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titan_uranus last won the day on May 29 2016

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  1. The final against Fremantle in 2006 was played on a Friday night. Other than that, you're right, we haven't played an interstate Friday night game since that 2003 game.
  2. titan_uranus

    Ladder predictor

    Not under the current final 8 system (i.e. since 2000). But Carlton missed the finals in 1992 with a 14-8 record. Having said that, running through the ladder predictor shows that it's entirely feasible for us to miss the finals even if we get to 13-9. It would just be so MFC, wouldn't it? Last year we break the record for smallest percentage gap to miss, then we go on to be the first team in the modern era to miss with 13 wins.
  3. titan_uranus

    Changes v Port

    Putting aside Casey form for a moment, which is obviously not how the FD does it, I'm leaning towards replacing Pedersen with T Smith or Weideman and dropping one of Harmes or Hannan for Garlett. The Pedersen replacement isn't terribly controversial I don't think. As for the other, neither Harmes nor Hannan are adding much to the side and like @stevethemanjordan I wouldn't be against us putting Garlett back into our forward line mix and challenging him to run a certain number of kilometres, make a certain number of pressure acts or lay a certain number of tackles, and see how he goes. Casey form obviously will dictate what actually happens, though. I'd be leaving the midfield as is with a couple of positional changes (e.g. getting Brayshaw in at more stoppages).
  4. titan_uranus

    Round 13 Non - MFC Games

    This reads like we play Geelong the week after Port? We don't have Geelong until we've played St Kilda, Fremantle and the Dogs first.
  5. titan_uranus

    Changes v Port

    Did you watch him in his games in the seniors earlier this year? Far from just "running around the action looking mildly interested", he was leading up at the ball and presenting as a marking target better than ever. He adds more than Pedersen did on Queen's Birthday. It might be T Smith who gets recalled, but I'd certainly prefer Weideman to Pedersen. Too simplistic IMO. If their midfield gets on top of ours like Collingwood's did, we'll lose, even if we can quell Polec and Gray.
  6. titan_uranus

    Ladder predictor

    Their rating of the runs home isn't too bad, it factors in opponents' percentage, games against the current top 8, and travel. I'm surprised ours is so easy given we still have three interstate trips plus a trip to Geelong. If we beat Port and do what we ought to do (and so far this year have done) against St Kilda, Fremantle, the Dogs and Gold Coast, we should be OK. But that's only 13 wins. A 14th win would make it a sure thing, which means the above plus probably Adelaide (assuming they continue to be tripe) or GWS at the G. If we only end up on 13 wins, we're going to need to do better in our losses than we have so far. We can't afford to shed percentage every time we lose, and we're going to lose. I'm confident 13 will get us in provided our percentage holds up. Round 23 vs GWS at the G could well be a "win and in" for both sides. Let's hope we've secured our spot because I really don't want to have to go through that again (and from 8-3 we shouldn't have to).
  7. titan_uranus

    Round 13 Non - MFC Games

    North play two games a year at the G. I reckon that one counted as having home ground advantage. It's also no one's fault but ours that we sold the Adelaide home game to Alice Springs.
  8. titan_uranus

    Round 13 Non - MFC Games

    Our game against Port is huge. Win it and we'll be a game and percentage clear of Geelong and Port, as well as North and Hawthorn (assuming both win next week). Lose it, and percentage will be all that keeps us in the 8 (as I would predict Collingwood to beat Carlton, Hawthorn to beat GC and North to beat the Dogs, making all of those clubs 8-5, and Port will move to 9-4). A GWS win over Brisbane would have them only a draw behind us too. It is so, so tight from 4th to 10th. With Hawthorn's easier fixture and GWS potentially improving form, getting the points against Port will go a long way to giving us the confidence and breathing space that we're going to need to hold our finals spot.
  9. titan_uranus

    Round 13 Non - MFC Games

    Any half-decent side (i.e. not Gold Coast or Carlton) would have been 100 points up at 3/4 time. GC are rubbish. 0.2 from their last four fourth quarters is a bizarrely terrible statistic. Adelaide is playing like a bottom 4 side right now. No doubt injuries are taking their toll, but they are a total on-field disaster. At 6-7 with West Coast, Richmond and Geelong as their next three, their season looks shot.
  10. titan_uranus

    Gawn vs The World

    Deserves AA, but TBH so does Grundy. Would be comfortable with both being selected. If we don't make the finals, though, I doubt Gawn will make it.
  11. titan_uranus

    Post Match Discussion - Round 12

    Really? On what criteria do these two make your top 5? Agreed. The momentum in the first quarter was partly pushed in their direction due to the umpiring - a combination of them being paid everything under the sun and us missing out on some blatant free kicks (the throw in the goal square which gave them a goal was one obvious one).
  12. titan_uranus

    We could miss finals with 13 wins

    We won on ANZAC Eve and Queen's Birthday last year. The "streak" is at two games.
  13. What do you rate our performance out of 10 to this point? Why? 7.5, but the Port game will either turn that into an 8.5 or a 6.5. Which player has impressed you the most? Tom McDonald. I wasn't sure if his form as a forward in 2017 was something he could muster permanently. It appears it was, and it is. Which draftee has made the biggest impact? Fritsch, without any competition. What has been our best win to date? With the benefit of hindsight, the North win. We aren't getting enough credit for that performance. They've beaten Hawthorn, Sydney on the road, GWS and have a win in Perth to their name, and both Richmond and Geelong (in Geelong) struggled to put them away. But after giving up a four goal head start, we pretty much weren't troubled for the remaining 3 quarters. The Adelaide game was the best win at the time of the win, though. Which player(s) needs to improve in the second half of the year? Petracca. What has been our most disappointing performance? Geelong. Not our worst performance (that's the Hawthorn game), but the most disappointing. We won 3 quarters and had more than 20 inside 50s more than they did. We never should have needed Gawn's goal to win the game, we should have had it in the bag well before then. Where do you see us finishing? Give a win/loss and finishing position We should beat St Kilda, Fremantle, the Dogs and GC, so that gets us to 12 wins. How many more will we get? The Port game will give us some more insight but on what we have showed to date, I'm not confident in us winning any more than two of the six harder games (Port, Geelong, Adelaide, Sydney, WC, GWS). I'll go with 14-8 but if we are as bad against Port as we were against Collingwood, I won't be confident about that.
  14. titan_uranus

    Changes v Port

    Why drop Spargo for Bugg (Garlett can take Hannan’s spot)? Why drop Spargo at all? And why play Bugg at all?
  15. titan_uranus

    Jordan Lewis is absolutely cooked, never pick him again

    I’d agree with the OP if the subject was Vince. Lewis is providing far more right now than Vince. Maybe that says more about Vince than Lewis.