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Run home to Finals - 2018


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5 hours ago, sisso said:

We’ll get there one day...heartbreaking as the club can be I’ve never considered giving up on them. What else are you gonna do in winter eh?

Head to Les Pyrenees my friend and punch out some epic alpine cycling 

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22 hours ago, Sir Why You Little said:

You could stay inside the stadium back then or did they shunt you into the carpark?

my dad and his mates would often end up at one of the players houses after a GF and literally go from house to house for about 5 days!

No it was outside the "dressing rooms" in the tunnel. They threw on heaps of food and drinks.

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There is a lot that can happen in the next 7 weeks but a quick look at the ladder predictor makes me believe it will com down (like last year) to the last game against GWS. The draw they had gives them 2 points we tend to overlook when the wins column shows up.

I suspect it will be the same scenariuo as last year, must win last game at the G to sneak into the 8 and rely on other teams to win. I don't feel confident against the Cats at GMBH, I cannot remember the last time we beat the Swans and Eagles at home with all their forwards back. No easy and maybe 9th again

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I feel like we'll make it, but not easily. The only thing that'll change that is if we pull out an unlikely victory against the cats. I still honestly feel like we have the capacity to play some great footy and be a real threat, but we just don't seem to bring it when it matters. The tigers were in a similar position last year having serious questions asked about them, they turned it around because they seemed to come closer together as a group and decide near enough wasn't good enough.

I hope our players have a similar resolve somewhere inside them.

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10 minutes ago, Pates said:

I feel like we'll make it, but not easily. The only thing that'll change that is if we pull out an unlikely victory against the cats. I still honestly feel like we have the capacity to play some great footy and be a real threat, but we just don't seem to bring it when it matters. The tigers were in a similar position last year having serious questions asked about them, they turned it around because they seemed to come closer together as a group and decide near enough wasn't good enough.

I hope our players have a similar resolve somewhere inside them.

It was this exact round last year where the tigers got smashed by St Kilda, so still plenty to play out anything can happen 

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12 hours ago, Bombay Airconditioning said:

If we cant beat some of cats/swans/eagles/Giants then we are purely making up the numbers.

If we lose to all of Geelong, Sydney, West Coast and GWS then we will finish on 12 wins (assuming we beat the Dogs, Adelaide and GC).

We'd be more likely to miss the finals than make them but "make up the numbers" in that scenario.

I think to make finals we need to get to 13 wins, and to do that we have to win one of the four games you've identified.

 

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22 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

If we lose to all of Geelong, Sydney, West Coast and GWS then we will finish on 12 wins (assuming we beat the Dogs, Adelaide and GC).

We'd be more likely to miss the finals than make them but "make up the numbers" in that scenario.

I think to make finals we need to get to 13 wins, and to do that we have to win one of the four games you've identified.

 

Would you not agree...if we couldn't account for at least two of them we're just kidding ourselves and wasting the opportunity of finals ?

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13 hours ago, Bombay Airconditioning said:

If we cant beat some of cats/swans/eagles/Giants then we are purely making up the numbers.

Interesting listening to The Age Real Footy podcast yesterday.

All agreed the Swans look tired - we could be a real chance against them.

Bob Murphy (who I thought was great on the podcast) said he thought if Melbourne makes the finals, and wins week 1, they are a real chance to win the flag.

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6 minutes ago, timbo said:

Interesting listening to The Age Real Footy podcast yesterday.

All agreed the Swans look tired - we could be a real chance against them.

Bob Murphy (who I thought was great on the podcast) said he thought if Melbourne makes the finals, and wins week 1, they are a real chance to win the flag.

The biggest hurdle there might be having to play Geelong.. at the Cattery !! ( In week 1 )

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3 minutes ago, brendan said:

Zero chance it would be down there would be at the MCG 

Why ? 

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8 minutes ago, beelzebub said:

Why ? 

Surely the AFL Wouldn’t give Geelong a home final in Geelong  against another vic side, they are all about the $$$ would get 80k plus at the MCG, would be just our luck though for it to happen, I would bet the MCC Would go nuts about it too

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24 minutes ago, brendan said:

Surely the AFL Wouldn’t give Geelong a home final in Geelong  against another vic side, they are all about the $$$ would get 80k plus at the MCG, would be just our luck though for it to happen, I would bet the MCC Would go nuts about it too

Surely the AFL.... ?? I'll stop there 

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4 minutes ago, Demon Jack said:

Just heard that Marcus Bontempelli won't play this weekend. Apparently had his appendix removed.

Very overrated imho

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On 7/9/2018 at 7:34 AM, Lucifer's Hero said:

We aren't the only ones with a difficult run to make finals.  How the contenders shape up:

image.png.cf3614c0d0c61e058253dce94cc27fce.png

The Pies and Sydney have the toughest run.  Both have quite a few injuries and I'm counting 5 of their 7 games to be 8 point games.  So I reckon spots 2 to 5 could change quite a bit.

While Adelaide and Ess are effectively out of the running they can still mess up the Wins/Losses for the contenders.  Wouldn't mind it if the young Lions pinch a game here or there!

I reckon we will make it:

  • wins vs WB, Adel, GCS. 
  • Geelong is 50/50.  They are playing poorly and their narrow ground suits our game plan (altho they will have an extra two days rest). 
  • WCE and GWS are also 50/50 depending on how many of their injured players are back at the time we play them.
  • Sydney is a loss for mine.

Unless North completely lose the plot their very easy run will get them in.  Ditto Hawks. Who drops out of the 8 for North.  Demons or Cats?

We must beat Geelong to get a game up on them.

And other teams in or near the 8 need to beat Port to drop them down several rungs, if not out of the 8. Fanciful?

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28 minutes ago, timbo said:

FTM

(Follow the money)

What does the Cattery hold (besides a merdeload of mentally deranged Geelong supporters)

What does the G hold

Bums on seats = $

I rest my case your honour

Geelong would argue hard..and not without cause for a home final.. should we play them..and if they are above us. 

Would not surprise me in the slightest if Gil accommodated them 

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39 minutes ago, beelzebub said:

Geelong would argue hard..and not without cause for a home final.. should we play them..and if they are above us. 

Would not surprise me in the slightest if Gil accommodated them 

Won’t happen. If the Demons make September the ‘G will be packed out. 

12 years of pain and humiliation 

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16 hours ago, Older demon said:

There is a lot that can happen in the next 7 weeks but a quick look at the ladder predictor makes me believe it will come down (like last year) to the last game against GWS. The draw they had gives them 2 points we tend to overlook when the wins column shows up.

I suspect it will be the same scenariuo as last year, must win last game at the G to sneak into the 8 and rely on other teams to win. I don't feel confident against the Cats at GMBH, I cannot remember the last time we beat the Swans and Eagles at home with all their forwards back. No easy and maybe 9th again

Not sure I can cope with the stress of a repeat of 2017 rnd 23.  All hell will break lose among supporters if that scenario happens again.

Lets hope the club does not send members the 'Get your Finals Tickets' memos before the final siren of the last rnd 23 game.  'Raise Hell' will be nothing compared to the member's wrath that will be wrought on the club if they do that again.

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3 hours ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Not sure I can cope with the stress of a repeat of 2017 rnd 23.  All hell will break lose among supporters if that scenario happens again.

As much as a disaster it would be to be knocked out of finals due to losing another round 23 game, at least this time we'd be playing a semi decent side in GWS who would probably still be in finals contention. Unlike last year when we got beaten by an 8-13 rabble who had 9 of their best 22 out and had nothing to play for except for McGuire's vindication of keeping Buckley.

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11 hours ago, beelzebub said:

Would you not agree...if we couldn't account for at least two of them we're just kidding ourselves and wasting the opportunity of finals ?

If we finish in the top 8, then by definition we deserve to play finals, if that's what you're getting at. Any opportunity to play finals after 12 years of missing them is an opportunity worth having, whether or not we win that final. 

My view, though, is that we'll need to get to 13 wins to make the finals. In order to do that, we need to beat the Bulldogs and GC, and then win two out of the other five (Geelong in Geelong, Adelaide in Adelaide, Sydney, West Coast in Perth, GWS). So, if we've made it, we will have won at least two of those five games.

But if we make it with 12 wins, then fine, we will have deserved to play finals even if we lose four of the those harder five games.

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6 minutes ago, titan_uranus said:

If we finish in the top 8, then by definition we deserve to play finals, if that's what you're getting at. Any opportunity to play finals after 12 years of missing them is an opportunity worth having, whether or not we win that final. 

My view, though, is that we'll need to get to 13 wins to make the finals. In order to do that, we need to beat the Bulldogs and GC, and then win two out of the other five (Geelong in Geelong, Adelaide in Adelaide, Sydney, West Coast in Perth, GWS). So, if we've made it, we will have won at least two of those five games.

But if we make it with 12 wins, then fine, we will have deserved to play finals even if we lose four of the those harder five games.

I think 2/5 will rely percentage or another team/s losing an unexpected game for us to definitively make it on points. Not a good route. 

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