Jump to content

Sign in to follow this  
Whispering_Jack

2019 AFL National Draft prospects: The next batch

Recommended Posts

9 minutes ago, Moonshadow said:

2019 picks 1-25 please.

🐓🐓🐓

Pay me $250k/year and I’ll go you one better. I’ll ditch my current goings on, hit the road with the recruiters and have a stab at the 2020, 2021 and 2022 crops. 

👉 💰💰💰 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Would be stoked if we land Anderson. Kid looks like such a damaging prospect. Could be a gun forward, mid or half back IMO. I want him as a damaging goal kicking mid. Pick 2 yes please!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The “downside” of our return to winning form is that some of these top shelf draft picks will start slipping from our grasp. Good news for Adelaide which looks to have secured #1 or 2 and the locals have some good prospects -

Defending U18 champions open account in thriller over WA

And those juicy prospects in the Vic Metro team continue to stand out.

U18: Potential No.1 pick stars as Metro post first win

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is a very good top 20 this year and then the talent pool spreads out. 2nd round picks will probably be selected on a needs basis.  

Mitch Martin is one player who the Dees should be watching out for in the pick 22-28 range. 

Hopefully no more priority picks given out by the AFL.  Giants will again get a steal in Thomas Green. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
On 6/21/2019 at 11:44 PM, Moonshadow said:

Would like to see the 'sack Taylor' posters put predictions up here for us to judge in hindsight next year...

The issue is not with the individual players he is selecting, it is the type of players he is selecting. 

You don't win premierships with 173cm slow forwards with no tricks, and certainly not by selecting them in the second round.

  • Like 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The fourth round of the Australian Championships was played yesterday. Some key articles ~

Under 18 Champs Preview - Round 4

U18 champs: Vic Country downs reigning champs to stay unbeaten

VIC COUNTRY 2.2 5.3 6.6 9.9 (63)

SOUTH AUSTRALIA  1.3  3.6 6.7 9.8 (62) 

GOALS

Vic Country: Weightman 4, Cahill, Flanders, Hollands, Kemp, J. Smith

South Australia: Durdin 2, Mead 2, Gould, Morris, O’Brien, Sladojevic, Stephens 

BEST

Vic Country: Flanders, Serong, DeKoning, Weightman, Ash, Kemp

South Australia: Gould, Day, Hilder , Mead, Finlay, McEntee

U18 champs: Allies edge Vic Metro as Green puts on 'Cripps-like' show

VIC METRO 2.0 5.1 6.4 10.8 (68)

ALLIES 4.0 5.2 10.3 11.4 (70) 

GOALS

Vic Metro: Mahony 3, Bergman, Jeka, Jones, Rossiter, Rowell, Sturgess, Williams

Allies: Gore 3, Ellem 2, Gulden 2, Rosas 2, Green, Oea

BEST

Vic Metro: McGuinness, Rowell, Mahony, McAsey, Anderson, Bergman

Allies: Green, Gulden, Gore, Parks, Cumberland, Peatling

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

We’d have been better off just using Knightmare’s Phantom Draft than the spud’s we’ve been paying for.  

Similar to the share market where so many of the highly paid Fund Managers can’t even beat the Index or an ETF. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, goodwindees said:

We’d have been better off just using Knightmare’s Phantom Draft than the spud’s we’ve been paying for.  

Similar to the share market where so many of the highly paid Fund Managers can’t even beat the Index or an ETF. 

100% correct. We don’t know the ins and outside of meetings and testing etc, but there have been clearly drafting errors in the past where an obvious talent is overlooked and then blossomed. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

49 minutes ago, Lord Travis said:

100% correct. We don’t know the ins and outside of meetings and testing etc, but there have been clearly drafting errors in the past where an obvious talent is overlooked and then blossomed. 

They are all talented. And we are all anonymous hindsight kings on here where the stakes are low.

Would you care to put forward your 1-25 for this year's crop?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, goodwindees said:

We’d have been better off just using Knightmare’s Phantom Draft than the spud’s we’ve been paying for.  

Similar to the share market where so many of the highly paid Fund Managers can’t even beat the Index or an ETF. 

Great call. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, goodwindees said:

We’d have been better off just using Knightmare’s Phantom Draft than the spud’s we’ve been paying for.  

Similar to the share market where so many of the highly paid Fund Managers can’t even beat the Index or an ETF. 

 

1 hour ago, Lord Travis said:

100% correct. We don’t know the ins and outside of meetings and testing etc, but there have been clearly drafting errors in the past where an obvious talent is overlooked and then blossomed. 

Absolute load of bollocks

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Lord Travis said:

100% correct. We don’t know the ins and outside of meetings and testing etc, but there have been clearly drafting errors in the past where an obvious talent is overlooked and then blossomed. 

The same could be argued for any other club, looking at any other team including Melbourne... it's a redundant argument...

For mine - these are players that are currently listed (and not) that we have nurtured and are/could be on the list (not necessarily the best 22) that Melbourne have developed....

OMAC 

TMAC 

GAWN

HOWE 

KENT

HARMES

HUNT

JETTA

ANB

J SMITH

HANANN

Edited by Engorged Onion

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, Engorged Onion said:

The same could be argued for any other club, looking at any other team including Melbourne... it's a redundant argument...

For mine - these are players that are currently listed (and not) that we have nurtured and are/could be on the list (not necessarily the best 22) that Melbourne have developed....

OMAC 

TMAC 

GAWN

HOWE 

KENT

HARMES

HUNT

JETTA

ANB

J SMITH

HANANN

Gawn, Howe, Jetta, TMac pre Jason Taylor.

Take them out then tell me that’s a quality list.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Posted (edited)
56 minutes ago, Matsuo Basho said:

Gawn, Howe, Jetta, TMac pre Jason Taylor.

Take them out then tell me that’s a quality list.

Ahhh, hey Matty,  I thought you'd pop up and move the goal post. 

That wasn't the initial argument. 

Anyhoo - It's around 1 a year for the last decade (non top 10 draft picks)...is that enough...mmm I'm not sure - however I am also not sure of the average across all clubs, to see what an industry standard is.

Edit:  (thanks for the kick up the ar$e @drysdale demon to do a little research) 

We're at 1.1 per year

Randomly, ill pick  Richmond and WCE, BRIS and HAWTHORN over the last decade and their drafting and who would still be on a list within the AFL system.

RICH

Grimes, Ellis, McIntosh, Castagna, Rioli, Broad, Bolton Graham, Higgins (9)/10years= .9

WCE

Darling, Lycett, McGovern, Hutchings, Sinclair, Sheed, Barass, McGovern, Cole, Veneable, Rioli, Waterman, Ryan Petruccelle, Allen (15)= 1.5

BRis

Harwood, Hanley, Lester, Yeo, Golby, Aish, McStay, Cutler, Andrews, Mathieson, Hipwood, Witherdan, McInerny, Bailey, (14) =1.4

HAW

Duryea, Suckling, Smith Puopolo, Hill, Breust, Sicily, Howe, Burton, Glass, Morrisson, (11) =1.1

 

So the average from these 4 clubs is 1.2 = Melb's is at 1.1

*happy to argue a handfull of players in or out of for any club...

So what do I take out of this, well, Melbourne as a club aren't far off premiership winner, contenders and wooden spooners in their capacity to develop players.

I think it still reinforces my argument that all clubs lament choices made, or players looked over, none more or less than any other.

Edited by Engorged Onion

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, Engorged Onion said:

Ahhh, hey Matty,  I thought you'd pop up and move the goal post. 

That wasn't the initial argument. 

Anyhoo - It's around 1 a year for the last decade...is that enough...mmm I'm not sure - however I am also not sure of the average across all clubs, to see what an industry standard is.

You are going to be in for a lesson on the draft by all clubs for that period, brace yourself

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, goodwindees said:

We’d have been better off just using Knightmare’s Phantom Draft than the spud’s we’ve been paying for.  

Similar to the share market where so many of the highly paid Fund Managers can’t even beat the Index or an ETF.

 

Great analogy.

Just like the share market, the draft is a lottery and anyone that pretends to know conclusively is full of carp.

Shame there’s no ETFs in AFL.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
11 minutes ago, Mach5 said:

 

Great analogy.

Just like the share market, the draft is a lottery and anyone that pretends to know conclusively is full of carp.

Shame there’s no ETFs in AFL.

If that’s true why have paid scouts and recruiters at all?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A question for those that actually watch U18 footy (not just regurgitate what they read on other sites) - Is Cooper Stephens a reasonable option for our first pick?  

I know he has slipped a little in thinking because he's out injured ATM, but it seems he has the attributes to still be a potential top 10 draftee.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
54 minutes ago, Matsuo Basho said:

If that’s true why have paid scouts and recruiters at all?

 

Because no one knows conclusively, but you’re aiming to select players who have a higher probability of making it.

Saying that one player has slightly outperformed another is disingenuous and misses the point. If Curnow & Weideman both develop into quality tall forwards but Curnow is marginally better, it doesn’t make an earlier selection of Weideman to be the wrong decision, because he probably had less chance than Curnow of turning out to be a Mitch Thorp.

I might be wrong, but I think the correct way to judge a recruitment or list management team is to gauge how many hits they had versus misses, not comparing them to others who have performed better but taken later, if they’ve still developed into a competent AFL player for at least a period, and also referencing that against other players left at that pick who actually did make it.

And even then, not “making it” can be a fallacy. For instance, Lincoln McCarthy may have been judged a miss at Geelong for Wells, but he was held back by injuries and the performance of others he was competing with for a spot in the 22. His performance at Brisbane has shown that he was worth the selection. Likewise a player like Menegola at the cats would get a tick from Geelong (although not getting a game as much this season for similar reasons), however the original team that drafted him (Hawthorn? Fremantle?) wouldn’t get the same tick, but do they maybe deserve it?

Edited by Mach5
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Mach5 said:

Because no one knows conclusively, but you’re aiming to select players who have a higher probability of making it.

Ahh. I thought there might be a ‘but’. 

Then we’re agreed it’s not a lottery. And just like the stock market trading, some people are simply better at it than others. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
53 minutes ago, Matsuo Basho said:

Ahh. I thought there might be a ‘but’. 

Then we’re agreed it’s not a lottery. And just like the stock market trading, some people are simply better at it than others. 

 

I’m not trying to misrepresent your point, don’t try to misrepresent mine.

You’re not half as smart as you think you are.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
46 minutes ago, Mach5 said:

 

I’m not trying to misrepresent your point, don’t try to misrepresent mine.

You’re not half as smart as you think you are.

No misrepresentation of your point at all. Just cutting through the fluff of what you wrote to get at the marrow of it. 

You back-pedalled, not me.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.

  • Social Media

  • Match Previews, Reports & Articles

    BACK IN STYLE by Whispering Jack

    From the moment when the Elton John character in the movie “Rocketman” burst into its opening scene dressed as a flamboyant demon on his way to an addiction rehabilitation session, the game was on. Here was yet another film about a person gifted with a meteoric rise to stardom finding coke, booze and a hedonistic lifestyle that led directly to a destructive crash into the abyss. Ultimately, these stories end in total disaster (“A Star is Born”, “Bohemian Rhapsody”, “Judy”) but this one resulted

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Special Features

    THE TRADING CHRONICLES 2019

    PART ONE - OVERTURE  I have a disclaimer at the outset. I’m not a fan of the races - be they horses or motors of any kind. Once the final siren sounds on the football season, I find the month or so that follows and corresponds roughly with the Spring Racing Carnival to be the most boring time of the year for sports fans. You turn on the radio and you’re confronted by the monotonous drone of a self-proclaimed racing expert or by the nasally twang of an ex-jockey banging on about the equine p

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Special Features 8

    CHANGES 2019 by The Oracle

    PART 1 - IT’S A LITTLE MORE COMPLICATED THIS TIME This year’s free agency, trade and draft period will see the usual drama and upheaval as the AFL’s 18 clubs seek to better their lists in order to challenge for finals and possibly premiership honours. Long before the final siren sounded on the season just over a week ago, the maneuvering was under way with player agents and clubs discussing possible player movements and in some cases, deals had already been done.  Yesterday, the r

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Special Features 1

    HOW FAR SOUTH? by George on the Outer

    It was appropriate that Melbourne was playing its last game of season 2019 in Hobart.  After all, how much further south could the team go? And much as it has done in many of the previous 22 games, the side managed to extract a loss from a winning position by simply giving the ball back to the opposition time and time again. In fact, they gave it back to the opposition to the tune of 53 points from turnovers while, by way of contrast North Melbourne contributed  only 17 points to their oppo

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Reports

    COOKED by The Oracle

    I can vividly remember when the Demons ventured onto Blundstone Arena for the first time in early 2016 only to lose to the Kangaroos by 20.11.131 to 21.10.136.    Melbourne was then a team on the up and up: young, enthusiastic and bold. It gave up a huge quarter time deficit after kicking against a strong wind but made that up by half time and fell dramatically short after an exciting high scoring affair.  The team lost no fans that day - they were willing to take the game on and attac

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Previews

    HELP by KC rom Casey

    The Casey Demons finished off their home and away season against Frankston at Skybus Stadium on Sunday with a narrow, unconvincing 6-point victory that left the door slightly open for a top eight berth when the VFL finals begin in a fortnight’s time. While sunny skies prevailed over Frankston in the morning, the skies became overcast by noon and heavy waves pounded the bay nearby as the rains came in to greet the players as the game started. And conditions stayed dark and dreary for the rem

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Casey Articles

    THANKS BUT NO THANKS by George on the Outer

    Thanks, but no thanks! In a round where the club was supposed to thank their fans for the support during the year, the Melbourne Football Club chose to do otherwise with a 53 point loss to a team that sat 15th on the ladder.  Don’t give us cheap jumpers that can’t be sold in the Demon shop.  Don’t give us vouchers to shop there, give us something on the field, which is why we come to the football in the first place. It was a disgraceful performance, which started with a disgracefu

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Reports

    SLEEP OUT AT THE MCG by The Oracle

    Around about 12 months ago Melbourne and Sydney fought out an epic battle between two top eight teams fighting for the best possible ladder position in the lead up to the finals. The Swans triumphed by 9 points at the MCG after the Demons came back from five goals down at three quarter time. But for its poor kicking for goal, Melbourne might well have won the game and finished in the top four. Who knows what might then have happened for the club in September? As a consequence, the person re

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Previews

    A LITTLE RAY OF SUNSHINE by KC from Casey

    Two clubs that have been hard hit by injury recently took part in a dour battle under dark clouds and, with intermittent showers falling, it wasn’t a pretty game at Victoria Park on Sunday. Despite all that, the Casey Demons added a little ray of sunshine to their day to get the job done over a "traditional" rival with a 15 point victory over Collingwood VFL that breathed life back into their season. There were a few highlights at the ground that in past days has seen many titanic batt

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Casey Articles

    THE RETRO ROUND by George on the Outer

    We have seen it all before… Yes, a wonderful idea to showcase what used to be in football.  Big crowds, umpires who knew how to apply the rules and not opinions, high marks, skilful players. But for the Melbourne supporters their retro is what it has been like for the past 10 years. Losing games, end on end, year after year.  Opportunities squandered in front of goal. VFL standard players running around at the MCG. Just more of the same, and the game against Collingwood was no ex

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Reports

    THE PEOPLE SPEAK by The Demonland Crew

    Thanks to Demonlanders for their input into this week’s preview. Ralphius Maximus is short and bittersweet: We'll crack in at the bounce to create a contest, win our share of the ball, butcher the forward movement and get scored on easily from the intercepts. Not that hard to predict. Big Demon says: Unfortunately Collingwood will win because they have a lot more to play for. We will be good in parts but really the season is well over so we will have to put up with those bell

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Previews

    WHAT, NO BLOOD? by George on the Outer

    The feeling when turning up to the MCG on a Saturday night to play a top four side in Richmond, while the Melbourne sits cemented in close proximity to the bottom of the table is like attending the Colosseum in Ancient Roman times. The expectation is that a bloodbath is about to occur. There are 100,000 Richmond members and 50,000 Melbourne members, and despite the fact that it turned out to be a wet night after half-time, a crowd of only 37K bothered to turn up. That should never have happ

    Demonland
    Demonland |
    Match Reports

×
×
  • Create New...