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A Day at the Races


Toorak

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'Exhilarates' wins the MM 2YO Classic ... came from the rear of the field and swamped them.  Looks a real horse for the future - very impressive.  Only a little horse but the closing speed is there to see.  The James Cummings stamp obviously.  

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20 minutes ago, Macca said:

'Exhilarates' wins the MM 2YO Classic ... came from the rear of the field and swamped them.  Looks a real horse for the future - very impressive.  Only a little horse but the closing speed is there to see.  The James Cummings stamp obviously.  

Terrific victory, I was hoping she didn’t have that good a closing speed, I was on Dubious.

An almost day for me today Macca, unlucky with your picks the last two weeks, you’ve been nabbed late.

Edited by Dee Zephyr
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Another winner @Dee Zephyr  ... you're on fire!

I got on to Turnberry with the help of some bonus bets and Robbie Dolan did well to get the horse out.  Winner/Winner.

Strike Rate today 2: 1 - 1 - 0

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10 minutes ago, Macca said:

Another winner @Dee Zephyr  ... you're on fire!

I got on to Turnberry with the help of some bonus bets and Robbie Dolan did well to get the horse out.  Winner/Winner.

Strike Rate today 2: 1 - 1 - 0

Well done Macca. Love your work. Strong finish by the horse.

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12 minutes ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Terrific victory, I was hoping she didn’t have that good a closing speed, I was on Dubious.

An almost day for me today Macca, unlucky with your picks the last two weeks, you’ve been nabbed late.

I was with Exhilarates ... I had to be after talking the horse up all week!

Dubious just found one better DZ.   Gallant in defeat and another one to watch.  Unite and Conquer shouldn't be forgotten either - was 4 wide without cover and never really had a chance.

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19 minutes ago, Macca said:

I was with Exhilarates ... I had to be after talking the horse up all week!

Dubious just found one better DZ.   Gallant in defeat and another one to watch.  Unite and Conquer shouldn't be forgotten either - was 4 wide without cover and never really had a chance.

$11.80 the Quinella. I might go walk the dog now to avoid the PL. 

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Couple of Listed races at Gosford coming up on Thursday ... both good betting races too if you can sort out the form.  There are numerous chances in either race. 

As for the weekend,  there's a dearth of quality races although the Listed Kensington Stakes at Flemington sees 'Champagne Cuddles' making a return to racing in the 1000m dash.

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Best Bet Strike Rate

75: 28 - 12 - 10

Australian Group & Listed Races

No videos from the Magic Millions available but here's the Group 1 3YO Levin Classic from Saturday (NZ) ... the winner is worth following up on as it will be racing in Oz soon enough.

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It looks like El will be on the quick backup at Flemington this coming weekend. Up to 1400m and at this stage starting on the banks of the Maribyrnong (13). 

TAB showing $10 as 14:10 today.

Race 3 - 2:10PM VRC Member Michael Nicolson Handicap (1400 METRES)Times displayed in local time of Race Meeting
Of $75,000.1st $41,250, 2nd $13,500, 3rd $6,750, 4th $3,750, 5th $2,250, 6th $1,500, 7th $1,500, 8th $1,500, 9th $1,500, 10th $1,500
Prize money contribution totalling 2% will be directed to jockey and equine welfare prior to distribution 
BenchMark 70, Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices can claim.

Track Name: Main Track Type: Turf  Track Condition: Good 4 

Field Limit: 16 + 4 EM

 

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Penalty Hcp Rating
1 4216407x74 SABOTAGE (NZ) Symon Wilde Ms Chelsea MacFarlane(a3/51.5kg) 12 62kg   74
2 215348547x DANE THUNDER Matt Cumani Fred W Kersley (a2/50kg) 11 61.5kg   73
3 81070x7038 ASTRO CASTRO Alan Hunter Jason Benbow 3 60.5kg   71
4 2544x172x7 BATTLECAMP (NZ) Mark Kavanagh James Winks 16 60.5kg   71
5 7x11x218 ROX THE CASTLE (NZ) Kerry Edwards Jack Martin (a2/55kg) 7 60.5kg   71
6 x574125x81 SACRED THEME Darren Weir John Allen 9 59.5kg   69
7 221221x ENGLISH GAMBLER Darren Weir Mark Zahra 2 59kg   68
8 x4120x4149 FAST PLAN Mitchell Freedman Luke Currie 15 59kg   68
9 3321579x67 PAREMUUS BOY Matthew Williams Liam Riordan (a3/53kg) 5 59kg   68
10 16268x0411 RIVERDANCE LAD Robbie Griffiths Matthew Allen 8 59kg   68
11 x1195520x1 WEAPON Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Regan Bayliss 14 59kg   68
12 214x399x11 WAITING FOR A MATE Norm Loy Luke Nolen 4 58kg   66
13 4416006343 DOMESDAY WARRIOR Peter Sullivan Joe Bowditch 10 57.5kg   65
14 5543x10452 EL MAGNIFICENCE Pat Carey Rhys McLeod 13 57.5kg   65
15 634100x834 O’LONHRO BAY Lee & Shannon Hope Tahlia Hope (a3/51kg) 1 56.5kg   63
16 11525x7923 ABYSSINIAN Enver Jusufovic Ben Allen (a0/50kg) 6 56kg   66
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9 minutes ago, Wadda We Sing said:

https://www.facebook.com/SkyRacingAU/videos/785796565090885/

Here is a latest trial with Winx and Ace High over 900m

Those names in the trial lol, just a shade better than the run of the mill trials at Balnarring.

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Brad Davidson tipped me into Nahuel in the closing credits on Sky's 'Form Line' show last night ... got on at $11 and it won whilst starting at 5-2.  My rather small wager was part of a much bigger plunge!

Davo is a more than decent tipster of NSW racing too - always looking for the value runner.  

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Paddy Payne is taking Strategic Command to Morphetville R6, his only horse hes taking there. He often does this and wins. He is getting better and better and might be the next big trainer.

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22 hours ago, Dee Zephyr said:

Best Bet

Rosehill Race 9 Number 6

Harmattan $2.80 Win.

Is that 4 winners in a row or 5 DZ? 

Racing.com just called and you're needed as a replacement for Gator!

 

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15 minutes ago, Macca said:

Is that 4 winners in a row or 5 DZ? 

Racing.com just called and you're needed as a replacement for Gator!

 

Tell them I accept Macca as long as I can bring a couple of sidekicks from DL on the show.?

Not sure how many that is in a row, the formula seems to be working at the moment. 

It was a very strong win in the end, I thought it was done 100m or so from home.

Your pick ran on well, it just seemed the leaders had a decent break on the rest. Creedence is usually a pace horse i thought. 

El ran ok too for a first time attempt at 1400m in town. There wasn’t much separating 2nd-6th.

He did some work early, mate thinks they should have gone back from the wide barrier early. 

 

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Couple of very good Group 1 races at Sha Tin tomorrow. 

'Beauty Generation' should win the mile race but 'Conti' is a real up and coming lightly raced 5yo and it could run BG close.  Moreira on board Conti (11-2) but Zac Purton is on Beauty Generation (1-8) 

In the Sprint race Mr Stunning will take a power of beating but DB Pin,  Beat the Clock,  Fifty Fifty & Little Giant are all racing well and Mr Stunning might have to go around all of them to win (if it settles back)

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Best Bet Strike Rate

75: 29 - 12 - 11

Australian Group & Listed Races

Next weekend we get to see the 2yo's in the Blue Diamond Preview's as well as a few Listed Stakes races from Caulfield & Randwick - a precursor to the Autumn per se.   And in less than a month we'll see the great mare Winx running around in the Apollo Stakes. 

image.png.60d70a38eb0d6b855d7bd3e45c8ef675.png

 

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15 hours ago, Wadda We Sing said:

Notice Jamie Kah is riding winners in Melbourne now inc 15/1 shot today. May pay to follow.

Jamie is just a terrific horsewoman as well as an excellent jockey Wadda ... she doesn't have an overly aggressive style which is what some punters are looking for but just rides her mounts the way they're meant to be ridden.

Jamie has made the right move coming to the big smoke and out of her comfort zone in Adelaide.   Belwazi came in from 40-1 to 15's to win the Kensington Stakes so a number of punters were on to it.  Kudos. 

 

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Been looking for a tipster out of NSW racing to go with Gator in Victoria & JJ out of SA and after a fair bit of research I reckon Tony Brassel is the one.  His tips can be found here(Sky Racing) (on the morning of the race meetings) 

What I normally do is pick the eyes out of the tips from Gator,  JJ & now Tony Brassel looking for the best odds ... not really interested in anything too short for a straight-out bet.  More so exacta's/trifecta's with the help of their tips. 

Gator's tips & JJ's tips can be found on Racing.com on Saturday mornings as well.  Wednesday evening's for Gator's tips for the advanced knowledge.  Nathan Exelby has a bit of a reputation (QLD racing) so I might start looking at his tips to see if he is any good.

And then of course there is the Flemington Forecaster himself - @Dee Zephyr ... DZ is trumping all of them at the moment with 5 from 5 from his last 5!  I'm just wondering when the Caulfield Correspondent ( @Wadda We Sing ) is going to grace us with his presence again (?)  Our strike is improving but we need all the help that we can get!

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Here are a few interesting articles re the Autumn features in Melbourne including an article about the nominees for the Australia Stakes which is to be run this upcoming Friday night ...

Five Group I winners in 2019 Australia Stakes

Perth filly missing from 2019 Australian Guineas nominations

Melbourne Cup winners entered for 2019 Australian Cup

Golden Slipper winner nominated for 2019 Newmarket Handicap

Kris Lees pair set to clash in Lightning Stakes

 
Edited by Macca
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