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A Day at the Races


Toorak

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The Zephyr at 7.50 for the place ... 'Handsome Thief' & 'El Sicario' scratched which means Milwaukee is now favourite.  The race has got a First4 feel about it with a few of the lightweights now in the betting. 

Can Dan deliver a payday for us? ... here is the field again

 

Australian Group & Listed Races

 

 

 

Edited by Macca
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9 hours ago, Macca said:

The Zephyr at 7.50 for the place ... 'Handsome Thief' & 'El Sicario' scratched which means Milwaukee is now favourite.  The race has got a First4 feel about it with a few of the lightweights now in the betting. 

Can Dan deliver a payday for us? ... here is the field again

 

Australian Group & Listed Races

 

 

 

The scratchings will aid his quest somewhat to break the streak Macca. A lot will need to go right for Dan to salute IMO. 

It’s interesting they kept the horse at 1200m, with the way he hit the line I thought a step-up to 1400m would be ideal. 

Looking forward to an enjoyable day in front of the box.

 

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Morning punters. Apologies for not putting up my best etc last couple of weeks. Have been flat out Sat mornings. Coincided with a scratchy couple of weeks for me on the punt so i can assure you did not miss much, though my value runner last week was Houtzen (which was just about my only winner).

Another tough day in sydney. But big fields mean good vale so fingers crossed. So here are my tips, all at Randwick

 

Best bet: Race 2  no 2 Isaurian 

Best value:  Race 8  no 10 Aloft

Best longshot: Race 6  n no 10 She’s a Treasure

Good luck on what is really the last day of Autumn for me save a couple of races i like in Morphetville in the next couple of weeks.

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16 hours ago, Macca said:

Here are the current 'Longines' World's Best Racehorse Rankings (up to April 8th)

Plenty of Australian bred horses on the list and a number of familiar names from Hong Kong ... those who are interested may need to enlarge the page to read with more clarity.  Levendi is the latest Australian horse to make the elite list. 

One would think that Winx will be the outright No.1 horse if she wins tomorrow. 

 

image.thumb.png.51cbea04e37ee5c77d07a19ea3292abe.png

 

Who the hell is Gun Runner!!?

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On 4/12/2018 at 8:04 PM, Macca said:

Viridine's a very good choice Wadda ... I'm as confident as ever with the 3 picks.  So much so that I just got on a 75-1!  That seems overs for 3 quality thoroughbreds all with excellent current form. 

Here are the 3 Best Bets ...

  • Randwick  Race 5  No.1  Viridine  $3.50
  • Randwick  Race 6  No.2  Hiyaam  $5.50
  • Randwick  Race 8  No.1  Almandin $4.20

Now we have Binmans Race 2 Lsaurian  $2.45. That gives us a total of approx 198/1.

Lsaurian Plc $1.20

Viridine  Plc $1.45

Hiyaam Plc $1.85

AlmandinPlc $1.70         Place multi is approx. 5.47/1

Edited by Wadda We Sing
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2 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Whhhaaaaaaaat???? 23 starts for 2 third places??? What the..? They obviously aint seen WinX run.

Edited by Wadda We Sing
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Just now, Wadda We Sing said:

Whhhaaaaaaaat???? 23 starts for 2 third places??? What the..?

Lol, that’s the Australian version.

Gun Runner is American.

If I searched correctly, record stands as

19 Starts- 12-3-2.

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24 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Just noting Jason Jordans best bet at Morphetville is Race 3 No 3 Music Bay 2.80.

I hadn't seen that but have backed it. I think i may have posted this before but Sportsbet have a seemingly standing offer of the first four races money back up to $50 if your horse finished 2-4. It always syd and melb but changes for the third venue. The week it is Morphetville so really getting each way with Music bay in a small field.

I've done the form for Randwick with the thought it will suit horses on the speed and and sitting 2-3 of the fence (so favouring horses from barriers 8-13). It is one reason i also really like Hiyaam. 

Edited by binman
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5 minutes ago, binman said:

I hadn't seen that but have backed it. I think i may have posted this before but Sportsbet have a seemingly standing offer of the first four races money back up to $50 if your horse finished 2-4. It always syd and melb but changes for the third venue. The week it is Morphetville so really getting each way with Music bay in a small field.

I've done the form for Randwick with the though it will sort horse on the speed and and sitting 2-3 of the fence (so favouring horses from barriers 8-13). It is one reason i also really like Hiyaam. 

Good work BM, duly noted.

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6 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Good work BM, duly noted.

In terms of trying to guess the pattern of races it is obviously a bit riky if you punt as i do which is putting all bets on at the start of the day. If i get the pattern wrong i struggle. Last week i read it the same and picking Houtzen was a result of that. But it actually ended up playing ok and horses from mid field had their chances and i couldn't sang any more. That said i had remarkable number of seconds last week (across 3 states). Five or six i think from memory.

In an ideal world i would put the first couple on and get a read of the pattern and then adjust selections as required. But my model of punting with a mate doesn't allow that as neither of us can focus on the races enough during the day (other than listening to them) Determining bets between races can be very time consuming, even if you have done the form thoroughly and have narrowed selections down to a handful of chances (which is how i do form)

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Caulfield looking a bit gloomy, think its snowing here almost..... Bit of a sprook for 15/Working From Home, the more rain the better apparently. Get out stakes @ Caulfield. 8.00 & 2.70.

Edited by Wadda We Sing
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Started off with a winner with 'Pure Elation' ... looks a real good horse too. 

Dan Zephyr has been scratched due to the state of the track at Caulfield. 

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33 minutes ago, Macca said:

Started off with a winner with 'Pure Elation' ... looks a real good horse too. 

Dan Zephyr has been scratched due to the state of the track at Caulfield. 

Thanks Macca, i had no idea until now.

My first collect, does that count?

Edited by Demon77
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14 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

Thanks Macca, i had no idea until now.

My first collect, does that count?

I'm still going to have a First4 in the race having had a decent look at the field running last night.  

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13 minutes ago, Macca said:

I'm still going to have a First4 in the race having had a decent look at the field running last night.  

What do think about Saint Valorems chances in the race Macca?

I followed the horse last preparation without too much success.

 

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3 minutes ago, Demon77 said:

What do think about Saint Valorems chances in the race Macca?

I followed the horse last preparation without too much success.

 

I've got it in for 2nd, 3rd or 4th. 

I've marked the 1,  12 & 15 on top. 

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Hiyaam looked home for a moment there ... ran a race record but the winner too good.  Both horses were impressive. 

So Bowman stitches us up twice ... that was nice of him!

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