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2020 Brownlow Medal


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  • 1 month later...

Article on Club website: brownlow-medal-form-guide-a-round-by-round-preview

Predicted Melbourne Leaderboard:

  • 18 – C.Petracca
  • 7 – M.Gawn
  • 7 – S.May
  • 7 – C.Oliver
  • 5 – J.Viney
  • 4 – A.Brayshaw
  • 3 – E.Langdon
  • 2 – B.Fritsch

Will be interested to see how many votes Oliver gets.  It always seems odd that he polls so few, even in AA or winner of BnF years.  Plenty of players score highly in poor performing teams so do not think that is the reason.  And its hard to think the umps don't notice him.  Just wonder whether he is still suffering from the false claims of 'staging' in his early years. 

Edited by Lucifer's Hero
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2 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Article on Club website: brownlow-medal-form-guide-a-round-by-round-preview

Predicted Melbourne Leaderboard:

  • 18 – C.Petracca
  • 7 – M.Gawn
  • 7 – S.May
  • 7 – C.Oliver
  • 5 – J.Viney
  • 4 – A.Brayshaw
  • 3 – E.Langdon
  • 2 – B.Fritsch

I think it is based on the AFL predictor which has Petracca 3rd with 18 , Boak 2nd on 21 votes and Neale 1st on 25 votes.  

Will be interested to see how many votes Oliver gets.  It always seems odd that he polls so few, even in AA or winner of BnF years.  Plenty of players score highly in poor performing teams so do not think that is the reason.  And its hard to think the umps don't notice him.  Just wonder whether he is still suffering from the false claims of 'staging' in his early years. 

Shows what we all know that the only forward to get a look in  is Frisch with 2. 

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A few weeks ago, I had the most vivid dream that Jackson Macrae from the Bulldogs won the Brownlow this year.  In the dream, I wondered if they meant Toby McLean but somebody said that he was injured.  The very next game,  McLean got injured!!

So convinced was I by this dream that I went to the local TAB to put money on Macrae at very enticing odds, but the agency's machines were down and the bet couldn't be placed.

I intended to return at a later date, but caution kicked in and I've decided to keep my money in my pocket in the expectation that either Lachie Neale will win comfortably or Petracca will prevail.  That bloody Macrae better not win.

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macrae is totes winning now

like everyone it's hard to imagine the maggots going past neale as a regular 3-voter, and trac should canter away with our votes

i would love to see him or boak get it, but it'd be hard to begrudge neale - had an incredible year

Edited by whatwhatsaywhat
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Neale, Boak and Trac are the common top 3 across most media outlets.

There's always an outsider who goes close.

I think Gaff will poll ver well and think Gray, SPP and some of Ports young brigade will take votes away from Boak, to see Trac jump him. I think Lyons, Mcluggage, Rich and Zorko may take votes from Neale but not enough.

Top 6

1. Neale

2. Trac

3.Gaff

4. Boak

5. Danger

6. Mcrae

 

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1 hour ago, Ethan Tremblay said:

How many votes does Oliver have to poll for him to stay at Melbourne? 

He stays as long as Viney doesn't poll more than him ?

Edited by Better days ahead
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Had a look at the AFL Predictor brownlow-medal/predictor  and Petracca is on 18 votes.  However, it has not scored him votes in rnd 6 vs GCS, rnd 8 vs Lions and 17 vs Giants.  The coaches gave him 7, 7, and 6 in those rounds.  So he may get a few more than 18.

I don't think he will overtake Neale but votes in those 3 rounds could be enough to overtake Boak.

Note:  the 3,2,1 by round in the mfc article differ occasionally to the AFL Predictor.

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According to the AFL's Brownlow Predictor Trac will finish 3rd.

AFL.com.au's Brownlow Predictor

25 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
21 Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
18 Christian Petracca (Melbourne)
15 Dustin Martin (Richmond)
14 Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
14 Jack Steele (St Kilda)

Sportsbet Odds

$1.25 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
$7 Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
$8 Christian Petracca (Melbourne)
$13 Jack Steele (St Kilda)
$21 Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
$21 Jack Macrae (Western Bulldogs)

AFL.com.au's Brownlow Predictor – after round five

10 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
9 Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
7 Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
7 Dylan Shiel (Essendon)
7 Chad Wingard (Hawthorn)

AFL.com.au's Brownlow Predictor – after round 10

17 Lachie Neale (Brisbane)
11 Travis Boak (Port Adelaide)
10 Max Gawn (Melbourne)
9 Dustin Martin (Richmond)
9 Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)

AFL.com.au's Brownlow Predictor – highest polling first-year players

9 Matt Rowell (Gold Coast)
5 Noah Anderson (Gold Coast)
5 Caleb Serong (Fremantle)
4 Tom Green (Greater Western Sydney)
2 Jake Riccardi (Greater Western Sydney)

AFL.com.au's Brownlow Predictor – highest polling defenders/ruckman/forwards

Key defender: Luke Ryan (Fremantle) – 7 votes
Small defender: Caleb Daniel (Western Bulldogs) – 9 votes
Ruckman: Nic Naitanui (West Coast) – 13 votes
Key forward: Tom Hawkins (Geelong) – 12 votes
Small forward: Toby Greene (Greater Western Sydney) – 10 votes

AFL.com.au's Brownlow Predictor – highest polling former winners

15 Dustin Martin (Richmond)
14 Patrick Dangerfield (Geelong)
11 Nat Fyfe (Fremantle)
9 Tom Mitchell (Hawthorn)
7 Trent Cotchin (Richmond)

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