This is not necesssarily aimed at Hogan as we don't exactly what is going on with him but the sporting landscape is littered with supremely talented juniors who fail to transition to a professional sport. There is a drive that is needed to get to the top of sport. Some juniors coast along being better than their peers without putting on a huge amount of effort. Raw talent gets you there as a junior in a lot of sports but they don't have the drive or burning desire.
I would put Watts in that category, like Sylvia. Great talent but inability to transition to a professional sport to excel.
Plenty of others have less talent but a burning desire.
I'd take the second guy every time and I think the Dees are getting better at choosing which players have a better chance of making it.