Ken said:

Hopefully third time was a charm, we didn't learn after the Adelaide abomination or the Collingwood [censored]-up

Edit: rhymes with rock

I always thought it rhymed with "ruck".

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29 minutes ago, dl4e said:

I would not quote the saints as being a bad side.

Brisbane were red hot favorites for a reason. GWS are not a bad side either. But it doesn’t take much for middle of the road teams to beat good teams. The competition is very even. 

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Unless we have a complete melt down or cop a bad run injury-wise, we should finish somewhere between 1st to 3rd. Given that'll likely include the Bulldogs and Geelong also, it frankly doesn't really matter where finish from 1st to 3rd. I doubt the AFL will play a Bulldogs home final at Marvel unless it's against an interstate side, a bit like not playing a home final in Geelong unless against an interstate side. It's all about managing our list and peaking when it matters now.

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1 minute ago, Jaded said:

The competition is very even. 

True that, Jaded. Form is a funny thing ….fragile and temporary. The trick to ultimate success is to have everything going right at the pointy end of the pointy end. Fingers crossed. 

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32 minutes ago, dl4e said:

I would not quote the saints as being a bad side.

They came into this game 11th on the ladder at 7-8 with a percentage of 83.7%.

People lost their [censored] at us losing to GWS who went into last week 6-7-1 with a percentage of 96.2%.

Since their opening month their wins were over Richmond at its lowest ebb, Hawthorn, North, Collingwood and the Gold Coast. Adelaide had more wins over top 8 sides going into this round. Despite winning their last three games they still have the fourth-worst percentage in the competition.

23 minutes ago, Darkhorse72 said:

Saints still have a massive task to get into the 8 simply based upon percentage.  Those games have really cost them a solid run at the 8. 

Agreed. Their run home doesn't offer many easy wins either: Port, West Coast in Perth, Carlton, Sydney, Geelong in Geelong and Fremantle.

11-11 might be the cut-off this year, given how flat the 7-13 region on the ladder is. But with St Kilda's bottom four percentage they'll likely need to be 12-10 to ensure they pass sides like Essendon and Richmond, whose percentages are over 100%, and even Fremantle at 97% is 10% in front.

As good as their win tonight was, if they can't beat West Coast in Perth or Geelong in Geelong they probably have to run the table with the rest, which means 4-0 against Port, Carlton, Sydney and Fremantle. Possible, but not probable.

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