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THE RUN HOME 2020


Whispering_Jack
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Knowing the demons we will lose to the bombers. We are a real chance to lose. We can play well but also terribly so who knows what’ll happen. Bombers have been copping it so they’ll want to end on a high note and mess up our chances too

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2 hours ago, Elegt said:

Updated

hrftg (1).png

Nice diagram Elegt.

Sounds like too much to ask but we really need two out of three of those other results to go our way.  West Coast looks to have 5th spot locked away, and our chances of beating them over there are negligible.  We need to finish 7th and play one of the Dogs, Saints or Pies. Arguably there's little point limping into 8th spot, really.

Go Suns tomorrow night.

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54 minutes ago, Hogan2014 said:

Imagine if this club just won the games it should have won...  can see 2017 repeat 

The frustrating thing is even if we just won a couple or even just one of the games we should have things would be so different! The smaller details matter and it's something this club never seems to grasp.

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Doubtless over on the Saints' board similar scenarios are being listed and similar moaning can be heard of "if only x had snagged that goal" or "how did we lose to..." We are our own worse ..."   It's just particularly painful in our case because those should-have-wins are so recent.

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I'm not feeling the desperation, anxiety and excitement that I had in the week leading into round 23 2017 due to lockdown and being disconnected from AFL this year.

With that being said, this year will be easier to stomach if we miss out (assuming we beat Essendon) because we would've held our end of the bargain in round 23 compared to 2017 when we threw our spot away by losing to Collingwood.

I think the Dogs will be too professional for Freo and St Kilda will either beat GWS or have a small loss, leaving us at 9th place.

 

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30 minutes ago, Bring-Back-Powell said:

I'm not feeling the desperation, anxiety and excitement that I had in the week leading into round 23 2017 due to lockdown and being disconnected from AFL this year.

With that being said, this year will be easier to stomach if we miss out (assuming we beat Essendon) because we would've held our end of the bargain in round 23 compared to 2017 when we threw our spot away by losing to Collingwood.

I think the Dogs will be too professional for Freo and St Kilda will either beat GWS or have a small loss, leaving us at 9th place.

 

i did the ladder predictor, saints winning by 4 points and us winning by 40 pts.  see below.  yeah, I know, I threw up in my mouth also.  in this likely scenario, if we had beaten the swans, the Pies would miss out

                        W  L  D
 1. Port Adelaide      14  3  0  136.0%
 2. Brisbane Lions     14  3  0  126.4%
 3. Richmond           12  4  1  128.2%
 4. Geelong            12  5  0  139.5%
 5. West Coast         12  5  0  118.6%
 6. St Kilda           10  7  0  110.8%
 7. Western Bulldogs   10  7  0  104.1%
 8. Collingwood         9  7  1  108.1%
 9. Melbourne           9  8  0  109.7%
10. GWS                 8  9  0  100.2%
11. Fremantle           7 10  0   96.5%
12. Carlton             7 10  0   93.0%
13. Gold Coast          6 10  1   97.5%
14. Essendon            6 10  1   78.2%
15. Sydney              5 12  0   80.8%
16. Hawthorn            4 13  0   78.8%
17. North Melbourne     3 14  0   70.7%
18. Adelaide            3 14  0   65.6%

Edited by DubDee
typo
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3 minutes ago, DubDee said:

i did the ladder predictor, saints winning by 4 points and us winning by 40 pts.  see below.  yeah, I know, I threw up in my mouth also.  in this likely scenario, if we had beaten the swans, the Pies would miss out

                        W  L  D
 1. Port Adelaide      14  3  0  136.0%
 2. Brisbane Lions     14  3  0  126.4%
 3. Richmond           12  4  1  128.2%
 4. Geelong            12  5  0  139.5%
 5. West Coast         12  5  0  118.6%
 6. St Kilda           10  7  0  110.8%
 7. Western Bulldogs   10  7  0  104.1%
 8. Collingwood         9  7  1  108.1%
 9. Melbourne           9  8  0  109.7%
10. GWS                 8  9  0  100.2%
11. Fremantle           7 10  0   96.5%
12. Carlton             7 10  0   93.0%
13. Gold Coast          6 10  1   97.5%
14. Essendon            6 10  1   78.2%
15. Sydney              5 12  0   80.8%
16. Hawthorn            4 13  0   78.8%
17. North Melbourne     3 14  0   70.7%
18. Adelaide            3 14  0   65.6%

on the other hand, if GWS win by 4 points, we need 46 points to beat the saints %

easy as that really!  ?

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36 minutes ago, mauriesy said:

Unfortunately, the reward for finishing 8th will likely be a hard road trip to Perth to play West Coast. ?

Kind of hope this is our first final if we make it. Maybe we can bury the demons of the prelim once and for all. 

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2 minutes ago, GCDee said:

Kind of hope this is our first final if we make it. Maybe we can bury the demons of the prelim once and for all. 

Yeah maybe we will only lose by 40 points this time and then get a chance to review the tapes! 

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38 minutes ago, mauriesy said:

Unfortunately, the reward for finishing 8th will likely be a hard road trip to Perth to play West Coast. ?

Think positively!  Getting finals experience is always worthwhile. Playing in WA would be more like a normal final since crowd restrictions are likely to be looser and there'd be a bigger crowd .  

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6 hours ago, Deeminion said:

It’s so depressing that our season has come down to this. 

 We are our own nemesis. 

 No one to blame for this predicament than ourselves. 

i truly hope that if we lose to the Bombers then none of the favorable outcomes occur as that would [censored] blow. 

We could blame the players, the coach and the administration. Plus we could blame the AFL, CoVid and the weather in Cairns. Blaming yourself hardly seems appropriate fellow demonlander.

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1 hour ago, bandicoot said:

I think the only likely result will be for GWS to win and Dees to beat Essendon.

Cant see Collingwood losing to Suns or Dogs losing to Freo.

Saints would be really stiff to miss out. Have played better than Dees all year. 

If we make it at their expense, we'll have ended the year with the same number of wins and a higher percentage.

Our losses may stick out like a sore thumb to us, but evidently if they miss out we'll have had the better year overall.

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