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Macca

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Everything posted by Macca

  1. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Pity it wasn't 100% or more but I never aim that way DZ considering the way I bet ... 33% - 50% will do though and I look upon the exercise as a percentage play. Gone back to boxing the 5 too. A tried & true method. Last night the Aussie punters were ignoring City Light & Bound for Nowhere in the Diamond Jubilee - at least on the win tote odds ... that transcends into the trifectas. When that loophole appears there's a chance to cash in. The punters in England were ignoring the French dasher 'City Light' as well - again, that transcends into the punters here ignoring the horse. It nearly won the race. It happens a lot in Australian racing too - especially in the big Group 1 races - really good horses get ignored (Shoals, Santa Ana Lane etc) BM made an excellent point about the horse ratings with regards to yesterdays Tiara ... and the ratings came through with the first 4 across the line. Form is one aspect but class is another. Anyway, here's some further news on the grand victory by the Aussie raider ... Merchant Navy prevails in dramatic Diamond Jubilee Stakes
  2. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    And Merchant Navy wins it for Australia!~ ... and I got the trifecta! Win/win. You little beauty! Redkirk was a little disappointing but we got the win. The favourite 'Harry Angel' played up in the stalls something chronic, missed the start but was a beaten horse before they jumped. But the story is about Merchant Navy the new wonder horse. Fought hard to the line with enormous spirit to overcome the French dasher 'City Light'. Aiden O'Brien (the horse-whisperer) does it again. Here's the replay of the Diamond Jubilee Stakes ...
  3. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    10 minutes before they jump and the tote odds are interesting for Redkirk Warrior - $2.40 ($1.04 place) yet you can get $5.50 ($1.80 place) on fixed odds. I suppose many still just bet on the tote out of habit. Pools are very low too although that might change when we get closer to jump time.
  4. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    I still reckon these wide-open Group 1's are the best trifecta races ... huge pools and very rarely do you see non-group type horses getting into the finish. There is a definite science to sorting out the better chances and I'm positive our luck will change down the track. We've gone close nearly every time bar once and that strike rate in terms of getting so close is way better than when I do them on my own ... so the 4 sets of eyes and expertise is valuable. We just need a bit of luck.
  5. Macca

    Has AFL become too hard to officiate

    To get more correct decisions we need to get rid of the congestion, the rolling mauls and the packs. Apart from being an eyesore what chance do the umpires have of making correct decisions in that environment Earl? None to my eyes. So fix the sport first ... get rid of the interchange and if that doesn't work reduce the amount of players on the field to make it way less crowded. And the umpires aren't the cause of the congestion despite what many say and think. But people like to blame the ass-end of a system problem instead of looking at cause & effect. And we do have a system problem. And to fix a bad system you have to start at the top. By the way, I was saying much the same thing 7 or 8 years ago. Now, like many others, I'm just repeating myself.
  6. Macca

    Post Match Discussion - Round 14

    Port's 2nd half of footy was just too good for us ... we rushed most of our possessions in the 2nd half because of their pressure so consequently, our system of moving the ball forward became extremely haphazard. The energy, effort & endeavour was there but our application was poor. Another lesson learned on the way to hopefully becoming a really good team. The pressure was finals-like but it's not like we got thrashed. We just simply lost a close game that we could have won. @jumbo returns mentioned that we lacked composure and JR is right. We obviously need to get better in that area and hopefully we will get better in that area. It is not by any means panic stations but we need to learn how to be skillful, composed and show poise under real pressure. We are still a work in progress and we need to keep adding good players to the list.
  7. Macca

    Umpire Report

    Or Windy Hill, Geelong, Princes Park, Western Oval. Moorabbin etc etc. Home town decisions happen in every sport in any country. Nothing is ever going to change Earl. It's what it's. Footy teams should always plan on being a 5 goal better team than any opposition team - that cushion covers an interstate trip and allows for a percentage boost on home soil. By the way, every supporter group of every team complains about home town decisions - we're all the same when you break it all down.
  8. Macca

    Has AFL become too hard to officiate

    Ah ... but nowhere near the levels of what happens in footy. It is not even close. I formed an opinion in the late 1970's that Aussie rules was impossible to umpire correctly ... and it is infinitely harder to umpire now. It is an extremely difficult thing to do but I have trained my mind to simply ignore all contentious decisions and just accept all those decisions as a matter of course. Most people I have encountered are the exact opposite - they complain incessantly about questionable umpiring decisions without any let up. They are wasting their own time and energy. It's a totally futile exercise with zero satisfaction or closure or without any sort of likelihood of an ideal outcome. The sport is often unumpirable and always has been. There are grey areas left, right and centre and then there's the interpretations of those grey areas. And right now the sport has so much congestion that it is a wonder that many correct decisions can be made. I reckon that at least 30% of all decisions are either incorrect or highly questionable but I accept that strike rate of poor decisions because of the nature of the sport. Peoples - come to terms with it all and come to terms with it now. Do not waste another minute on a totally futile exercise. Do that and you'll save yourself from a lifetime of angst. It is just not worth it.
  9. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    It was some sort of run by Nature Strip ... one for the black book Wadda. The horse has won at the Valley, Sandown & Flemington in 8 starts after winning on debut at Mornington so it's not just a horse that runs well down the straight. Could be anything. The sprint races in the Spring are going to be chock-full of talent ... there are still 7 or 8 slots open for the Everest with any number of worthy candidates available - including Nature Strip who is soon to be a 4 year old.
  10. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Trifecta Strike Rate 2 from 11 < $168.90 > Best Bet Strike Rate 67: 28 - 14 - 4 Australian Group and Listed Races Just a reminder that the Final day of the Royal Ascot Carnival is on later tonight with the headlining race being the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes featuring Redkirk Warrior & Merchant Navy. The meeting is on the free-to-air channel with the feature event to be run at 1.20am.
  11. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Yeah DZ we had 1st, 3rd, 4th & 5th (Daysee Doom came 5th) My horse Champagne Cuddles just didn't want to know about it today ... it was only her 4th run this preparation but it was one run too many by the looks of it. Close again but they're hard to get with these good betting races ... good dividends are on offer so if you do get the right combo, you win well. 3.5k for the First4 is a more than healthy outcome for those who had it. The trifecta dividend as well, all things considered. Your pick (Prompt Response) was ideally drawn and the jockey rode it a treat. It looked the winner rounding the turn. Top effort. Ah well, it's onto Royal Ascot for me now.
  12. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    James Jordan's best bet ... Morphettville Race 5 No.10 White Kaps $4.00 (boosted)
  13. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    The connections possibly believe they've got an above average horse and wanted to test it against good company early? It's going to win some races but maybe not against the likes of Nature Strip - the winner was ultra-impressive. The 2nd horse was a fair way behind but careering away from 3rd. That often makes the winner stand out even more.
  14. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Ran well but just missed Nature Strip ran 1:02.26 for the 1100m which is a quick enough time on a good track but this track is graded as a Soft5. In the Weir stable now - Nature Strip is back.
  15. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    That is good odds Wadda ... gotta be worth $5 each-way. I'm on!
  16. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Here are the replays of the 2 Group 1's from Royal Ascot raced overnight ... the Commonwealth Cup & the Coronation Stakes It all wraps up later tonight with the Diamond Jubilee Stakes featuring Redkirk Warrior & Merchant Navy. The race is on the free-to-air channel at 1.20am.
  17. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Alright, here are our 5 choices for the Tiara (3, 4, 5, 10, 15) ... good luck all and lets see if we can snag a decent collect before the break. Of course the racing goes on and we can still nominate our best bets to keep the thread moving along. My main interest for the next 2 months will be with the flat racing from the UK and following the fortunes of Redkirk Warrior & Merchant Navy. Oh, and Pounamu in the Strickland Stakes next Saturday! No.4 Prompt Response $6.00 No.5 Super Cash $12.00 No.15 Champagne Cuddles $5.50 No.3 Daysee Doom $14.00 No.10 Savanna Amour $9.50
  18. Macca

    The Soccer thread

    Brazil really turned it on in the finish ... mesmerizingly good in the last 10-15 minutes. Their tournament just kicked into gear and they'll be hard to stop now.
  19. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Good choice Wadda Over to BM to finish things off ... Prompt Response .......... No.4 $6.50 Super Cash ................... No.5 $10.00 Champagne Cuddles ..... No.15 $5.50 @binman @binman
  20. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Demons go down against Port ... no legs in the greater part of the 2nd half and we were under pressure for a lot of our possessions. Hard to win when that happens. Not disgraced though but we do need to regroup. Trifecta Strike Rate 2 from 10 < $138.90 > Best Bet Strike Rate 64: 28 - 13 - 4 Australian Group and Listed Races n.b. I've based our trifecta money result on boxing the 5 picks but with an outlay of only half a unit ($30.00) Each time we win, I will halve the dividend to correspond with the outlay. Also thought up some names for our trifecta picks just for some added interest. Let me know what you reckon of the descriptions or if you've got your own thoughts on what we might call each choice. In order as for this week ... The Lead ............ Prompt Response No.4 (Dee Zephyr) The Value .......... @Wadda We Sing The Steadier ...... Champagne Cuddles No.15 (Macca) The Cruncher ..... @binman The Clincher ....... @binman
  21. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Couple of Group 1's at Royal Ascot tonight Race 3 features the 3yo's over the 1200m - Commonwealth Cup whilst Race 4 involves the 3yo fillies over the mile - Coronation Stakes And here's a replay of the Group 1 Gold Cup (4000m) from last night ...
  22. Macca

    A Day at the Races

    Stole my thunder DZ but it's a wide-open betting race ... I'll jump in early just because if I choose a horse that Wadda was going to pick he gets another choice. And so on and so forth - I guess that's how it kinda works hey? The last 2 picks are the all-important ones in a way as the early picks are the more obvious standouts that tend to pick themselves. Wadda will occupy those 2 spots when we resume proceedings in the early Spring. Anyway, I figured someone was going to choose Champagne Cuddles so it may as well be me ... drawn an inside barrier just like Prompt Response plus both horses are in very good form. As well as that, I've snagged the last 2 winners in our trifecta combo's so I'm in for the 3peat! So here's how we sit ... Prompt Response (No.4) @Wadda We Sing Champagne Cuddles (No.15) @binman @binman
  23. Macca

    The Soccer thread

    We were the better team but just couldn't finish things off ... but that's the game. Arzani looks a real player and he made a difference when he came on. Anyway, the good news is that we are not out of it. It would be better if Peru were to defeat France later on but I don't like their chances. What we do know is that we will have to win our last game and probably need to win by more than 1 goal. It's do-able especially if we play as well as we played tonight. If Peru lose tonight then they will be out of it and would have nothing to play for in their 3rd game against us - except pride.
  24. Macca

    The Soccer thread

    You make your own luck EH. That type of penalty is rarely paid - we got very lucky. I do have a problem with the inconsistent VAR rulings though ... as we know, they've got oodles of time to get the right outcomes but what we get is inconsistent outcomes.
  25. Macca

    The Soccer thread

    Thank goodness for VAR hey! ha ha
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