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Demonland

2019 Betting Odds

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Premiership

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Make Top 8

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Make Top 4

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Coleman Medal

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Brownlow Medal

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The biggest surprise in these odds is that Angus Brayshaw is 25/1 for the Brownlow. I only say that because as an "unknown" last year he still managed to come third. I would expect he will now be noticed even more by the umpires in 2019 and benefit from that. Of course, he will also now be subjected to more scrutiny from the opposition, but no more than the names ahead of him on the list. 

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I hardly bet but I reckon putting $20 on Tmac's Coleman odds wouldn’t be silly. 

Edited by McQueen
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Josh Kelly 16-1 for the brownlow.  juicy odds

I see we are $3.50 to miss the 8. so we are twice as likely to miss the 8 than to win the flag!  that sums up the craziness of this league I think!

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I have a personal 'rule' never to bet on the Dees, so for me it's just incredibly exciting to see how well we are placed on all of the charts at this point in time.  At last we are widely (and justifiably) recognized and no longer anonymous!  I know a hell of a lot can happen between now and then, but if things go our way .........  who knows?  

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3 players in the bracket above for the Brownlow, good signs. If anyone is chasing longer odds, the skip is at $126. We’d love to see a full season from Viney, he polls easily. 

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1 hour ago, La Dee-vina Comedia said:

The biggest surprise in these odds is that Angus Brayshaw is 25/1 for the Brownlow. I only say that because as an "unknown" last year he still managed to come third. I would expect he will now be noticed even more by the umpires in 2019 and benefit from that. Of course, he will also now be subjected to more scrutiny from the opposition, but no more than the names ahead of him on the list. 

I assume that Brayshaw is listed in the top 10 or so is because of his surprise finish in this years Brownlow. Gus had a cracking 2018 and I look forward to him repeating it and perhaps going up a notch. Kid is a star.

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The long odds are always a massive distortion of the real chances:

GC: 251-1 for the flag - play next season 251 times and there's still no way GC win the flag, it's really something like 251,000-1.

Same goes for GCs top 8 and top 4 chances, likewise for Carlton for all 3.

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Even money to make top 4. This [censored] is getting real!

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2 hours ago, La Dee-vina Comedia said:

I would expect he will now be noticed even more by the umpires in 2019 and benefit from that.

He was already well noticed considering how well he polled despite missing a large chunk of games at the start of the year. Had he played to start the season and played to the standard he did for the rest of the reason, he'd have won by a mile.

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15 minutes ago, praha said:

He was already well noticed considering how well he polled despite missing a large chunk of games at the start of the year. Had he played to start the season and played to the standard he did for the rest of the reason, he'd have won by a mile.

Indeed. 

Speaking of betting i backed Oliver to get get more votes than Maxy, thinking it was good value. I chose the wrong player.

 I could not believe Brayshaw polled more votes than Oliver. Crazy. 

I reckon the umps must hate Oliver. Perhaps a touch too lippy?

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3 minutes ago, binman said:

Indeed. 

Speaking of betting i backed Oliver to get get more votes than Maxy, thinking it was good value. I chose the wrong player.

 I could not believe Brayshaw polled more votes than Oliver. Crazy. 

I reckon the umps must hate Oliver. Perhaps a touch too lippy?

He's either too lippy to umpires or opposition players or he is simply too quick for those blind maggots to see.

 

 

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1 minute ago, Demonland said:

He's either too lippy to umpires or opposition players or he is simply too quick for those blind maggots to see.

 

 

also got a lot to do with kick:handball ratio

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1 hour ago, praha said:

He was already well noticed considering how well he polled despite missing a large chunk of games at the start of the year. Had he played to start the season and played to the standard he did for the rest of the reason, he'd have won by a mile.

You are quite right. My post can only make sense if some umpires didn't notice him who now may be more likely to because their peers already have. 

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Many Melbourne players will feature in Brownlow votes this coming season 2019, while obviously a kick by foot is worth more than a ball by hand, no matter who is giving it..........

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