A Day at the Races

[Macca 16,173]

20 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

So two guys at work both chose both horses you and @JV7 chose.

O did a multi with those two t9 win and Superman EW and got $50.40 but can win $504 if all win

Be nice if it all came together Gorg

At least we're all on some classy performers.  And all 3 have been well supported in the market

Your choice (I Am Superman) should get a nice run in the race (according to the Racenet speedmap) 

Should latch onto the back of Buffalo River coming into the straight

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

1 minute ago, Macca said:

Be nice if it all came together Gorg

At least we're all on some classy performers.  And all 3 have been well supported in the market

Your choice (I Am Superman) should get a nice run in the race (according to the Racenet speedmap) 

Should latch onto the back of Buffalo River coming into the straight

All three are good chances, Superman is up against some good horses which is why I went EW instead of just a win, I think $9 is way too much for it tho.

Junipal and Buffallo are both good, and I understand them being fav two, but think the gap is closer.

Thing I like with it is it’s won both on soft and good tracks so being a late race if the track firms it shouldn’t matter as much as it does with some horses.

[Macca 16,173]

Well the ADATR crew are with 'I Am Superman in the Group 1 Toorak Hcp but here's a quick appraisal of the other 4 Group 1 races being run tomorrow

Star filly Montefilia might start the marginal favourite in the Spring Champion Stakes up at Randwick but 'Love Tap' & 'Cherry Tortoni' can provide some spirited opposition.  'Bucharest',  'Street Dancer' & 'Socrates' are 3 roughies who might get into the finish

Hard to not see 'Russian Camelot' winning the Caulfield Stakes but the horse is a bit of a rogue at the barriers so it's buyer beware.  Multi only @ $1.55 for the win.  Arcadia Queen just hasn't lived up to expectations this Spring but should get into the finish along with Humidor or Harbour Views

The Thousand Guineas looks a race in 2 between 'Hungry Heart' & 'Instant Celebrity' but this race can often throw up surprise winners ... Vangelic,  Thermosphere,  Odeum,  Personal,  Agreeable & Night Raid all have claims.  One for the exotics unless you prefer 1 of the top 2

And the Caulfield Guineas is a really good betting race.  Decent odds to be had if you can find the winner.  Exotics again possibly but King's Legacy,  Ole Kirk & Mo'unga all bring strong Sydney form.  Of the locals, Tagaloa heads the list with Crosshaven & Amish Boy providing some value

[JV7 2,339]

Got a strong tip for today... 

Race 7 #4 @ Morphetville

Ran the fastest 1600m at Sale in the last 15 years... The time it ran would have had it almost winning the Golden Rose last weekend. 

Edited October 9, 2020 by JV7

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

@JV7

just saw the same tip from

another guy

[Macca 16,173]

3 hours ago, JV7 said:

Got a strong tip for today... 

Race 7 #4 @ Morphetville

Ran the fastest 1600m at Sale in the last 15 years... The time it ran would have had it almost winning the Golden Rose last weekend. 

Got it going in a couple of small multi's

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

Dirty work saluted will a massive run. Thought it was maybe too late but just home!

[Macca 16,173]

39 minutes ago, Gorgoroth said:

Dirty work saluted will a massive run. Thought it was maybe too late but just home!

Great result ... its turn of foot in the last 250m is very very good.  Might get an Everest run as I believe there's at least 1 slot still open

But the Queen salutes in the Caulfield Stakes!

Arcadia Queen is back and right back into Cox Plate calculations.  I was on Russian Camelot in a couple of multi's but kudos to the winner

Way too good and the 2000m distance was ideal by the sounds of it (only audio here)

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

Got on Odeum which was great, had the exacta in the first race, got three multis on the go, gotta hope I am Superman gets a placing.

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

I am superman never in it. 

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

Missed nearly the whole race and couldn’t listen and saw a horse red and yellow come from the middle to the front and got excited until I noticed the 5, not the 8 on the horse. 
I used a bonus bet on it so that helps. 

[Macca 16,173]

1 hour ago, Gorgoroth said:

Got on Odeum which was great, had the exacta in the first race, got three multis on the go, gotta hope I am Superman gets a placing.

Got a few collects and I usually do well late in the day but not today.  Got a late winner at Doomben but down a little overall.  Still,  there's a few I like at Newmarket tonight ?

Well done on Odeum ... a much improved performer.  It was a day where the forgive-file horses prevailed ... Mr Quickie,  Chapada,  Arcadia Queen & Fiesta.  And I wasn't on any of them!  haha

Ole Kirk is a good horse ... very impressive. And Pikey rode 4 winners and a couple of placings. 

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

Had three multis I had 2 legs and missed the third. But over all ended up all evens and now trying my luck on the filth/cats game.

[JV7 2,339]

8 hours ago, Macca said:

Got it going in a couple of small multi's

Hope you got the other legs!

That thing in Morphetville absolutely romped it in, wrapt I got $2.50 when it jumped at $1.70!

[Macca 16,173]

20 minutes ago, JV7 said:

Hope you got the other legs!

That thing in Morphetville absolutely romped it in, wrapt I got $2.50 when it jumped at $1.70!

er ... no JV

Russian Camelot put me out of my multi's (there's always one)

Small outlays though so no biggie.  3 from 4 or 2 from 3.  If the Russian salutes I would have cleaned right up

That's racing

Wasn't down by much though and the weekend's racing isn't done with yet

No Moreira at Sha Tin tomorrow so Zac can get amongst it.  He's on a number of favourites that can win

Edited October 10, 2020 by Macca

[JV7 2,339]

15 minutes ago, Macca said:

er ... no JV

Russian Camelot put me out of my multi's (there's always one)

Small outlays though so no biggie.  3 from 4 or 2 from 3.  If the Russian salutes I would have cleaned right up

That's racing

Wasn't down by much though and the weekend's racing isn't done with yet

No Moreira at Sha Tin tomorrow so Zac can get amongst it.  He's on a number of favourites that can win

That’s the punt ay...

My mates brother works for an independent bookie as a data analyst & he tipped me off that winner at Morphetvville today...

Told me to multi it up with Ole Kirk but I got greedy & added Red chase in.. Spewing on that one 

[Macca 16,173]

9 minutes ago, JV7 said:

That’s the punt ay...

My mates brother works for an independent bookie as a data analyst & he tipped me off that winner at Morphetvville today...

Told me to multi it up with Ole Kirk but I got greedy & added Red chase in.. Spewing on that one 

I made the mistake of including the Russian as the banker.  You live & learn.

I reckon Red Chase & Dirty Work both for the place were better bankers. They looked morals to get into the finish and both were paying $2 the place early doors

Add in Ole Kirk,  Montefilia,  Swats That,  Windstorm or Criaderas and it's collect City!  A lot of shorties saluted today. 

What do they say ... "Find the winner and then back it for the place" (or multi them up for the place)

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

9 hours ago, JV7 said:

That’s the punt ay...

My mates brother works for an independent bookie as a data analyst & he tipped me off that winner at Morphetvville today...

Told me to multi it up with Ole Kirk but I got greedy & added Red chase in.. Spewing on that one 

I did the same ?

[Macca 16,173]

Group 1 replays from the weekend

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited October 13, 2020 by Macca

[Macca 16,173]

Best Bet Saturday

Caulfield Race 5 No.3 Starelle

4.40/1.65 

Damien Oliver should be able to find a nice run for the horse in the straight.  Especially with the gaps appearing over the mile and a quarter. 

The place dividend adds nicely to a multi but it can definitely win if at its best

[JV7 2,339]

Best Bet Saturday

Randwick Race 5 #1 - Handle The Truth

$9 W/$2.60 P

 

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

Randwick race 7, number 5 Behemoth $9/3 EW

1.5kg lighter than the last race. If it gets a clear run down the last stretch it can power home. 
I’m bullish on it EW and reckon it pushes for a win.

[Macca 16,173]

On 10/14/2020 at 5:20 PM, Macca said:

Best Bet Saturday

Caulfield Race 5 No.3 Starelle

4.40/1.65

 

2 hours ago, JV7 said:

Best Bet Saturday

Randwick Race 5 #1 - Handle The Truth

$9 W/$2.60 P

 

2 hours ago, Gorgoroth said:

Randwick race 7, number 5 Behemoth $9/3 EW

 

3 best bets in (so far) with all 3 choices capable of getting into the money.  Big big chances,  all of the choices

All 3 at the place paying 15-1 in a 3 leg multi whilst if all 3 salute you can get 400-1

That's got to be worth the price of a coffee for a wager

Edited October 15, 2020 by Macca

[Macca 16,173]

Going to have a couple of box trifectas in the Everest & Caulfield Cup

I really like Gorg's tip in the Everest (Behemoth) and there are a few other swoopers like Classique Legend & Libertini who could future.  And Gytrash has done nothing wrong.  Bivouac and Nature Strip are 2 others that can get into the finish.  But which Nature Strip will turn up?  It's a high class field and we might see another track record on a fast track

As for the Caulfield Cup,  there are any number of good chances.  I've got Verry Elleegant on top but Anthony Van Dyke looks the real danger.  Master of Wine?  Maybe.

Lightweight chances Dalasan & Toffee Tongue could swoop home whilst Finche & Buckhurst can't be ruled out.  There are a host of chances though.  Tough betting race but the exotic dividends should be very good

[Gorgoroth 12,308]

Yeah Nature Strip worries me, it will win or finish 6+
After last Run I’m worried about Master of Wine

bht yeah, lot of good horses running