Looking ahead ... the Path to September

[Skuit 9,112]

6 hours ago, Bombay Airconditioning said:

My comment was based around finances. I live in Sydney, I have family in Melbourne and I already have 2 weeks in QLD in late September/October then heading abroad for 9 days. For going to Adelaide I would have to consider all costs on top of flights.

You can save money on food and accommodation by sleeping in a barrel of Nippys.

[What 18,810]

West Coast are the only team that can displaces us in the 8.... if we lose to the Pies, and they beat the Crows.

Just beat Collingwood.  Simple.

[Diamond_Jim 11,679]

well for a moment in that fourth quarter it could have been  a grand boulevarde and then it started looking like a cattle grid.

What joy.... your season depends on beating the Magpies.... something poetic in that but why  do we MFC supporters never have it easy

[Bombay Airconditioning 5,851]

I want Richmond to lose.

Would love an elimination final against them.

[PaulRB 5,897]

Another win, 5 to go. 

[Mr Steve 3,820]

2 hours ago, Petraccattack said:

West Coast are the only team that can displaces us in the 8.... if we lose to the Pies, and they beat the Crows.

Just beat Collingwood.  Simple.

Wrong. we can lose next week and still make it  or lose and finish as low as 11th. Best to just beat the filth. 

[GCDee 3,004]

5 minutes ago, Mr Steve said:

Wrong. we can lose next week and still make it  or lose and finish as low as 11th. Best to just beat the filth. 

There is no way dogs or saints will catch up 9 and 10 % respectively. Even if we lose by 70 and they win by 70 I still think we come up on top of %

 

West Coast is the only team that can knock us out

[mrtwister 650]

Wish we had the twilight Sunday game next week. 

Never thought I'd say that. 

[Straight Sets Simon 23,113]

Even if West Coast lose, the benefit of going into finals on the back of three wins would be huge.

[layzie 28,520]

Just win baby 

[titan_uranus 22,220]

Adelaide may well have nothing to play for come the twilight game next week.

If Geelong beats GWS they can't be displaced from 1st.

If GWS beats Geelong then they'll be 2nd. However, if Richmond beats St Kilda then they'll be destined to host Richmond in their first final, which I'd have thought they'd like. A win would put them back in 1st and facing Geelong.

Alternatively, if Richmond lose to St Kilda, then that opens the door for either Port or Sydney to finish 4th (with Geelong 3rd). If it's Sydney, you'd think they'd prefer Geelong. If it's Port though, I'm sure they'd prefer 1st.

This all means nothing if we beat Collingwood, but if we do lose then this could all become interesting.

[Nasher 33,047]

Sydney only have to claw back a little bit of % next week, assuming they, the Tiges and Port all win. It's very plausible that we could be playing Port in Adelaide in week 1.

It just so happens that Jetstar have just started direct flights from Hobart to Adelaide. It could be fate...

[Delusional demon 82 1,196]

Would have been nice to play Brisbane and freo on reverse fixtures , we'd have an extra win and % .... 

we've run into bottom 4 sides throughout the year at the worst possible times 

[Lucifers Hero 36,983]

Even if we win, a heap of other games will determine where we finish.  In order of time played:  Syd vs Carlton. Port vs Suns. Ess vs Freo. Rich vs StK. 

Assuming we win Demons/Ess will finish 7th/8th. But Ess will know the results of most other games so they will know the exact score they need to avoid meeting Sydney in the Elim final.  They will milk that advantage for all it is worth. 

All we can do is go out and win and play our best and que sera sera.  But we will need to wait till this time next Sunday to know who we play in the Elim (if we get there).  It will be a very long weekend.

[GCDee 3,004]

Looks pretty likely we play sydney round 1 of finals. BRING IT ON!! 

A vastly different team will line up against the swans from earlier in the year. 

[Ron Burgundy 8,584]

Sydney are the best team in the comp.

Playing them at home would be the worst possible fixture.

 

[Mr Steve 3,820]

56 minutes ago, GCDee said:

There is no way dogs or saints will catch up 9 and 10 % respectively. Even if we lose by 70 and they win by 70 I still think we come up on top of %

 

West Coast is the only team that can knock us out

Wrong. Its a lot closer then you think. they don't have to make up 8 9% if we drop 4 % they only need to win by 40 point. Granted it most likely won't happen . 

Edited August 20, 2017 by Mr Steve

[Pates 9,536]

47 minutes ago, mrtwister said:

Wish we had the twilight Sunday game next week. 

Never thought I'd say that. 

I admit I wasn't concerned about the 6 day break initially but that was before I realised they'd given Essendon an 8 day break because of it. Seriously it's not hard, Essendon plays Freo at ES on Saturday gets a 7 day break and we play Collingwood on Sunday and also get a 7 day break. 

Is there something at the AFL that prevents them from seeing the obvious?

[ding 5,126]

1 minute ago, Pates said:

I admit I wasn't concerned about the 6 day break initially but that was before I realised they'd given Essendon an 8 day break because of it. Seriously it's not hard, Essendon plays Freo at ES on Saturday gets a 7 day break and we play Collingwood on Sunday and also get a 7 day break. 

Is there something at the AFL that prevents them from seeing the obvious?

Money

[Lucifers Hero 36,983]

2 minutes ago, Pates said:

I admit I wasn't concerned about the 6 day break initially but that was before I realised they'd given Essendon an 8 day break because of it. Seriously it's not hard, Essendon plays Freo at ES on Saturday gets a 7 day break and we play Collingwood on Sunday and also get a 7 day break. 

Is there something at the AFL that prevents them from seeing the obvious?

Favouritism.

Ess in the finals is this years AFL feel good story like WB were last year. 

Watch Ess get all the favourable rest breaks like WB did last year.  The AFL will do over every team except GWS to help Ess go deep into the finals.

As I noted in the post above, Ess will be able to position themselves to avoid playing Syd in the prelim.  The AFL will do the rest.

[Wiseblood 24,636]

If we can make it, I'm not too concerned with who we play.  The experience of playing finals is what this group needs.  Of course I'd love to go deep into September, but playing finals will set us up for a great tilt from 2018 onwards.

The best outcome is Port at AAMI.  The worst is obviously the Swans up there.  If we can have our best side on the park then we can match it with anyone.  We just have to make sure we make it, first.

[Mr Steve 3,820]

Of course if the Saints beat the Tigers and we win. Well then it's most likely a Melb Vs Tigers first final and a good chance of Melb Vs Cat second week. Still a lot of ways it could go.

 

[Delusional demon 82 1,196]

Melbourne paying $1.02 to make the 8 with tab sportsbet 

meth coke $6 and essundrug $1.08

[Lucifers Hero 36,983]

3 minutes ago, Wiseblood said:

If we can make it, I'm not too concerned with who we play.  The experience of playing finals is what this group needs.  Of course I'd love to go deep into September, but playing finals will set us up for a great tilt from 2018 onwards.

The best outcome is Port at AAMI.  The worst is obviously the Swans up there.  If we can have our best side on the park then we can match it with anyone.  We just have to make sure we make it, first.

Best outcome is Rich at the G.

It is very possible.  StK thrashed Rich by 11 goals 5 weeks ago and they will desperate to give Nick a big farewell.  They can do it again.  If Port and Syd beat Suns and Carl as expected, whoever has the biggest win will be 4th and Rich will be 6th.  To improve our chances to play them at the G we need the biggest possible win vs Pies making it hard for Ess to end up 7th.  Places still wide open.

[Wiseblood 24,636]

4 minutes ago, Lucifer's Hero said:

Best outcome is Rich at the G.

It is very possible.  StK thrashed Rich by 11 goals 5 weeks ago and they will desperate to give Nick a big farewell.  They can do it again.  If Port and Syd beat Suns and Carl as expected, whoever has the biggest win will be 4th and Rich will be 6th.  To improve our chances to play them at the G we need the biggest possible win vs Pies making it hard for Ess to end up 7th.  Places still wide open.

Yep, totally agree that it is very possible.  The Saints will want to send off Roo on a high and they are every chance to knock them off.  I'd be happy with Richmond at the G.

There are 2 reasons why I'd like us to take on Port on their home deck - one is that we play AAMI very, very well, and the other is that Port have a soft underbelly and we match up on them very well.  I'd be happy with either Richmond or Port.